Modeler And a Forecaster
topic on 1 show · 1 statements across 1 episodes
1 statements about Modeler And a Forecaster, every show
Chamath: Epidemic forecasters are incentivized to release high death projections
“So for a modeler and a forecaster, the incentive is all around being conservative because that's how you're taken seriously. There's nobody that has any upside in showing a model that shows 10,000 people dying. All of the attention and the gravity with which y…”