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NEON SHOW Insight
Lunia: India has a lower-middle-class boom, not a middle-class boom
“India doesn't have a middle class boom. It, however, has a huge lower middle class boom. Right. A huge number of people entering at 20, 25,000 rupees monthly income.”
Anand Lunia Feb 17, 2020 ▶ 24:12 Episode 52 | Anand Lunia, General Partner, IndiaQuotient
NEON SHOW Prediction Not checkable as stated
Lunia: Consumer brand outcome sizes will equal major tech startup exits
“When we do a brand, we do believe that it might take longer, but the size of the outcome will be no less than the size of a social media or a hotshot tech company.”
Anand Lunia Feb 17, 2020 ▶ 32:53 Episode 52 | Anand Lunia, General Partner, IndiaQuotient
NEON SHOW Assertion Partly supported
Lunia: Indian small borrowers have better repayment rates than multinational corporates
“Their repayment rates are far better than multinational corporates today in India.”
Anand Lunia Feb 17, 2020 ▶ 38:26 Episode 52 | Anand Lunia, General Partner, IndiaQuotient
NEON SHOW Prediction Not checkable as stated
Lunia: Indian small businesses will adopt self-service SaaS
“Contrary to perception and you know the common consensus between VCs today, we think that People will do self-service SaaS. So Indians have been written off. We believe that nobody will do self-service SaaS. We think these people will do self-service SaaS.”
Anand Lunia Feb 17, 2020 ▶ 39:30 Episode 52 | Anand Lunia, General Partner, IndiaQuotient
NEON SHOW Insight
Lunia: Indian Youth Consumer Spending Reflects Combined Household Income, Not Personal Earnings
“For a investor or an entrepreneur, This is a good audience because this then again, like I said earlier, The expenditure people will do is not restricted by the individual's income. It is about the income of the individual and the parents.”
Anand Lunia Nov 3, 2023 ▶ 5:07 The India Opportunity, Youth’s BIGGEST Problem & Future of Startups | India Quotient VC on Neon Show
NEON SHOW Insight
Lunia: High investor demand hurts startups needing multi-year PMF discovery
“Particularly when the business needs a three year, four year discovery phase for PMF, then being too sought after by investors actually works against you.”
Anand Lunia Nov 3, 2023 ▶ 25:51 The India Opportunity, Youth’s BIGGEST Problem & Future of Startups | India Quotient VC on Neon Show
NEON SHOW Prediction Not checkable as stated
Lunia: Developing nations will be digitized by Indian software over next 20 years
“So I feel that next 20 years, The whole rest of the world, which is not in the developed countries will be digitized by India. The developed countries were digitized by America. Granted the next wave is ours because we are the only talent pool.”
Anand Lunia Nov 3, 2023 ▶ 33:30 The India Opportunity, Youth’s BIGGEST Problem & Future of Startups | India Quotient VC on Neon Show
NEON SHOW Prediction Not checkable as stated
Lunia: Full-time domestic help in India will become unaffordable within 10 years
“10 years later, it'll be unaffordable unless you're super rich, you will not have any such thing.”
Anand Lunia Nov 3, 2023 ▶ 46:48 The India Opportunity, Youth’s BIGGEST Problem & Future of Startups | India Quotient VC on Neon Show
NEON SHOW Opinion
Lunia: India-based VCs lack an edge in the global AI boom
“Because I don't think sitting in India I have an edge in playing the global AI. Global AI boom. Yeah. I don't think so. I would love to. I wish I wasn't here. I was there, but I am where I am.”
Anand Lunia Nov 3, 2023 ▶ 58:44 The India Opportunity, Youth’s BIGGEST Problem & Future of Startups | India Quotient VC on Neon Show
NEON SHOW Opinion
Lunia: Unicorn founders often make less from secondaries than FAANG employees
“So many unicorn founders, all they have achieved is maybe a 2,000,005 1,000,010 million secondary exit, and they have nothing else to show for it. Now that is nothing. I mean, most people, good qualified people make more than that in a ESOP of a large, let's s…”
Anand Lunia Nov 3, 2023 ▶ 1:11:29 The India Opportunity, Youth’s BIGGEST Problem & Future of Startups | India Quotient VC on Neon Show
NEON SHOW Insight
Lunia: Excessive dilution leads founders to get ousted before major post-IPO gains
“Most founders, when they dilute too much, they become irrelevant and get kicked out of their companies in 10 years, which happened to some of the names that we mentioned, and then they don't get the remaining 40 X because you know, the real juice is when you b…”
Anand Lunia Nov 3, 2023 ▶ 1:14:26 The India Opportunity, Youth’s BIGGEST Problem & Future of Startups | India Quotient VC on Neon Show
NEON SHOW Insight
Lunia: Indian startups should never raise over $50M in lifetime capital
“And how, how much capital in a lifetime, maybe in India, you probably don't want to raise more than fifty million capital ever.”
Anand Lunia Nov 3, 2023 ▶ 1:22:20 The India Opportunity, Youth’s BIGGEST Problem & Future of Startups | India Quotient VC on Neon Show
NEON SHOW Opinion
Lunia: Scarcity of $100M+ growth checks is a net positive for India
“Not having a lot of hundred million checks into India. Net net will be positive for everybody. Everybody. Yeah. I think I wouldn't regret on the contrary. If they come, then I would wonder what, like, you know, maybe, maybe we need to simply as a policy, start…”
Anand Lunia Nov 3, 2023 ▶ 1:27:26 The India Opportunity, Youth’s BIGGEST Problem & Future of Startups | India Quotient VC on Neon Show
NEON SHOW Prediction Not checkable as stated
Lunia: Non-US markets will surpass America in tech M&A within 10 years
“In SAS particularly, I feel increasingly it's happening in many businesses. There will be enough MNA opportunities also, because like I said, in 10 years rest of the world becomes a more important MNA market than just pure America.”
Anand Lunia Nov 3, 2023 ▶ 1:32:03 The India Opportunity, Youth’s BIGGEST Problem & Future of Startups | India Quotient VC on Neon Show
NEON SHOW Assertion Not checkable as stated
Lunia: Indian public markets value tech companies higher than private markets
“In India, public markets are giving more premium valuation to many of these companies than private markets”
Anand Lunia Nov 3, 2023 ▶ 1:34:20 The India Opportunity, Youth’s BIGGEST Problem & Future of Startups | India Quotient VC on Neon Show
NEON SHOW Prediction Not checkable as stated
Lunia: Indian founders will inevitably build a homegrown Facebook
“Indian founders have to, just by the sheer number of probability, just because we are so many Indians ourselves, right? We will build our own Facebook.”
Anand Lunia Feb 17, 2020 ▶ 12:02 Episode 52 | Anand Lunia, General Partner, IndiaQuotient
NEON SHOW Assertion Supported
Lunia: Indian IT salaries have not grown at all in 20 years
“IT salaries haven't grown at all in the last 20 years, right?”
Anand Lunia Feb 17, 2020 ▶ 18:26 Episode 52 | Anand Lunia, General Partner, IndiaQuotient
NEON SHOW Assertion Supported
Lunia: Indian seed funds haven't found unicorns in crowded hype sectors
“None of us, you know seed funds have discovered a unicorn. Ever in these spaces, right? So if you look at you know, our good friends Karthik at Bloom, Orias, Rehan, none of us have so far got a unicorn, right?”
Anand Lunia Feb 17, 2020 ▶ 41:07 Episode 52 | Anand Lunia, General Partner, IndiaQuotient
NEON SHOW Insight
Lunia: In hyper-burn sectors, the most well-funded startup wins over better products
“Like I said, right, I mean, I am simply buying a lottery because I have no ability to move that company, right? The winner is not the smartest guy or the best product. The winner is the most well-funded there.”
Anand Lunia Feb 17, 2020 ▶ 53:16 Episode 52 | Anand Lunia, General Partner, IndiaQuotient
NEON SHOW Insight
Lunia: VC partners doing 10 deals a year cannot maintain quality
“For 11 years, we've known that three, four deals a year per person. Is the ideal number to maintain discretion. The moment you start doing 10 deals a year, it's sort of you can't really maintain the same quality.”
Anand Lunia Nov 3, 2023 ▶ 21:58 The India Opportunity, Youth’s BIGGEST Problem & Future of Startups | India Quotient VC on Neon Show
NEON SHOW Insight
Lunia: Indian aspirational spending is driven by visible vanity, not luxury
“And I think kids will go outside their budgets to buy some of these things, which can show, right? So vanity and luxury I think in India, it's less of luxury, more of vanity.”
Anand Lunia Nov 3, 2023 ▶ 41:06 The India Opportunity, Youth’s BIGGEST Problem & Future of Startups | India Quotient VC on Neon Show
NEON SHOW Insight
Lunia: Seed funds must invest two to three years ahead of consensus
“If I'm not early, I'm not relevant. For me, being early is an existential problem, right? I mean, after the space is discovered. So now everybody knows neobanks, right? People have been investing in new banks even till today, right? Now we've got still getting…”
Anand Lunia Nov 3, 2023 ▶ 52:56 The India Opportunity, Youth’s BIGGEST Problem & Future of Startups | India Quotient VC on Neon Show
NEON SHOW Insight
Lunia: Contrarian timing attracts higher-quality founders over consensus mercenaries
“Being a little bit ahead of time, a little bit contrarian also gives you the automatically access to better quality founders. Whereas if I want to fund the next credit card company, I mean, like, you know, the founders will be today founders will be mercenarie…”
Anand Lunia Nov 3, 2023 ▶ 54:45 The India Opportunity, Youth’s BIGGEST Problem & Future of Startups | India Quotient VC on Neon Show
NEON SHOW Assertion Partly supported
Lunia: Most Indian tech unicorns remain capped at $1B to $2B valuations
“I mean, even companies like Nica, PTM, Zomato, they have still remained in even by and large, a single digit billion outcome. And these are horizontals. They're not a lot of them. Most other unicorns also are in the one or two billion range.”
Anand Lunia Nov 3, 2023 ▶ 1:01:28 The India Opportunity, Youth’s BIGGEST Problem & Future of Startups | India Quotient VC on Neon Show
NEON SHOW Disclosure
Lunia: India Quotient passed on MPL due to insufficient ownership allocation
“One of the companies that I really missed was MPL. Sai, we had funded his previous company. This Creo, the hardware phone, smartphone, right? And he came back and he raised a five million round. Now, of course, there was Bnext, there was Sequoia, Sequoia was l…”
Anand Lunia Nov 3, 2023 ▶ 1:04:29 The India Opportunity, Youth’s BIGGEST Problem & Future of Startups | India Quotient VC on Neon Show
NEON SHOW Prediction Didn’t hold up
Lunia: Lendingkart, Sugar, Oakter, and ShareChat are lined up for IPOs
“So hopefully we'll see Lending Cart and Sugar first. There's a company called Okter. It's a home automation. They build these Paytm sound boxes, the profitable company, electronics outsourcing maybe in 18 months, they'll go a little bit later and maybe in 36 m…”
Anand Lunia Nov 3, 2023 ▶ 1:28:07 The India Opportunity, Youth’s BIGGEST Problem & Future of Startups | India Quotient VC on Neon Show
NEON SHOW Assertion Partly supported
Lunia: ShareChat has a $100M+ ARR and will break even in 12 months
“They have already like a hundred million, Plus revenue run rate will break even in 12 months.”
Anand Lunia Nov 3, 2023 ▶ 1:28:31 The India Opportunity, Youth’s BIGGEST Problem & Future of Startups | India Quotient VC on Neon Show
NEON SHOW Disclosure
Lunia personally backed Faasos's 2010 angel round after Seedfund hesitated
“In 2010 we raised our fund too, and one of the first companies that we tried to invest in was a company called Fasos, Rebel Foods. It just so happened that Fasos was very young, and Jaideep had just returned from McKinsey in London. The partnership felt that, …”
Anand Lunia Feb 17, 2020 ▶ 3:55 Episode 52 | Anand Lunia, General Partner, IndiaQuotient
NEON SHOW Opinion
Lunia: Myntra's user experience is significantly better than Amazon's
“And in fact, I would say, venture to say that Myntra user experience is significantly better than even Amazon, right?”
Anand Lunia Feb 17, 2020 ▶ 10:23 Episode 52 | Anand Lunia, General Partner, IndiaQuotient
NEON SHOW Insight
Lunia: In social media, startups either become Facebook or die
“You know, the thing is that in social media, there is no mediocre outcome. You can only die creating a Facebook, right?”
Anand Lunia Feb 17, 2020 ▶ 14:04 Episode 52 | Anand Lunia, General Partner, IndiaQuotient
NEON SHOW Prediction Not checkable as stated
Lunia: Consumers will prefer specialized brand websites over broad marketplaces for cosmetics
“I strongly believe that people, just the way that, you know, we don't go to a D-Mart to buy fashion. We don't go to a, you know superstore, supermarket to buy cosmetics. We go to a specialized store, right? How often do we buy shoes in shopper stock? We actual…”
Anand Lunia Feb 17, 2020 ▶ 28:30 Episode 52 | Anand Lunia, General Partner, IndiaQuotient
NEON SHOW Insight
Lunia: Financial services is about product and service, not data science
“And eventually financial services is not about great technology, it's not about great algorithms, it's not about great data science, it is simply about great product and great service, right?”
Anand Lunia Feb 17, 2020 ▶ 34:22 Episode 52 | Anand Lunia, General Partner, IndiaQuotient
NEON SHOW Prediction Not checkable as stated
Lunia: Future Indian D2C brands may not need marketplaces or offline retail
“I am saying a startup, it starts next year, which will probably prove a product market fit, fit in less than two years from now, three years from now. At that point, maybe you don't need to go offline. Maybe you don't need to go and knock the doors of Supersto…”
Anand Lunia Feb 17, 2020 ▶ 47:37 Episode 52 | Anand Lunia, General Partner, IndiaQuotient
NEON SHOW Assertion Contradicted
Lunia: Flipkart's revenue is bigger than all offline retail combined
“Frankly, I think bigger than all offline retail companies put together, right, in the revenues the credit goes to Flipkart, right?”
Anand Lunia Feb 17, 2020 ▶ 1:00:48 Episode 52 | Anand Lunia, General Partner, IndiaQuotient
NEON SHOW Assertion Partly supported
Lunia: Starbucks is 10-20% more expensive in India than the US
“Starbucks per cup of coffee is more expensive in dollars than in U.S. Also. Like apparently, 10, 20% more expensive on a dollar basis. Not purchasing power parity. Pure dollar basis. India is expensive.”
Anand Lunia Nov 3, 2023 ▶ 5:42 The India Opportunity, Youth’s BIGGEST Problem & Future of Startups | India Quotient VC on Neon Show
NEON SHOW Insight
Lunia: VC fund modeling requires fixed ownership targets across all investments
“So the lesson learned in fund one for modeling perspective, you have to have high ownership, even ownership, right? You can't have a fluctuating somewhere, two percent, somewhere, 10% model. You decide, okay, my ownership is 10, it's 15 or it's five. Stick to …”
Anand Lunia Nov 3, 2023 ▶ 11:24 The India Opportunity, Youth’s BIGGEST Problem & Future of Startups | India Quotient VC on Neon Show
NEON SHOW Assertion Not checkable as stated
Lunia: India Quotient Fund 1 returned 5.9x net to LPs
“Let's say, yeah, in Indian rupees equivalent, yes, we've returned six, six, 5.9 X net to the LPs.”
Anand Lunia Nov 3, 2023 ▶ 17:09 The India Opportunity, Youth’s BIGGEST Problem & Future of Startups | India Quotient VC on Neon Show
NEON SHOW Insight
Lunia: Venture capital exhibits a power law nested inside the power law
“So there's a power law about who succeeds, but within that power law, there's another power law. There's another power law. So out of your four winners, one winner will be outsized.”
Anand Lunia Nov 3, 2023 ▶ 17:35 The India Opportunity, Youth’s BIGGEST Problem & Future of Startups | India Quotient VC on Neon Show
NEON SHOW Assertion Not checkable as stated
Lunia: India Quotient Fund 2 is marked at 10x, with 6x from ShareChat
“So for example, fund two is marked up at six X, but at 10 X, but six out of that 10 is share chat.”
Anand Lunia Nov 3, 2023 ▶ 17:54 The India Opportunity, Youth’s BIGGEST Problem & Future of Startups | India Quotient VC on Neon Show
NEON SHOW Opinion
Lunia: India's market is large enough for multiple winners in every space
“India is a large enough country that we don't have to worry that every space will have only one winner. You can have two or three in practically every space, every segment.”
Anand Lunia Nov 3, 2023 ▶ 26:33 The India Opportunity, Youth’s BIGGEST Problem & Future of Startups | India Quotient VC on Neon Show
NEON SHOW Assertion Supported
Lunia: D2C brand GIVA does 25-30 crore monthly net revenue
“They're like, Almost some 25, 30 crores of revenue monthly, monthly net revenue, right?”
Anand Lunia Nov 3, 2023 ▶ 37:50 The India Opportunity, Youth’s BIGGEST Problem & Future of Startups | India Quotient VC on Neon Show
NEON SHOW Assertion Contradicted
Lunia: iPhone is the fastest-growing smartphone in India despite price hikes
“Because iPhone is the fastest growing phone in the country and it keeps becoming expensive.”
Anand Lunia Nov 3, 2023 ▶ 39:42 The India Opportunity, Youth’s BIGGEST Problem & Future of Startups | India Quotient VC on Neon Show
NEON SHOW Disclosure
Lunia: India Quotient will not fund diaspora Silicon Valley Indian startups
“Suddenly I start doing Silicon Valley, quasi Indian, NRI Indian or Indian kids going abroad. I don't want to fund them. I mean, that's, I may fund one or two because I know them so well, but that's not your DNA. No, it won't be. And that my portfolio won't be …”
Anand Lunia Nov 3, 2023 ▶ 59:14 The India Opportunity, Youth’s BIGGEST Problem & Future of Startups | India Quotient VC on Neon Show
NEON SHOW Prediction Not checkable as stated
Lunia: Snitch Could IPO in Three Years Raising at Most Two Rounds
“The company can probably go to IPO in three years and may raise one maximum two rounds.”
Anand Lunia Nov 3, 2023 ▶ 1:17:30 The India Opportunity, Youth’s BIGGEST Problem & Future of Startups | India Quotient VC on Neon Show
NEON SHOW Insight
Lunia: Mass-market Indians adopt free content and borrowing before paid e-commerce
“The people, that's the first e-commerce purchase, but from there to go buy online, right? You know, take the risk of buying online when you have very limited amount of money would be a far away transaction. But then consuming content where you don't pay anythi…”
Anand Lunia Feb 17, 2020 ▶ 7:50 Episode 52 | Anand Lunia, General Partner, IndiaQuotient
NEON SHOW Assertion Supported
Lunia: Amazon still has not conclusively taken India's top e-commerce spot
“I mean, it's been like six years since Amazon entered, they still haven't taken the number one spot conclusively.”
Anand Lunia Feb 17, 2020 ▶ 11:55 Episode 52 | Anand Lunia, General Partner, IndiaQuotient
NEON SHOW Opinion
Lunia: Under 10% of Decathlon clothing buyers in India buy for sports
“I don't think that more than 10% of people who go and buy clothes at Decathlon are buying it for sports. They're buying it just for wearing everyday because it's reasonably priced stuff, right?”
Anand Lunia Feb 17, 2020 ▶ 24:51 Episode 52 | Anand Lunia, General Partner, IndiaQuotient
NEON SHOW Assertion Not checkable as stated
Lunia: Startups need $1.5M to $2M in seed capital to reach Series A
“More importantly is that the amount of money needed by a company to reach a decent series A, let's say, which is sort of at least, you know, five to eight million dollars series A the amount of money to reach there is sort of becoming like one and a half two m…”
Anand Lunia Feb 17, 2020 ▶ 52:06 Episode 52 | Anand Lunia, General Partner, IndiaQuotient
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