The Ledger, every show
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks, across all 44 shows. Pick shows below, then mix any filter with any other.
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every show 44 of 44
Quants and short-horizon platforms drive 80% to 90% of institutional market flow
“We estimate somewhere between 80 and 90% of the institutional flow is basically driven either by the firms that have one month and three month agency or the quants that have to take these price signals into account, and then their models are optimized for this…”
AI will probably be more impactful than the internet was
“Think it probably is more impactful than the internet was. It's not only gonna affect obviously every technology company, which, you know, you see in the markets, but it's also Going to impact in this case, I think almost every company that, you know, needs wh…”
Robotics costs will likely drop 15% to 20% annually due to scale
“And the cost on the existing use cases probably don't go down at three to five percent at this point in the curve because of the scale brought in, the human capital brought in, the IP bought on, and the fact that you're going to be able to use these general pu…”
Only 1% of public stocks compound at 20% over 10 years
“The philosophy we have today is predicated that over a rolling 10 year period, you have about 40 stocks that compound wealth of 20% a year or go up a little bit over six X. So about one percent of the stock market is the, are the valedictorians.”
80% of elite 10-year compounder stocks start as small-caps
“About 80% of those companies actually start their compounding journey. As small cap companies.”
Positive real rate regimes yield 40 compounder stocks, compared to 120 under ZIRP
“In the world of Positive real rates, which is the entire history of the US equity market, except for that short period of time, which I don't know if we will see again. There's on average about 40 compounders, and during the period of time of free money, there…”
Even 10-year 6x compounder stocks average a 50% drawdown during strategic transitions
“When you look at these compounders that were six X companies in 10 years, the 40 of them, the average one of them has a period of time where the stock goes down 50%, and it doesn't go down 50% only when the market is down 20. They go down 50% when they basical…”
Domino's Pizza was the top Russell 2000 growth stock in the 2010s
“What was the best Russell, 2000 growth, or for your investors who don't know, benchmarks small cap company over that 10 year period in the 2010? Well, actually it was Domino's Pizza.”
The recent Q2 earnings season was the most volatile since 2008
“If you look at
The last public market earnings season, which was companies reporting Q two this past year.
If you study earnings volatility,
It was more volatile than any earnings season since the financial crisis.”
Amazon, Walmart, and Costco captured 62% of US retail growth
“And since they basically, you know, got on the same curve, 62% of all retail has gone to those three.”
The average unprofitable Russell 2000 growth stock dropped over 70% in 2022
“The average loss-making company in 2022, in the Russell 2000 growth, went down over 70%.”
Over a dozen US Fortune 500 CEOs started their careers at Danaher
“There's basically over a dozen Fortune, 500 CEOs in the United States who basically started their jobs at Danaher, including the guy who just have turned around GE.”
Amazon reinvested early multi-item shipping advantages into physical fulfillment infrastructure
“Amazon, they took that three to five percent cost advantage of getting that box to you and their ability to put more than one box, one item in the box. And they use that economic advantage to then go build Fulfillment centers that are physical to basically rei…”
Amazon deflated box-shipping costs by 3% to 5% annually for 20 years
“What Amazon was able to do is ride a cost curve where they were deflating the cost of Sending a box out at three to five percent a year for 20 straight years.”
Early cable networks compounded at 20% growth with 20% ROEs for decades
“Basically for 20 years, cable networks grew 20% with 20 ROEs, so they were compounders, and that's how you had all these entrepreneurs that had become, you know, billionaires, and that's how you basically had media companies that really fought over a balance o…”