Forecasting Elections
topic on 1 show · 1 statements across 1 episodes
1 statements about Forecasting Elections, every show
Silver: Gut intuition is ineffective for forecasting rare events like elections
“I think people can, in matters that happen only occasionally, like a presidential election, people think, well, my gut is that so-and-so will win. You don't have enough practice at forecasting elections to really, for that to be very useful, right?”