Thinking In Bets
product on 8 shows · 2 statements across 2 episodes · said 66 times in 31 episodes since 2018
Capital Allocators 34 
20VC 14 
the Knowledge Project 7 
Lenny's Podcast 4 
In Depth 2 
the Neon Show 2 
All-In 2 
the a16z Podcast 1
Mentions by year, every show
tap a year for its mentions
Capital Allocators 3420VC 14the Knowledge Project 7Lenny's Podcast 4the Neon Show 2All-In 2In Depth 2the a16z Podcast 1
2026 3 mentions in 3 episodes 1 per episode
2025 2 mentions in 1 episode
2024 3 mentions in 3 episodes 1 per episode
2023 8 mentions in 7 episodes 1 per episode
- All-In Summit: Jenny Just on Peak6, the female market correction, poker, and risk
- Mastering product strategy and growing as a PM | Maggie Crowley (Toast, Drift, TripAdvisor)
- Contrarian takes on growth, hiring, and fundraising | Wade Foster (Co-founder & CEO at Zapier)
- Aspiring India, What Indians LOVE & How Chaayos Began! ft. Chaayos Founder Raghav Verma | Neon Show
- Lessons from Slack on decision making, product-led growth, and taking big swings | Noah Desai Weiss
- Mike Maples: Lessons from SVB; Crisis Management Tips; USD's Status as the Reserve Currency | E993 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
- 10 lessons on bootstrapping a $200m business | Patrick Campbell (ProfitWell)
- every mention in 2023, scene by scene →
2022 10 mentions in 4 episodes 3 per episode
2021 7 mentions in 2 episodes 4 per episode
- 20VC: Annie Duke on Reversible vs Irreversible Decisions, How To Evaluate Risk, The Theory of Sunk Cost in Venture & How to Optimise Both the Discussion and Quality of Investment Decisions
- 20VC: Insight Managing Director, Deven Parekh on The Current Funding Mania, Compression of Round Timelines, Fund Deployment Speeds Increasing & How To Think Through Price and Time Allocation Across the Portfolio
- every mention in 2021, scene by scene →
2020 12 mentions in 2 episodes 6 per episode
2019 6 mentions in 4 episodes 2 per episode
- 20VC: First Round's Josh Kopelman on Why Price Is Both An Art and A Science, Why Ownership Must Be Built on First Check and The Negative Consequences of Attribution in Venture
- When your competitors raise heavily from VC's | Mayank Khanduja, SAIF Partners
- 20VC: Benchmark's Bill Gurley on 5 Traits Benchmark Look For When Adding To The Partnership, Why The Abundance of Capital Is Today's Biggest Challenge in VC & The Right Way To Think About Market Size When Assessing Opportunities
- 3 Ways Startups Are Coming for Established Fintech Companies -- And What To Do About It
- every mention in 2019, scene by scene →
2018 15 mentions in 5 episodes 3 per episode
- Annie Duke - Improving Decision Making [Capital Allocators, EP.39]
- Annie Duke – Thinking More in Bets (Capital Allocators, EP.76)
- #37 Annie Duke: Getting Better by Being Wrong
- Michael Schwimer – Moneyball as an Investment Strategy (Capital Allocators, EP.72)
- Peter Troob – Monkey Business in High Yield (Capital Allocators, EP.59)
- every mention in 2018, scene by scene →
every mention on every show, scene by scene, with the transcript →
2 statements about Thinking In Bets, every show
Duke: Every decision allocating limited resources under uncertainty is a bet
“We can think about any decision we make as a bet. My book is called Thinking in Bets, and so this is obviously the premise of it. So people don't tend to think about their decisions as bets, because they think about bets as confined, like they think about it i…”