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20VC Prediction Open · timeframe Aug 2034

Narayanan: AI model scaling cycles are ending

“We're not gonna have too many more cycles, possibly zero more cycles, of a model that's almost an order of magnitude bigger in terms of the number of parameters than what came before, and thereby more powerful.”

Arvind Narayanan Aug 28, 2024 ▶ 0:00 Arvind Narayanan: AI Scaling Myths, The Core Bottlenecks in AI Today & The Future of Models | E1195 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings

20VC Prediction Open · timeframe Aug 2029

Narayanan: Lower AI inference costs will increase total enterprise AI spend

“And I predict that we're going to see the same thing with models when models get cheaper. They're put into a lot more things, and so the total amount that companies are spending on inference is actually going to increase.”

Arvind Narayanan Aug 28, 2024 ▶ 14:02 Arvind Narayanan: AI Scaling Myths, The Core Bottlenecks in AI Today & The Future of Models | E1195 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings

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