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CAPITAL ALLOCATORS Assertion Supported
Inker: Stock market volatility of 17% vastly exceeds fair value's 1%
“There is very, very little volatility to the underlying fair value. It's about one percent a year. And yet the market has a volatility of 17. And that's a mismatch that says there must be some predictability to the market”
Ben Inker Mar 30, 2020 ▶ 8:42 Ben Inker – Value Investing at GMO (First Meeting, EP.17)
CAPITAL ALLOCATORS Assertion Supported
Inker: US manufacturing productivity has been net negative since 2011
“Productivity growth has been net negative. We are less productive making stuff than we were in 2011.”
Ben Inker Mar 30, 2020 ▶ 47:46 Ben Inker – Value Investing at GMO (First Meeting, EP.17)
CAPITAL ALLOCATORS Assertion Supported
Inker: Pre-2020 value investing drought mirrors the 1994-1999 era
“2000 to 2002 was a wonderful period for value. The similarity to the 1994 to 1999 period is this has been another dreadful period for value as a strategy. We see that kind of on a individual stock level. It's also been a lousy period for valuation driven inves…”
Ben Inker Mar 30, 2020 ▶ 25:34 Ben Inker – Value Investing at GMO (First Meeting, EP.17)
CAPITAL ALLOCATORS Assertion Supported
Inker: Profitability gap between mega-caps and peers widened most in US
“There is no question the gap between the biggest companies and everybody else in their industries, the gap in profitability has widened very significantly, and that widening has been much more pronounced in the U.S. Than it has been elsewhere.”
Ben Inker Mar 30, 2020 ▶ 35:45 Ben Inker – Value Investing at GMO (First Meeting, EP.17)
CAPITAL ALLOCATORS Assertion Supported
Inker: Value historically beats market by 1% despite 3% earnings undergrowth
“Historically, they traded at a 25% discount, and they undergrew by three percent a year, and it turns out that a 25% discount and three percent a year undergrowth allows you to outperform by a point a year.”
Ben Inker Mar 30, 2020 ▶ 49:28 Ben Inker – Value Investing at GMO (First Meeting, EP.17)
CAPITAL ALLOCATORS Assertion Supported
Inker: Historical crises dilute diversified equity portfolios by at most 5%
“Historically, apart from events of, frankly, revolution and regime change, we haven't seen profoundly dilutive events. We've seen things where you got diluted A few percent, maybe as much as five percent.”
Ben Inker Mar 30, 2020 ▶ 1:10:41 Ben Inker – Value Investing at GMO (First Meeting, EP.17)
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