Everything Everett Randle said on any show that made the record, most notable first. Each card names its show and opens the statement there.
Randle: OpenAI could raise at a $1T valuation next year
“I think it'll be a trillion dollar company next year. Yes. I think they could probably raise at the end of the year. Ah, you know, end of the year Q two, I think open AI could raise it a trillion dollars. No problem.”
Randle: Founders Fund's 'never fire founders' policy is rooted in laziness
“I think it's actually a convenience for Delian and some of the Founders Fund folks to absolve themselves of that weight and that responsibility just by being like, oh, it's not part of our, it's not part of our thing. But I think, you know, it's almost out of …”
Randle: Outside of China, there are basically no good open-source AI models
“Outside of China, there are basically no good open source models.”
Randle: Frontier AI models can now autonomously execute cyber attacks
“Zooming out, I think the most important thing in all this Is that we step back from Anthropic and realize that the models are to place now, whether they're from Anthropic or elsewhere, where they can autonomously find and chain multiple vulnerabilities togethe…”
Randle: Mistral AI has fallen very far behind on model development
“Like Mr. All itself has fallen very far behind on, on the actual model side, and they've done a very good job becoming this inference platform and the FDE model and all these things, but they're outside of China.”
Randle: Benchmark missing early AI model providers was a complete failure
“No, it fucking sucks. It's terrible. It's a complete and utter failure on, on our part. And I think we, we'd all say that.”
Randle: Mega-fund leaders like Andreessen and Horowitz cannot promise 5x returns
“I don't think Ravi or Hamant or even Ben and Mark at this point, I don't think that they can go to LPs and say, hey, we're going to get you five X net on that.”
Randle: Investors should follow momentum when AI inference demand is unprecedented
“When you have demand like this, like you have for the initial GC, like the initial hyperscaler clouds. And I think we're seeing an even greater cohorted demand curve for AI inference. Sometimes you just got to shut your mind up and invest with the momentum.”
Randle: AI startup moats remain rooted in technology, not distribution
“I definitely disagree with that. I think the moat is still fundamentally in technology, not in, in distribution.”
Randle: Capital deployment velocity drives promotions at mega funds like General Catalyst
“If you were to say, well, our GC or Lightspeed or some of these mega funds is the strategy investment velocity as a north star. To answer that question, I would have you go talk to the principals, the junior partners and the associates at those firms. You inte…”
Randle: New partners at mega VC funds get narrow coverage
“If there's 50 investors if you come in and you're like the 23rd partner at like, I don't know, like Iconic or like one of these places like what companies do you get to cover? And so they, like that, that's the first problem is like you end up getting like a v…”
Randle: Mega funds resemble private equity more than venture capital
“To me, sometimes it just feels like a little bit of like it just feels like a different job than like the craft of venture capital where you're almost playing the lottery where you're like, okay, I have these 30 names that I own. I'm gonna try to do two of the…”
Randle: CoreWeave and AI cloud providers will eventually crash 70%
“I think at some point, like they'll probably, you know, Corweave and all these things will probably go down like 70%.”
Randle: US regulating Anthropic's Fable on capabilities is a Rubicon moment
“At the face of it, this is a Rubicon moment in the history of the AI industry. It's the first time that the US has ostensibly regulated an AI model based on capabilities.”
Randle: Benchmark partner says any pre-AI SaaS liquidity is top-decile performance
“There's a partner here at Benchmark that says any liquidity for pre-AI SaaS companies is top decile performance. Any liquidity at all.”
Randle predicts SpaceX stock price will be lower in six months
“I would personally probably take the under in six months, not because I don't think that the company is going to be valued extremely well... But if I had to go over under, I'd go under from six months from now.”
Randle: Open models with test-time compute match Fable's security vulnerability finding
“With the right harness and the right amount of test time compute, you can use open models to find all of the vulnerabilities that Fable can find.”
Randle: Legacy SaaS growing 7% with no AI strategy is a zombie
“And what Owen did, and what the whole team at Intercom did, or Finn did, is they took a situation where the equity of the company was essentially worthless because no, no one's gonna buy 300 growing seven. It just, you know, it's just not, it's not a SaaS asse…”
Randle: Legacy SaaS incumbents can no longer afford top AI startups
“And now every single good AI company that they could acquire is too big for them to acquire and they can't do it. And so then it's like, well, we don't have the talent internally. We can't build a good AI product portfolio because we don't have the talent. The…”
Randle: Robotics is a prime candidate to produce trillion-dollar companies
“We think it's in, in terms of the things that are still in the first inning that are going to become trillion dollar, you know, we're trillion dollar companies are going to be produced. We think it's one of the prime candidates for sure.”
Randle: OpenAI has the fastest growth trajectory in tech history
“What ended up mattering is that it, you know, it's had the strongest and highest growth trajectory Of any technology company in history.”
Randle: ChatGPT will be the dominant consumer app for 5 years
“Like there's just no way that it's not going to be the most important kind of consumer destination over the next five years and consumer app over the next five years.”
Randle: Prefers OpenAI at $500B over Anthropic at $350B
“And Sonnet and all the models that they have is probably still a little bit ahead of OpenAI, but I think given ChatGPT, I think I would probably rather do OpenAI at 500 than Anthropic at three 50, but I both think that they're relatively good investments even …”
Randle: Multi-stage VC funds must invest in $1B ARR 'golden categories'
“A golden category is a category that, as like the entire market for a single product adds a billion of net new ARR in a single year. And like, if you find a golden category, you essentially, if you're, especially if you're a multi-stage fund, you have to have …”