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a16z Assertion Not checkable as stated
Conde: AI has not yet compressed biotech clinical trial timelines
“We still haven't seen, and I think it's coming, but it hasn't happened yet. We haven't seen artificial intelligence or other technologies massively compress the amount of time it takes us to do the clinical development, the clinical trials, the enrollment of p…”
Jorge Conde Sep 15, 2025 ▶ 28:45 Faster Science, Better Drugs
a16z Assertion Supported
Novartis's one-time gene therapy for spinal muscular atrophy costs $2.1 million
“You know, in the case of treating a baby that had, you know, something like somatic muscular atrophy that would have otherwise died, a one and done gene therapy from Novartis, this is a therapy that's worth about, it's cost about 2.1 million dollars, effective…”
Jorge Conde Dec 12, 2023 ▶ 21:23 Big Ideas in 2024: Programming Medicine’s Final Frontier with Jorge Conde
a16z Prediction Held up
Conde: Medicine will cure sickle cell anemia within 10 years
“And so if I had to bet, I would bet that in the next 10 years, we will have solved sickle cell anemia, much like we've solved cystic fibrosis, that had a very similar profile in terms of what we understood about the disease.”
Jorge Conde Dec 15, 2017 ▶ 6:45 Challenges in Healthcare Innovation
a16z Assertion Supported
FDA creates new office and Warp Speed pilot for rare diseases
“The FDA is looking to the skies and taking a page out of the FAA's approach to aviation safety, rigorous yet adaptive. Recently launching its own new office for therapeutic products and piloting Operation Warp Speed for rare disease to create more transparent …”
Jorge Conde Dec 12, 2023 ▶ 2:36 Big Ideas in 2024: Programming Medicine’s Final Frontier with Jorge Conde
a16z Assertion Supported
FDA approves first CRISPR gene editing therapy for sickle cell anemia
“The breaking news is that the first CRISPR therapy has been approved. This is a therapy for sickle cell anemia and beta thalassemia that was developed by a biopharmaceutical company called Vertex Pharmaceuticals, working with another company called CRISPR Ther…”
Jorge Conde Dec 12, 2023 ▶ 13:58 Big Ideas in 2024: Programming Medicine’s Final Frontier with Jorge Conde
a16z Assertion Supported
CRISPR progressed from initial discovery to FDA approval in just 10 years
“It's barely been 10 years since the concept of CRISPR was discovered and described in the scientific literature. So we went from the initial discovery of CRISPR as a potential use as a medicine, all the way to an approval in just over 10 years. That is lightni…”
Jorge Conde Dec 12, 2023 ▶ 15:30 Big Ideas in 2024: Programming Medicine’s Final Frontier with Jorge Conde
a16z Assertion Not checkable as stated
Conde: Illumina's sequencing breakthrough was driven by engineering, not biology
“And really what drove that wasn't some fundamental discovery on the biology or the science. What drove that was Illumina was able to apply Three very specific and distinct engineering disciplines and converge them. One was the use of microfluidics, the, just a…”
Jorge Conde Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 8:41 a16z Podcast | Taking the Pulse on Bio
a16z Prediction Not checkable as stated
Conde: Medicine is on the verge of creating intelligent living drugs
“And I think one of the things that we're seeing is that now when we can start to design cells, we can actually start to design cells that have logic, that will know where to go in the body, what to do when they encounter disease, and how to essentially termina…”
Jorge Conde Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 10:30 a16z Podcast | Taking the Pulse on Bio
a16z Assertion Partly supported
Conde: Facebook recruitment reduced Parkinson's trial acquisition costs by 96%
“A great data point that I heard recently was a partnership that Facebook made with the Michael J. Fox foundation to find ways to pilot the use of social networks to recruit patients for Parkinson's disease trial using social media. They were able to reduce the…”
Jorge Conde Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 25:00 a16z Podcast | Taking the Pulse on Bio
a16z Assertion Not checkable as stated
Living medicines are finding cures for leukemia, blindness, and PKU
“And as we can see in leukemia, as we can see in inherited forms of blindness, as we can see in PKU, these living medicines are finally leading us to where we've always wanted to be, which is to find cures.”
Jorge Conde Dec 22, 2018 ▶ 16:11 Programming Medicine
a16z Assertion Supported
Conde: Average drugs require $2.5B and 10 to 15 years to develop
“And so when you add all of this up, it takes an incredible two and a half billion dollars and 10 to 15 years of investment to get the average drug to market when you account for all of the failures along the way.”
Jorge Conde Dec 15, 2017 ▶ 3:23 Challenges in Healthcare Innovation
a16z Prediction Not checkable as stated
Conde: Future cell therapies will use programmed logic to target diseases
“Well, if we get really good at understanding biology, and we get really good at engineering biology, on the horizon, we have the ability to begin to program cells so that we can imbue them with logic. So we can take a cell and have it understand how to find di…”
Jorge Conde Dec 15, 2017 ▶ 11:20 Challenges in Healthcare Innovation
a16z Assertion Partly supported
Conde: Facebook reduced clinical trial patient recruitment costs by 96%
“So Facebook, for example, as I mentioned earlier, is using their social network to help us identify and recruit patients for clinical trials. And in fact, they did a pilot project with the Michael J. Fox foundation where they were able to reduce the cost and t…”
Jorge Conde Dec 15, 2017 ▶ 15:02 Challenges in Healthcare Innovation
a16z Prediction Not checkable as stated
Hospitals will specialize only in complex surgeries as care moves home
“And that's not to say that hospitals will disappear altogether, but I think what's very surprising is the kinds of procedures and activities that we'll see in hospitals will be specialized to the things that are so incredibly complex, like surgeries that requi…”
Jorge Conde Apr 29, 2020 ▶ 8:07 Healthcare Has Left the Building
a16z Prediction Open · timeframe Apr 2025
Healthcare technology will create new medical specialties like radiology did
“And I think one of the most surprising things we'll see is the emergence of new specialties that come from the use of technology in healthcare, much like radiologists, of course, came on the backs of the ability of the availability of x-ray technologies.”
Jorge Conde Apr 29, 2020 ▶ 9:03 Healthcare Has Left the Building
a16z Assertion Supported
iPhones can now perform EKGs, manage blood pressure, and sequence DNA
“It's been fascinating to see the broad range of applications that you can do on, on an iPhone today, whether it's an EKG or to manage blood pressure, or you can do DNA sequencing even today.”
Jorge Conde Apr 29, 2020 ▶ 10:14 Healthcare Has Left the Building
a16z Assertion Supported
Conde: Six Million Dogs Are Diagnosed With Cancer Yearly in the US
“Six million cases a year of diagnosed cancer in the United States in dogs.”
Jorge Conde Feb 26, 2019 ▶ 3:16 a16z Podcast | Connecting Hearts, Bodies, and Networks to Cure Cancer
a16z Assertion Not checkable as stated
Conde: Traditional synthetic biology requires testing 10,000 candidates per success
“I think one of the big things in synthetic biology has really been, you try 10,000 things to get one thing to work.”
Jorge Conde Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 17:37 a16z Podcast | When (and How) Biology Becomes Engineering
a16z Assertion Supported
Conde: Human genome sequencing cost dropped from $3B to under $1,000
“Today, because of improvements that were born of the application of engineered disciplines and three very specific ones, we can now sequence a human genome in what used to take 13 years in a matter of hours, and what used to cost three billion dollars for less…”
Jorge Conde Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 8:25 a16z Podcast | Taking the Pulse on Bio
a16z Prediction Not checkable as stated
Conde: Bio-engineering companies will scale and dominate markets like tech
“One of the very interesting things about this particular space is these companies will look very tech-like in terms of their ability to create new markets and scale and dominate those markets, and those are obviously very attractive and interesting opportuniti…”
Jorge Conde Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 9:46 a16z Podcast | Taking the Pulse on Bio
a16z Prediction Not checkable as stated
Conde: Engineering biology will produce tools even more powerful than CRISPR
“As we move biology more and more into an engineer-based discipline, I think we're going to see more powerful modalities like CRISPR.”
Jorge Conde Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 16:58 a16z Podcast | Taking the Pulse on Bio
a16z Assertion Partly supported
Conde: FDA advisory panels passed gene therapy and CAR-T unanimously 13-0
“Gene therapy, an area that historically has been considered to be very risky, has been shown to be so effective in this form of treating inheritable form of blindness, That that passed the FDA panel recommendation unanimously, a 13 to zero vote. CAR T similarl…”
Jorge Conde Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 21:59 a16z Podcast | Taking the Pulse on Bio
a16z Prediction Not checkable as stated
Conde: Biology will expand beyond healthcare to touch every major industry
“Biology is no longer an industry in and of itself. It's something that's going to touch every single industry, and we're already seeing applications in energy, in textiles, in food, of course in health, and in data storage.”
Jorge Conde Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 27:32 a16z Podcast | Taking the Pulse on Bio
a16z Prediction Not checkable as stated
Precise editing and better delivery will expand gene therapy applications
“So as we advance our ability to deliver gene therapy, as we advance our ability to actually very precisely edit the genes, and only the genes that we need to edit, gene therapy will become applicable to a far broader range of diseases, not just limited to thos…”
Jorge Conde Dec 22, 2018 ▶ 12:36 Programming Medicine
a16z Assertion Supported
Synlogic initiated the first clinical trial for an engineered microbe therapy
“And the first clinical trial to do this is already ongoing. A company called Synlogic has engineered a microbe that allows it to break down A, an amino acid in a disease called fetal, phenolketonuria, PKU, in patients that are unfortunately not able to break d…”
Jorge Conde Dec 22, 2018 ▶ 13:30 Programming Medicine
a16z Assertion Not checkable as stated
Conde: Pharma companies are swimming in targets but lack pipeline drugs
“Pharma companies are swimming in targets, right? The problem they're trying to solve for is how do I fill in my pipeline?”
Jorge Conde Apr 30, 2018 ▶ 6:43 Shifting Risk Mindsets, from Tech to Bio
a16z Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2047
Conde: U.S. healthcare spending as a share of GDP will double
“Today it accounts for about 20% of our GDP, and that number is going to double over the course of the next three decades.”
Jorge Conde Dec 15, 2017 ▶ 0:47 Challenges in Healthcare Innovation
a16z Prediction Not checkable as stated
Conde: Biology is shifting from experimental science to an engineered discipline
“As we move beyond software, we're at this point where we're seeing this incredible convergence between biology, computer science, and engineering. And it's this convergence that's going to give us broad new superpowers to understand and manipulate biology. Ess…”
Jorge Conde Dec 15, 2017 ▶ 1:30 Challenges in Healthcare Innovation
a16z Prediction Not checkable as stated
Conde: Biology will function like IT and disrupt non-healthcare industries
“So we're living at this incredible point in time where biology is going to look a lot like information technology, and that it's going to be able to tackle and transform and perhaps even disrupt multiple industries.”
Jorge Conde Dec 15, 2017 ▶ 21:07 Challenges in Healthcare Innovation
a16z Assertion Supported
Conde: Scientists used CRISPR to encode and retrieve digital video in DNA
“What scientists were able to do is they were able to take this video, the pixels from this video, and using CRISPR can coax a bacterial cell to ingest the information and store it in its DNA. And on the right, what you're seeing Is scientists' ability to retri…”
Jorge Conde Dec 15, 2017 ▶ 21:35 Challenges in Healthcare Innovation
a16z Assertion Not checkable as stated
Conde: CRISPR became an indispensable drug discovery tool in just years
“CRISPR is a concept barely registered just a few years ago, and now it's an indispensable tool for drug discovery, for, actually, for understanding biology, as we've seen the cycles of iteration in biology accelerate.”
Jorge Conde Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 16:45 a16z Podcast | Taking the Pulse on Bio
a16z Prediction Held up
Conde: FDA will set an all-time generic drug approval record in 2017
“We'll see more generics approved this year than in any year in history previously.”
Jorge Conde Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 21:23 a16z Podcast | Taking the Pulse on Bio
a16z Assertion Not checkable as stated
Chemistry-based drug development faces fundamental limitations
“And so those chemistry based medicines have served us in countless ways to treat and manage disease, but there's a limitation to what we can do with chemistry. So beyond developing our own medicines, we had to find ways to produce medicines that we couldn't ma…”
Jorge Conde Dec 22, 2018 ▶ 2:08 Programming Medicine
a16z Assertion Not checkable as stated
Synthetic biology enables cells and genes to become medicines themselves
“But with advances in synthetic biology, advances in our ability to use things like gene and cell engineering, we're increasingly finding ways to make those same cells and genes and microbes, not the target of medicines, but the medicines themselves.”
Jorge Conde Dec 22, 2018 ▶ 4:20 Programming Medicine
a16z Assertion Supported
40% of people will receive a cancer diagnosis in their lifetime
“In the case of cancer, it's unfortunate that 40% of the men and women in this room will likely be diagnosed with a form of cancer somewhere in their lives, sometime in their lives.”
Jorge Conde Dec 22, 2018 ▶ 7:51 Programming Medicine
a16z Assertion Partly supported
The first approved gene therapy treated a rare form of blindness
“And last year saw the approval of the first gene therapy for a treatment of a rare form of blindness.”
Jorge Conde Dec 22, 2018 ▶ 11:04 Programming Medicine
a16z Assertion Supported
Conde: Only one in 10,000 drug compounds becomes a product
“In this world, it's one in 10,000 becomes a product.”
Jorge Conde Dec 15, 2017 ▶ 3:45 Challenges in Healthcare Innovation
a16z Assertion Supported
Conde: Broad Institute created a cell atlas to analyze cell dysfunction
“So scientists at the Broad Institute at Harvard and MIT, they've created an atlas of various different cell types, so we can understand how different cells function and dysfunction.”
Jorge Conde Dec 15, 2017 ▶ 9:35 Challenges in Healthcare Innovation
a16z Assertion Supported
Conde: Seven of top ten selling drugs are protein-based
“The emergence of the biotechnology industry gave us the ability to coax organisms to make proteins for us, and as a result, seven of the top 10 selling drugs today are protein-based drugs.”
Jorge Conde Dec 15, 2017 ▶ 10:49 Challenges in Healthcare Innovation
a16z Assertion Supported
Conde: 40% of Phase III drugs fail after a decade of investment
“Up to 40% of drugs that go through a phase three trial fail. 40%. This is after 10 years, a decade, and hundreds of millions of dollars invested.”
Jorge Conde Dec 15, 2017 ▶ 12:39 Challenges in Healthcare Innovation
a16z Assertion Supported
Developing a new drug takes 10 to 15 years on average
“These are averages of averages, of course, but on average, it could take anywhere between 10 to 15 years to develop a drug to get it to patients.”
Jorge Conde Dec 12, 2023 ▶ 3:51 Big Ideas in 2024: Programming Medicine’s Final Frontier with Jorge Conde
a16z Assertion Not checkable as stated
Humans are increasingly able to program living things as medicine
“And specifically, I want to talk about our increasing ability to program living things to serve as medicines for us.”
Jorge Conde Dec 22, 2018 ▶ 0:31 Programming Medicine
a16z Assertion Supported
Approved CAR-T cell therapies are currently limited to leukemias
“But for the most part, today, this is limited to leukemias.”
Jorge Conde Dec 22, 2018 ▶ 8:49 Programming Medicine
a16z Assertion Supported
Around 5,000 known diseases are caused by single-gene mutations
“So gene therapy has been the holy grail for treating the approximately 5000 known diseases that are caused by a single gene mutation.”
Jorge Conde Dec 22, 2018 ▶ 10:13 Programming Medicine
a16z Assertion Supported
Conde: U.S. biopharma spends $75B annually on R&D
“The U.S. Biopharmaceutical industry spends about seventy five billion dollars every single year in research and development.”
Jorge Conde Dec 15, 2017 ▶ 2:00 Challenges in Healthcare Innovation
a16z Assertion Supported
Conde: U.S. drug market generates $500B in annual sales
“The market for drug sales in the United States alone is about a half a trillion dollars annually.”
Jorge Conde Dec 15, 2017 ▶ 2:13 Challenges in Healthcare Innovation
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