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Vincent Daniel

Co-Founder and Managing Partner, Seawolf Capital. On 1 show, 1 appearance. The Shows tab opens the full record on each.

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Vincent Daniel was an analyst and partner at FrontPoint Partners, where he helped uncover the fragility of the subprime mortgage market featured in The Big Short. In 2011, he co-founded Seawolf Capital, which he later transitioned into a family office.

1shows
1appearances
15statements
3resolved
2supported
1contradicted
67%fully supported

Everything Vincent Daniel said on any show that made the record, most notable first. Each card names its show and opens the statement there.

Daniel: Multi-managers like Citadel are new shadow banks relying on Fed bailouts
“So I really, truly believe that they are the new shadow banking system, that whenever something goes awry, there's a reason why Millennium hired who they hired, why Citadel hired who they hired, to make sure that when the calamity occurs, they call the Fed for…”
Vincent Daniel Jul 3, 2023 ▶ 46:39 Porter Collins and Vincent Daniel - Big Shorts and Big Longs (Capital Allocators, EP.325)
Daniel: Multi-manager volatility targeting dictates modern daily market flows
“The lower the volatility in the world, the more capital they're deploying. And that was a very interesting concept for us. A concept to that was an eye opening experience. And more importantly, probably now it is dictating a lot of the flows and the performanc…”
Vincent Daniel Jul 3, 2023 ▶ 21:43 Porter Collins and Vincent Daniel - Big Shorts and Big Longs (Capital Allocators, EP.325)
Daniel: High leverage forces multi-manager hedge funds into short-term momentum trading
“If you work at these shops, it took me a while to figure out, but almost all of them Are 90, 95% of the time long short-term momentum, which is in English is long something that is working right now. And when you think why they have to do it, if you're so leve…”
Vincent Daniel Jul 3, 2023 ▶ 24:12 Porter Collins and Vincent Daniel - Big Shorts and Big Longs (Capital Allocators, EP.325)
Daniel: Energy was one of our career's greatest contrarian value trades
“One of, probably, I would say the biggest for us was when Exxon got kicked out of the Dow for Salesforce.com, Us schmucks, everybody else in the world goes and buys Salesforce.com because it's going to be in relative indices and the like. We go, let's take a l…”
Vincent Daniel Jul 3, 2023 ▶ 30:03 Porter Collins and Vincent Daniel - Big Shorts and Big Longs (Capital Allocators, EP.325)
Daniel: Private equity faces valuation issues from mismarked assets
“I just feel like a lot of things are mismarked, which probably gets back to while I have a tremendous affinity for the private equity model, I think they have some issues and challenges associated with the assets they've deployed over the last two years.”
Vincent Daniel Jul 3, 2023 ▶ 41:47 Porter Collins and Vincent Daniel - Big Shorts and Big Longs (Capital Allocators, EP.325)
CAPITAL ALLOCATORS Assertion Not checkable as stated
Daniel: US sovereign debt is causing significant market crowding out
“And as a result, we've built up tremendous amounts of sovereign debt, which were, I guess, manageable when rates were at zero. Well, rates are not at zero anymore. So as a result, there's a tremendous crowding out factor that is occurring right now.”
Vincent Daniel Jul 3, 2023 ▶ 42:13 Porter Collins and Vincent Daniel - Big Shorts and Big Longs (Capital Allocators, EP.325)
Daniel: Tech critics hypocritically begged for SVB uninsured deposit bailouts
“But the people who got bailed out of uninsured deposits, and the ones who complained about the entire banking system in and of itself, and then were begging, and they got bailed out, that was a pet peeve of mine that drove me insane.”
Vincent Daniel Jul 3, 2023 ▶ 56:33 Porter Collins and Vincent Daniel - Big Shorts and Big Longs (Capital Allocators, EP.325)
Daniel: FrontPoint's subprime trades would get PMs fired at modern Citadel
“Because I can imagine if someone took what we were doing way back when and put it in a Millennium slash Citadel native IDEO model, we'd probably be fired on the spot.”
Vincent Daniel Jul 3, 2023 ▶ 13:05 Porter Collins and Vincent Daniel - Big Shorts and Big Longs (Capital Allocators, EP.325)
CAPITAL ALLOCATORS Assertion Not checkable as stated
Daniel: Few investors tracked monthly subprime securitization data in the late 1990s
“At that time, the primary funding source for all things subprime were securitization, and very few, if any, were actually looking at the data on a monthly basis at that point in time.”
Vincent Daniel Jul 3, 2023 ▶ 14:38 Porter Collins and Vincent Daniel - Big Shorts and Big Longs (Capital Allocators, EP.325)
CAPITAL ALLOCATORS Assertion Supported
Daniel: Major asset managers had zero energy stocks in top 50 holdings
“We took all the large asset management complexes. I think Wellington. Wellington, Fidelity, Neuberger, you name, Capri, you name them, and say, okay, let's figure out where their largest energy exposure is and what number it is in their portfolio. They're taki…”
Vincent Daniel Jul 3, 2023 ▶ 30:45 Porter Collins and Vincent Daniel - Big Shorts and Big Longs (Capital Allocators, EP.325)
Vincent Daniel: Uranium and Nuclear Remain Core Investment Themes for Seawolf
“One of our favorite themes has been and continues to be uranium and nuclear.”
Vincent Daniel Jul 3, 2023 ▶ 34:09 Porter Collins and Vincent Daniel - Big Shorts and Big Longs (Capital Allocators, EP.325)
CAPITAL ALLOCATORS Assertion Contradicted
Daniel: Regulated banks cannot make unsecured corporate loans due to risk weights
“Regulated banks do not want to make an unsecured loan to corporate borrowers. They're not allowed to, for the most part. The risk weights are too high.”
Vincent Daniel Jul 3, 2023 ▶ 39:12 Porter Collins and Vincent Daniel - Big Shorts and Big Longs (Capital Allocators, EP.325)
CAPITAL ALLOCATORS Assertion Supported
Daniel: Brazil Feeds and Fuels Itself With Cheap Equities and Fiscal Balance
“It's a country that can feed itself and fuel itself and has enough of those two commodities to export. They run a fiscal neutral position and the stocks are really cheap.”
Vincent Daniel Jul 3, 2023 ▶ 43:22 Porter Collins and Vincent Daniel - Big Shorts and Big Longs (Capital Allocators, EP.325)
Daniel: Seawolf's Strategy Cannot Scale to Citadel or Millennium's Size
“Ted, I doubt it, because I don't think what we're doing here is infinitely scalable. Whereas I look at what a Millennium and Citadel have done, and I get the scale that they run at, and I think it's amazing. But the way we like to run money, we can't be big, b…”
Vincent Daniel Jul 3, 2023 ▶ 52:08 Porter Collins and Vincent Daniel - Big Shorts and Big Longs (Capital Allocators, EP.325)
Daniel: Jeremy Strong's intense preparation made it obvious he'd be a star
“We knew from Jump, he was gonna be a star, because he took so much care and pride and work in being me, to the point where he would call me at night, 1010, 30. He goes, I have to talk to you. And I was like, all right. He goes, I have a scene tomorrow. It's th…”
Vincent Daniel Jul 3, 2023 ▶ 16:53 Porter Collins and Vincent Daniel - Big Shorts and Big Longs (Capital Allocators, EP.325)

One line per show, most statements first. The link opens Vincent's full record on that show: the calibration, argument clarity, speaking style and every statement made there.

ShowRole thereEpsStatementsRecord
CAPITAL ALLOCATORSLEDGER Co-Founder and Managing Partner, Seawolf Capital 1 15 67% 2/3 full record on Capital Allocators →
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