Brenner initially refused to evaluate Trade Republic in March 2019
“My colleague came to me one evening in, in, in March, nine, 2019 and said, we have this opportunity to look at a Robin Hood of Germany. Do you want to take a look? No, I said, and that was a, that was, so I said to myself, this is, this has been around for 25 …”
Brenner: Creandum required restructuring Trade Republic's cap table to increase founder equity
“This was actually a deed breaker for us in the end, because we really wanted to see Christian and the team own enough to be able to have, you know, sufficient as a founder to stay with the company long-term.”
Brenner: Trade Republic's 2023 revenue hit 5x Creandum's Series A plan
“In 20, 23, we're five X the plan that was presented to me on the, on, on top line.”
Brenner: All of Creandum's best startup investments were expensive at entry
“I think if we look back at all our investments and the ones that have been fantastic it's, they've all been expensive.”
Brenner: Trade Republic had just 1,000 customers during its $10M Series A
“Well, it was five, six years ago. It was cheap in today's world. I'll tell you that. But on the other hand I felt expensive at that time, given a thousand customers in an A round of ten million.”
Brenner: Creandum does not engineer lower valuations in follow-on rounds
“Honest answer. We never think about that. I mean, if the market tells us this is the valuation, this is the round, we try to participate in the winners. That's honest, Harry. If that ever would come through and be true, we would not be in business.”
Brenner: Creandum passed on Qonto due to perceived overlap with Tide
“And Konto is, is one thinking it was too, too much overlap with Tide.”
Specht: All recent outlier high-valuation funding rounds are AI rounds
“All the outlier rounds that raced on very high valuation have been AI rounds.”
Specht: Top Series A rounds require $2.5M to $4M ARR
“And if we look at the rounds that have happened here, that being done by very good funds, is, You know, between two and a half million AR and four million AR.”
Specht: Recent Series A rounds averaged 25x ARR with 21x median
“So at series A, the average has been around 25 x of the rounds that happened in the past months.
And the median there is around 21 x.”
Specht: 2x to 3x Growth Results in 15x Valuation Multiples
“In the lower multiple buckets, like, in the, let's say, in a range of, like, 15 to 25, you would rather end up at the 15 X multiple range if you are growing, let's say, two to three X. So, solid good growth, but not hyper growth, not, like, very fast growth. T…”
Specht: ARR Multiple Benchmarks Only Work Above $1.5M-$2M ARR
“Typically, I think the multiple comparisons work well from, like, one and a half million, two million ARR upwards. When the base is, you know, much lower than that, then multiples are simply just very high because the denominator is so small in the calculation…”
Specht: Minimum growth benchmarks are 2.5x for Series A, 2x for B
“So right now it's series A. It starts between like two and a half to three X as the minimum growth expectation. And then at series B, it starts at two to two and a half X as the minimum growth expectation.”
Specht: Over 90% of VCs expect Series B burn multiples under 2x
“Where 40% of the people expect a burn multiple between one and one and a half, which is considered to be a great burn multiple. And, 53% want to see one and a half to two X burn multiple. So, 90% of the people, of the funds, want to see burn multiples, ideally…”
Specht: Limit investor pitch calls to a maximum of five per day
“I also always recommend to maximum have five investor calls per day and not go for like 15, because you sometimes realize that people are, you know, worn out at the end of the day. You don't have the right energy of it. So rather, you know, ah, focus your ener…”
Specht: Founders must ignore early VC praise because only term sheets count
“And the most important point here is don't get blinded by initial off. Only a term sheet counts. What do I mean with that? It's the job of a VC to shine, you know, to show you initial love.”
Specht: Founders should raise 24 to 30 months of runway
“Typically I said, like, raise money for 24 months of runway, now, or 20 to 24 months of runway, now I would say actually 24 to 30 months of runway, ideally to more towards 30 months of runway, given the uncertain market,”