The Ledger, every show

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks, across all 44 shows. Pick shows below, then mix any filter with any other.

shows every show 44 of 44
every show
clear all ✕
CAPITAL ALLOCATORS Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2030
Lewinsohn: Chinese expansion will drive severe chemical market overcapacity by 2030
“If you look at the amount of ethylene and propylene that they're bringing on, and then go to 20 30 and shut all of the European and Japanese capacity, in 2030, you'd have more over capacity than you have now.”
Jonathan Lewinsohn Feb 2, 2026 ▶ 42:59 Jonathan Lewinsohn – Credit Microcycles at Diameter (EP.484)
CAPITAL ALLOCATORS Prediction Not checkable as stated
Lewinsohn: Private asset-backed risks will hurt specific funds, not the global economy
“I don't think that it would create systemic problems. Just like every hedge fund in the world wants to call a recession constantly because they're desperate for the volatility. Everyone wants to constantly say, what's the next systemic thing? Because the impac…”
Jonathan Lewinsohn Feb 2, 2026 ▶ 1:04:11 Jonathan Lewinsohn – Credit Microcycles at Diameter (EP.484)
CAPITAL ALLOCATORS Assertion Supported
Lewinsohn: Software accounts for 30% of direct lending portfolios
“You do have 30% of direct lending in the software space.”
Jonathan Lewinsohn Feb 2, 2026 ▶ 19:42 Jonathan Lewinsohn – Credit Microcycles at Diameter (EP.484)
CAPITAL ALLOCATORS Assertion Not checkable as stated
Lewinsohn: Non-discretionary moves drive 3 million of 4 million annual home sales
“We think that the non-discretionary moves are about three million of the four million. Which means we only have a million homes per year where people are saying, hey, I got a better job in Cincinnati. I'm taking it.”
Jonathan Lewinsohn Feb 2, 2026 ▶ 33:44 Jonathan Lewinsohn – Credit Microcycles at Diameter (EP.484)
CAPITAL ALLOCATORS Assertion Supported
Lewinsohn: Fed actions created the first syndicated rescue market in 2020
“Instead you had the first ever syndicated rescue market where thanks to the fed banks brought rescue deals for companies to sell to mutual funds and hedge funds.”
Jonathan Lewinsohn Aug 5, 2021 ▶ 42:31 Jonathan Lewinsohn – Diameter Capital Partners (Manager Meetings, EP.05)
CAPITAL ALLOCATORS Assertion Supported
Lewinsohn: Leveraged loan quality dropped as high yield quality improved
“As high yield has become higher quality, levered loan market is often lower quality.”
Jonathan Lewinsohn Feb 2, 2026 ▶ 8:45 Jonathan Lewinsohn – Credit Microcycles at Diameter (EP.484)
CAPITAL ALLOCATORS Assertion Supported
Lewinsohn: RSA, Ivanti, McAfee, and Barracuda face syndicated loan distress
“RSA, Avanti, McAfee, Barracuda, they'll have their own issues going through LME.”
Jonathan Lewinsohn Feb 2, 2026 ▶ 17:47 Jonathan Lewinsohn – Credit Microcycles at Diameter (EP.484)
CAPITAL ALLOCATORS Assertion Supported
Lewinsohn: Hertz's post-bankruptcy crisis stemmed from Tesla residual value collapse
“Hertz had a problem coming out of their restructuring that they had too many Teslas. It wasn't only that people didn't want to rent Teslas. I think people found Tesla's interesting to rent. They're great cars. The problem was the residual value was much worse …”
Jonathan Lewinsohn Feb 2, 2026 ▶ 26:50 Jonathan Lewinsohn – Credit Microcycles at Diameter (EP.484)
CAPITAL ALLOCATORS Assertion Partly supported
Lewinsohn: US consumers and corporates have been historically under-leveraged
“Part of the reason we've been more bullish on the economy than some others over the last few years is the U.S. Consumer and the corporate have been historically under levered.”
Jonathan Lewinsohn Feb 2, 2026 ▶ 29:26 Jonathan Lewinsohn – Credit Microcycles at Diameter (EP.484)
CAPITAL ALLOCATORS Prediction Not checkable as stated
Lewinsohn: US housing market is a coiled spring that must rebound
“We see housing as this coiled spring. It has to come back. There has to be more dynamic movement in the housing market.”
Jonathan Lewinsohn Feb 2, 2026 ▶ 34:22 Jonathan Lewinsohn – Credit Microcycles at Diameter (EP.484)
CAPITAL ALLOCATORS Prediction Not checkable as stated
Lewinsohn: Building products earnings expectations have capitulated, setting up outperformance
“Building products in particular, earnings expectations have really capitulated in 26, which could create interesting environment for outperformance.”
Jonathan Lewinsohn Feb 2, 2026 ▶ 35:16 Jonathan Lewinsohn – Credit Microcycles at Diameter (EP.484)
CAPITAL ALLOCATORS Prediction Not checkable as stated
Lewinsohn: Legacy cable faces market share erosion from fiber and fixed wireless
“What we think is going to happen in telecom is more and more legacy, perhaps coaxial companies are going to be impacted by not only fixed wireless share, but fiber as it get laid all over the country. And that fixed wireless is like a transitionary technology …”
Jonathan Lewinsohn Feb 2, 2026 ▶ 42:03 Jonathan Lewinsohn – Credit Microcycles at Diameter (EP.484)
CAPITAL ALLOCATORS Assertion Supported
Lewinsohn: Creditor cooperative agreements surged in popularity over the last 18 months
“One thing you're seeing is co-ops, which are cooperative agreements between creditors to say, we're not going to do a deal with the company alone, neither should you, have really come into vogue over the last 18 months.”
Jonathan Lewinsohn Feb 2, 2026 ▶ 54:05 Jonathan Lewinsohn – Credit Microcycles at Diameter (EP.484)
CAPITAL ALLOCATORS Assertion Contradicted
Lewinsohn: Unemployment among college graduates is currently nearly 9%
“Today, just sitting here with AI, not even really ready for prime time, and you have very high, I think almost nine percent unemployment from college grads.”
Jonathan Lewinsohn Feb 2, 2026 ▶ 1:15:40 Jonathan Lewinsohn – Credit Microcycles at Diameter (EP.484)
CAPITAL ALLOCATORS Assertion Supported
Lewinsohn: Fixed wireless drove 150% of US broadband growth last year
“It was a 150% of the growth last year in broadband across the country.”
Jonathan Lewinsohn Feb 2, 2026 ▶ 41:21 Jonathan Lewinsohn – Credit Microcycles at Diameter (EP.484)
CAPITAL ALLOCATORS Assertion Supported
Lewinsohn: US commercial healthcare costs rose 7.5% and employer costs 7%
“Last year, you saw healthcare costs up across the board, commercial healthcare costs up seven and a half percent, employer payment for healthcare up seven percent.”
Jonathan Lewinsohn Feb 2, 2026 ▶ 49:27 Jonathan Lewinsohn – Credit Microcycles at Diameter (EP.484)
CAPITAL ALLOCATORS Assertion Supported
Lewinsohn: Top 25% of earners drive ~50% of US durables and services spending
“In places like durables and services, the top 25% are responsible for, say, 50% of the spending.”
Jonathan Lewinsohn Feb 2, 2026 ▶ 1:07:29 Jonathan Lewinsohn – Credit Microcycles at Diameter (EP.484)
Made with StarZero

Turn any episode into a week of clips.

This entire site, thousands of episodes across every show transcribed, diarized, checked and made playable, runs on the StarZero media pipeline. Drop in your own episode and the podcast clipper finds the moments worth sharing, cuts them, captions them, and reframes them for every feed.