Extremizing
topic on 1 show · 1 statements across 1 episodes
1 statements about Extremizing, every show
Tetlock: Algorithmically extremizing independent forecasts produces more accurate predictions
“Each of you has very different reasons for believing .7. This leaves me to suppose that the answer is probably more extreme than .7, because if each of you knew the reasons the others had, you would probably become more extreme. And that's exactly what the bes…”