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NEON SHOW Opinion
Bajaj: Demonetisation was the best development for Indian tech VCs
“Everybody said demon was a very bad economic decision. It was a bad, best decision for people like us because it brought everything online. Payments exploded.”
Avnish Bajaj Mar 21, 2025 ▶ 21:51 10 Unicorns, 5 IPOs, 26 Acquisitions – India’s OG VC, Avnish Bajaj On Why Only Founders Matter
NEON SHOW Opinion
Bajaj: Krutrim effectively combines OpenAI, Nvidia, and AWS into one startup
“Krutrim is one of them. So ambitious. You know, it is effectively open AI plus Nvidia plus your Microsoft or AWS all in one, right?”
Avnish Bajaj Mar 21, 2025 ▶ 55:05 10 Unicorns, 5 IPOs, 26 Acquisitions – India’s OG VC, Avnish Bajaj On Why Only Founders Matter
NEON SHOW Assertion Contradicted
Bajaj: India has never built SaaS companies reaching million-dollar ACVs
“They don't want to operate in this five, 10, 20,050 thousand ACV. They have aspirations to do hundreds of thousands or millions in ACV. India has never done that.”
Avnish Bajaj Mar 21, 2025 ▶ 1:02:08 10 Unicorns, 5 IPOs, 26 Acquisitions – India’s OG VC, Avnish Bajaj On Why Only Founders Matter
NEON SHOW Disclosure
Bajaj: Founders frequently lower their valuations to include Z47 in rounds
“Generally, we are not the highest price payers... Often what happens is our peer group is paying much more. And then we will tell the founder, we are not in at that price and believe it or not, the price actually comes down. It doesn't come to our price or it …”
Avnish Bajaj Mar 21, 2025 ▶ 19:05 10 Unicorns, 5 IPOs, 26 Acquisitions – India’s OG VC, Avnish Bajaj On Why Only Founders Matter
NEON SHOW Insight
Bajaj: Public market investors, not VCs, consistently generated returns in India
“Because investors know India and they have generally mixed to negative views because venture capital has had liquidity issues. Private equity has had high valuation issues. Actually the people who have consistently made money have made money in the public mark…”
Avnish Bajaj Mar 21, 2025 ▶ 39:57 10 Unicorns, 5 IPOs, 26 Acquisitions – India’s OG VC, Avnish Bajaj On Why Only Founders Matter
NEON SHOW Assertion Not checkable as stated
Bajaj: India is definitively benefiting from institutional LP flight from China
“And then by the end of 24, I think it became clear to people or many people took the call that they don't have the patience to stay or think about more investing in China or stay invested in China so that now India is seeing a benefit. Definitely it's seeing a…”
Avnish Bajaj Mar 21, 2025 ▶ 41:34 10 Unicorns, 5 IPOs, 26 Acquisitions – India’s OG VC, Avnish Bajaj On Why Only Founders Matter
NEON SHOW Assertion Not checkable as stated
Bajaj: Top five Indian VC firms easily beat public market equivalents
“So far, actually, interestingly, on IRR and multiple, we very easily beat it. All of us, the top five, you said, you know, the five firms or whatever, everybody beats it.”
Avnish Bajaj Mar 21, 2025 ▶ 43:15 10 Unicorns, 5 IPOs, 26 Acquisitions – India’s OG VC, Avnish Bajaj On Why Only Founders Matter
NEON SHOW Prediction Not checkable as stated
Bajaj: India's tech investing cycle will run for another 15 to 20 years
“And Joe China may eight to 18, Joe us may nine to five to 2010. Well, India has started in 23, 22, and it'll run through because India, we're slowly. So it'll run for another 15 to 20 years.”
Avnish Bajaj Mar 21, 2025 ▶ 44:45 10 Unicorns, 5 IPOs, 26 Acquisitions – India’s OG VC, Avnish Bajaj On Why Only Founders Matter
NEON SHOW Prediction Not checkable as stated
Bajaj: A deluge of profitable Indian tech IPOs will follow the market correction
“And therefore, I think once this market correction gets over six months, nine months, 12 months, so many companies have filed, you will see a deluge of IPOs, but in a good way.”
Avnish Bajaj Mar 21, 2025 ▶ 45:50 10 Unicorns, 5 IPOs, 26 Acquisitions – India’s OG VC, Avnish Bajaj On Why Only Founders Matter
NEON SHOW Assertion Contradicted
Bajaj: 90% of global semiconductor chip design goes through India
“If you look at semiconductors, 90%, I don't know if you know this statistic, 90% of chip design goes through India, including the Chinese trips.”
Avnish Bajaj Mar 21, 2025 ▶ 58:22 10 Unicorns, 5 IPOs, 26 Acquisitions – India’s OG VC, Avnish Bajaj On Why Only Founders Matter
NEON SHOW Prediction Not checkable as stated
Bajaj: Hundreds of billions in value will be created in Service-as-a-Software
“I hope again, Indian founders wake up to it because the market cap that was created by Infosys and TCS. Is waiting, and I think TCS must be again, two hundred billion and whatever. That's waiting to be created in this service as a software. And we have an edge…”
Avnish Bajaj Mar 21, 2025 ▶ 1:06:53 10 Unicorns, 5 IPOs, 26 Acquisitions – India’s OG VC, Avnish Bajaj On Why Only Founders Matter
NEON SHOW Disclosure
Bajaj: Z47 never joins competitive rounds, strictly choosing to preempt or pass
“We are never market participants. We are never participants in market rounds. Very, actually never. We are always, so we have this concept of P to P. Okay. There should be only two answers to a deal situation. Preempt or PWC, which is pass with conviction. The…”
Avnish Bajaj Mar 21, 2025 ▶ 1:10:51 10 Unicorns, 5 IPOs, 26 Acquisitions – India’s OG VC, Avnish Bajaj On Why Only Founders Matter
NEON SHOW Insight
Bajaj: Almost everything in VC can be copied except reputation
“If you look at venture capital, if you look at most businesses, almost everything can be copied in no time. Reputation cannot. Reputation is a moat. Reputation compounds with time.”
Avnish Bajaj Mar 21, 2025 ▶ 8:43 10 Unicorns, 5 IPOs, 26 Acquisitions – India’s OG VC, Avnish Bajaj On Why Only Founders Matter
NEON SHOW Opinion
Bajaj: The first decade of Indian venture capital was a write-off
“Most of us VCs got started in 2006. I would say first decade was a write-off.”
Avnish Bajaj Mar 21, 2025 ▶ 20:46 10 Unicorns, 5 IPOs, 26 Acquisitions – India’s OG VC, Avnish Bajaj On Why Only Founders Matter
NEON SHOW Prediction Not checkable as stated
Bajaj: Z47's subsequent fund will outperform its $250M fund
“So we have one fund, Razorpay, Ola, five-star, off business. Two hundred and fifty million. So that's a, you know, a very strong multiple, but our next one will be even higher multiple than that.”
Avnish Bajaj Mar 21, 2025 ▶ 21:03 10 Unicorns, 5 IPOs, 26 Acquisitions – India’s OG VC, Avnish Bajaj On Why Only Founders Matter
NEON SHOW Assertion Supported
Bajaj: 2024 tech IPO wave proved venture liquidity in India
“24 of many IPOs happened. You know, we had Ola Electric go public. We had Five Star go public in 22. Many LPs saw a lot of liquidity, Swiggy, First Cry. All of these things are great for the market, right? So that changed the narrative that this time India is …”
Avnish Bajaj Mar 21, 2025 ▶ 41:08 10 Unicorns, 5 IPOs, 26 Acquisitions – India’s OG VC, Avnish Bajaj On Why Only Founders Matter
NEON SHOW Prediction Open · timeframe Mar 2030
Bajaj: Global LP allocations to India will never reach 30 percent
“India has always been in the single digits at best, maybe 10, 15%. I think, I don't think India will go to 30% because I think people have learned a tough lesson in China.”
Avnish Bajaj Mar 21, 2025 ▶ 47:10 10 Unicorns, 5 IPOs, 26 Acquisitions – India’s OG VC, Avnish Bajaj On Why Only Founders Matter
NEON SHOW Insight
Bajaj: Multi-business tech founders should be embraced like traditional conglomerates
“When you look at Tata, Ambani, Birla, Adani, all of these guys, they are in multiple businesses. That's considered a feature. When a tech entrepreneur wants to do multiple businesses, it's considered a bug.”
Avnish Bajaj Mar 21, 2025 ▶ 53:30 10 Unicorns, 5 IPOs, 26 Acquisitions – India’s OG VC, Avnish Bajaj On Why Only Founders Matter
NEON SHOW Insight
Bajaj: Founders must achieve profitability in one business before starting another
“Bhavish made his business profitable before he went and did something else. You can't be loss making in one business and start loss making another business, right?”
Avnish Bajaj Mar 21, 2025 ▶ 56:06 10 Unicorns, 5 IPOs, 26 Acquisitions – India’s OG VC, Avnish Bajaj On Why Only Founders Matter
NEON SHOW Opinion
Bajaj: Indian entrepreneurs are lagging behind the market in AI and deep tech
“I have always felt that the entrepreneurs are ahead of the market in India. This time I feel entrepreneurs are behind the market, right?”
Avnish Bajaj Mar 21, 2025 ▶ 58:09 10 Unicorns, 5 IPOs, 26 Acquisitions – India’s OG VC, Avnish Bajaj On Why Only Founders Matter
NEON SHOW Insight
Bajaj: Rejecting great founders over market doubts causes our biggest misses
“Every time we have violated that principle, it's our anti-portfolio. Every time we have followed that principle, it's a great hit in our portfolio. So Ola, we didn't believe in the market. We believed in the founder. So we have a line internally when somebody …”
Avnish Bajaj Mar 21, 2025 ▶ 1:12:44 10 Unicorns, 5 IPOs, 26 Acquisitions – India’s OG VC, Avnish Bajaj On Why Only Founders Matter
NEON SHOW Insight
Bajaj: Repeat founders give time to VCs only when they learn something
“My bet is that if you feel that you will learn something, you'll give your time. So that's the bar. The founder has to feel that they will learn something, right?”
Avnish Bajaj Mar 21, 2025 ▶ 12:32 10 Unicorns, 5 IPOs, 26 Acquisitions – India’s OG VC, Avnish Bajaj On Why Only Founders Matter
NEON SHOW Disclosure
Bajaj: Z47 discusses people rather than deals in Monday partner meetings
“And by the way, in our Monday meetings, we discuss people, not deals.”
Avnish Bajaj Mar 21, 2025 ▶ 18:29 10 Unicorns, 5 IPOs, 26 Acquisitions – India’s OG VC, Avnish Bajaj On Why Only Founders Matter
NEON SHOW Insight
Bajaj: Maximizing deal coverage works in thin markets but fails in mature ones
“When the markets are thin, coverage is a good measure. So, including me, we used to go to IITs, we used to go to conferences, we used to speak at conferences, you know, honestly conferences, you get mobbed later, you are, you know, taking, giving out your card…”
Avnish Bajaj Mar 21, 2025 ▶ 24:47 10 Unicorns, 5 IPOs, 26 Acquisitions – India’s OG VC, Avnish Bajaj On Why Only Founders Matter
NEON SHOW Assertion Partly supported
Bajaj: About half of Indian startups valued over $500M have experienced founders
“When you looked at fast forward to today, about 50%. So they are, I think the 500 plus are 150 or whatever similar to the unicorn number because the 500 to one billion is not that many. And more about half are experienced founders.”
Avnish Bajaj Mar 21, 2025 ▶ 28:22 10 Unicorns, 5 IPOs, 26 Acquisitions – India’s OG VC, Avnish Bajaj On Why Only Founders Matter
NEON SHOW Insight
Bajaj: Experienced founders avoid market risk and focus more on distribution than product
“What experienced founders do differently? They generally don't take market risk, right? They will go after deep markets business. It's much easier to build businesses in deep markets. Okay. Having built a company once, they will typically be very profit driven…”
Avnish Bajaj Mar 21, 2025 ▶ 29:55 10 Unicorns, 5 IPOs, 26 Acquisitions – India’s OG VC, Avnish Bajaj On Why Only Founders Matter
NEON SHOW Opinion
Bajaj: Ola founder Bhavish Aggarwal is the most resilient entrepreneur globally
“I mean, that's an easy one. Just Bhavish given all that he has gone through his Ola pretty much shut down during COVID. He fought Uber. I mean, there are so many different examples, but it has to be him.”
Avnish Bajaj Mar 21, 2025 ▶ 1:01:20 10 Unicorns, 5 IPOs, 26 Acquisitions – India’s OG VC, Avnish Bajaj On Why Only Founders Matter
NEON SHOW Insight
Bajaj: Multi-billion-dollar startup potential becomes clear within 18 to 24 months
“You don't know at the start you, but you typically, my experience has been. 18 to 36 months, mostly 18 to 24 months, one starts getting an idea. Is this a multi-billion dollar outcome or is this a capped out?”
Avnish Bajaj Mar 21, 2025 ▶ 1:05:22 10 Unicorns, 5 IPOs, 26 Acquisitions – India’s OG VC, Avnish Bajaj On Why Only Founders Matter
NEON SHOW Assertion Not checkable as stated
Bajaj: The TAM of services is 10 times that of software
“The time of services is 10 X the time of software.”
Avnish Bajaj Mar 21, 2025 ▶ 1:06:30 10 Unicorns, 5 IPOs, 26 Acquisitions – India’s OG VC, Avnish Bajaj On Why Only Founders Matter
NEON SHOW Disclosure
Bajaj: Z47 rejected an early Flipkart meeting due to market size doubts
“Flipkart in particular, believe it or not, Axel had called me and they said, you know, we are doing this book site. And because you are an e-commerce founder, we want to be involved. I was like, I don't have internet users. So I didn't take the meeting.”
Avnish Bajaj Mar 21, 2025 ▶ 1:11:43 10 Unicorns, 5 IPOs, 26 Acquisitions – India’s OG VC, Avnish Bajaj On Why Only Founders Matter
NEON SHOW Insight
Bajaj: First 30–40 minutes reliably determine whether to back a founder
“It takes me about 30 to 40 minutes of my first meeting to figure out if this is a, it may not be fully yes, but that I'm getting excited, right? Then you have to do a lot more work and it has, there are, I would say, 20 to 30% of the time, I'll end up in a sit…”
Avnish Bajaj Mar 21, 2025 ▶ 1:13:33 10 Unicorns, 5 IPOs, 26 Acquisitions – India’s OG VC, Avnish Bajaj On Why Only Founders Matter
NEON SHOW Disclosure
Bajaj: Z47 measured investment team productivity on meeting volume until 2016
“Until 2000, 15, 16 they used to get measured on coverage. And you know, we had some review meetings where people would say, how many companies have you met and this, that. So it created what we call a met culture meeting. The quality of the meeting may have be…”
Avnish Bajaj Mar 21, 2025 ▶ 24:05 10 Unicorns, 5 IPOs, 26 Acquisitions – India’s OG VC, Avnish Bajaj On Why Only Founders Matter
NEON SHOW Assertion Partly supported
Bajaj: In 2016, only one Indian startup over $500M had an experienced founder
“So actually the number was in 2016, the number of companies worth more than five hundred million, worth 13, and one was from an experienced founder.”
Avnish Bajaj Mar 21, 2025 ▶ 28:07 10 Unicorns, 5 IPOs, 26 Acquisitions – India’s OG VC, Avnish Bajaj On Why Only Founders Matter
NEON SHOW Assertion Not checkable as stated
Anil Goteti returned investor capital after US-India SaaS venture stalled
“So when Anil Gotti was starting his second company, he wanted to do U.S. India SaaS, even though the founder market fit was questionable. And we told him, And he said, no, e-commerce, whatever. And was not looking in the direction of getting the product market…”
Avnish Bajaj Mar 21, 2025 ▶ 33:21 10 Unicorns, 5 IPOs, 26 Acquisitions – India’s OG VC, Avnish Bajaj On Why Only Founders Matter
NEON SHOW Disclosure
Bajaj: Z47 passed on Swiggy due to a portfolio conflict
“Swiggy where, you know, he emailed us proactively, but we already had a competing investment.”
Avnish Bajaj Mar 21, 2025 ▶ 1:12:09 10 Unicorns, 5 IPOs, 26 Acquisitions – India’s OG VC, Avnish Bajaj On Why Only Founders Matter
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