Crowd Predictions

topic on 1 show · 1 statements across 1 episodes

the Knowledge Project

1 statements about Crowd Predictions, every show

Page: Rely on models when crowds agree, but investigate when predictions diverge
“What you should do instead is if the linear model and the people are close, you know, the prediction's You probably should go to the linear model because it's really well calibrated, right? It's probably gonna, you know, be better. But if they're far apart, if…”
Scott Page Apr 2, 2019 ▶ 17:17 #55 Scott Page: Becoming a Model Thinker

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