Assertion Supported
Joël Glenn Brenner is the only journalist granted access to Mars
“She's the only journalist that ever got real access to the company.”
Assertion Supported
Mars has grown into a $50 billion annual revenue private giant
“And against all odds, this candy company Would go on to become the globally famous, fifty billion dollar annual revenue, private family business, Mars Incorporated.”
Assertion Open · timeframe Dec 2024
Milton Hershey sold his caramel company for $1 million in 1900
“He sold it for a million dollars. In 1900, which is 36, thirty-seven million today with inflation.”
Assertion Supported
Rudolf Lindt discovered conching by accidentally grinding cocoa for three days
“Back in 1879 that Rudolf Lindt, which is another name you may recognize, the Swiss chocolatier, discovered it by accidentally leaving his cocoa in a roller grinder over the weekend instead of shutting the machine off, so it accidentally pressed the beans for t…”
Opinion
Chocolate manufacturing is more complex than wine or coffee production
“This is more complex than wine. This is more complex than coffee.”
Assertion Supported
Nestlé was originally founded as a baby formula company
“Nestle was a baby formula company. That's how it started.”
Assertion Supported
Solid milk chocolate and conching vastly expanded the chocolate market
“Yeah, so by 1879, once you have milk chocolate in solid form, and then you have conching, you now go from Bars that are sort of really gritty and hard to bite to this kind of amazing mouthfeel that just massively increased the market. 10 X, it's hard to get a …”
Insight
Setting regional taste first is the most important factor in chocolate
“When it comes to candy, and specifically when it comes to chocolate, the most important thing in the business is being first to market, and setting the taste of a specific regional area.”
Assertion Partly supported
Adults eat 75% of candy and drive 90% of all purchases
“And actually today, 75% of candy is eaten by adults, and in fact, it accounts for 90% of total purchases.”
Assertion Contradicted
Hershey was the primary chocolate ration supplier for WWI US troops
“And the American military, as they have seen European armies do, they source chocolate as ration bars for the troops, and Hershey's is the big supplier.”
Assertion Supported
Over 40,000 different candy bars were manufactured in 1920s America
“So by the end of the 19 twenties, there are more than 40,000 different candy bars being made in America.”
Assertion Supported
Curtiss Candy marketed Baby Ruth bars by dropping them from airplanes
“The Curtis candy company, which made it chartered an airplane to fly over the city of Pittsburgh and drop bars down with little paper parachutes over the city.”
Assertion Supported
The term 'count lines' arose because candy bars were measured by units
“All chocolate before was measured by weight, and once somebody kind of rolls their first candy bar off the line, you know, what we now know today, the Snickers bar, the Milky Way, all these things, You couldn't really just measure it by weight because it's got…”
Assertion Supported
Mar-O-Bar revenue leaped from $73k to $793k in a single year
“The Marobar company went from 73,000 to 793,000 in one year.”
Assertion Contradicted
Mars first manufactured count-line candy mechanically at factory scale
“And effectively what they were doing was they were the first ones who said, wait a minute, if we're gonna make a count line, we should do it in a mechanical way. And so, even though all these other people are selling these one-offs locally to different stores …”
Insight
Iconic founders out-earned average heads of households during their youth
“You look at Ingvar, you look at Sam Walton, you look at Buffett. I mean, all these guys, it feels like it's a part of their childhood story that as a teenager or a college student or something, they were out earning the average head of household.”
Assertion Supported
Mars hired Ford plant designer Austin Company for its Chicago factory
“He contracts the Austin Company, which had built and designed all the Ford automobile plants and assembly lines to build the lines in the Mars factory.”
Assertion Supported
Mars produced 20 million Milky Way bars annually by 1929
“So, by 1929, which I think is the first year that the factory is up and running, they're producing twenty million Milky Way bars annually.”
Assertion Supported
Mars became Hershey's largest chocolate customer during the 1920s
“So very quickly, Mars becomes Hershey's biggest customer. They are buying millions of dollars of chocolate every year from Hershey.”
Assertion Supported
The 3 Musketeers originally contained chocolate, vanilla, and strawberry flavor bars
“It was actually sold as a package containing three separate bars, each with a different flavor, chocolate, vanilla, and strawberry, and due to restrictions during World War II, they had to cut production to just the chocolate version.”
Assertion Supported
Forrest Mars departed Mars with $50,000 and Milky Way's foreign rights
“He takes actually two things with him that his dad sort of gives him as he's heading out the door. One, 50,000 dollars, and two, the foreign rights to the Milky Way recipe.”
Insight
Forrest Mars believed building wealth requires knowing how to manufacture a product
“You can hire lawyers. You can hire accountants. You can hire advertising men or financial types. But if you want to get rich, you got to know how to make a product. And you aren't going to hire anybody to make a product for you to make you rich. They'll only m…”
Assertion Supported
Mars UK became Britain's third-largest candy company by 1939
“So, by 1939, five years-ish after they get production up and running, Mars UK has become the third largest candy company in Britain behind Cadbury and Roundtree's.”
Assertion Supported
Mars's 1930s pet food business generated cash to fund candy expansion
“The fact that this happened in 1935 completely blew my mind, because I knew that Mars was in the pet food business, much like Nestle Purina is in the pet food business. I thought this was like a recent diversification hedge, but here it is effectively at the f…”
Assertion Supported
Mars UK workers could halt entire production lines for quality defects
“Any employee in the factory could stop the line for any reason at any time.
If there's anything that's out of place, anything that could impact quality, you know, anything is dirty, anything is not perfect, every single worker in the entire facility can stop t…”
Assertion Supported
Mars maintains an open-office layout with zero private offices globally
“There are no offices period to this day at Mars.”
Assertion Supported
Mars historically targeted an 18% return on total assets across divisions
“Supposedly, Forest had, and Mars has, or at least used to have, a specific target of 18% return on total assets for every division and every factory, which means essentially that every investment needs to pay for itself in less than five years.”
Assertion Supported
Mars generated $429,000 in revenue per employee in 1990, doubling Hershey
“In 1990, for example, Mars' revenue averaged 429,000 for employee compared to 228,000 at Hershey.”
Assertion Supported
Mars paid $20,000 to suppress newspaper photos of the founders' sons
“Mars didn't like the Washington Post article, like, didn't like the way it came out, so not only did they then fire their PR consultant, they went and found the newspaper's freelance photographer and paid off 20,000 dollars for the rights to the photos to be s…”
Insight
Complete ownership enables suboptimizing short-term results for long-term horizons
“Complete ownership, or at least board control in Meta's case, is freedom. You can do things like invest for 10 years from now when it's gonna be a super lumpy period between now and 10 years from now. If you believe in the long-term vision, you can suboptimize…”
Assertion Supported
Forrest Mars discovered dragée candy among Spanish Civil War soldiers
“Before Forrest leaves Europe, he had spied a new, to him at least, type of chocolate candy that had become popular with soldiers in the Spanish Civil War called Draguet.”
Assertion Supported
M&Ms was founded as a joint venture between Mars and Hershey executives
“So Forrest and William Murray work out a deal to start a new joint venture candy company that will be 80% owned by Forrest and 20% owned by Murray's son, Bruce.”
Assertion Supported
M&M Limited formed in 1940 and began production in 1941
“In the spring of 1940, Forrest and Bruce Murray, the son, set up M&M Limited as a partnership. They build a factory in Newark, New Jersey, and they start production in 1941.”
Assertion Contradicted
Hershey rationed WWII chocolate to all wholesale customers except M&M Limited
“They limit their chocolate supply to all of their wholesale enterprise customers except for one. M&M Limited Partnership. Because of course, it's Bruce Murray's company.”
Assertion Supported
Rowntree's introduced Smarties in Britain years before M&Ms launched in America
“One thing that is undeniably true Is that Roundtree's introduced Smarties to the British market in 1937. So three to four years before M&M's startup in the U.S. And two years before Forrest even leaves the U.K.”
Assertion Contradicted
Uncle Ben's was the first branded rice product sold in America
“There were no brands in the rice category before Uncle Ben's.”
Assertion Supported
Ben's Original generates over $1 billion in annual revenue
“Today, Ben's original does over a billion dollars in revenue annually.”
Assertion Partly supported
The Hershey Company did not do any advertising whatsoever until 1970
“Hershey had a strict policy of not advertising at all. No advertising whatsoever. They did not do any advertising until 1970.”
Insight
Post-1950 chocolate industry winners were decided by marketing and distribution
“Who won chocolate between 1950 and 2024 is a story of marketing and distribution.”
Assertion Supported
By 1956, M&M's generated over $40 million as America's top-selling candy
“By 1956, so they start this campaign and call it fifty-fifty-one, so five years later, M&M's have become the biggest selling candy in all of America, doing over forty million dollars in annual sales and growing super fast. Bigger than Snickers, bigger than Mil…”
Assertion Supported
Forrest Mars' independent empire reached $200 million, quadrupling Chicago Mars' revenue
“Like I said, at this point, Forrest's empire is doing, call it, 200 million-ish of revenue annually around the world, and Chicago Mars had about fifty million of revenue, so Forrest is, call it, four times the size of Chicago Mars.”
Assertion Supported
Forrest Mars demolished executive dining rooms and instituted open floor plans
“So once he takes control, he comes to Chicago, he immediately rips out all the office walls in the building, open floor plan for everybody. He demolishes the executive dining room. He sells the company art collection and the company helicopter, and he hands ev…”
Assertion Supported
Mars reduced Snickers manufacturing time from a day to under an hour
“They used to make a Snickers bar in a day, and now they can do it in under an hour.”
Assertion Contradicted
Ninety percent of all candy purchases are impulse buys
“90%, nine-zero, of all candy purchases are impulse purchases. Only 10% of candy purchases are planned purchases.”
Assertion Partly supported
Mars lobbied retailers to place candy displays at supermarket checkout registers
“And what they did with that information was they launched an all-out initiative to lobby merchants to put candy displays near the cash registers, which didn't happen until that point in history and is now ubiquitous.”
Assertion Supported
The controlling interest in the Hershey Company is owned by its trust
“The controlling interest is owned by the trust.”
Assertion Partly supported
Hershey kept its standard chocolate bar priced at five cents until 1969
“They kept the price at a nickel from 1900 until November, 1969.”
Assertion Supported
Mars surpassed Hershey as America's top candy maker in 1973
“And as a result, in 1973, the combined Mars, which is all of the legacy Mars Inc. Products, Snickers, Milky Way, Three Musketeers, et cetera, plus M&M's, passes all of Hershey to become the number one candy company in America.”
Insight
Mars lowers COGS using multi-ingredient bars while maintaining perceived consumer value
“Mars just has a durable competitive advantage in that they're selling something to consumers that they value at the same price, but the cost of goods sold is way lower.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Mars has generated billions in profit from commodity trading operations
“Rumors are, these are rumors, but heard from multiple places, Mars has actually made Many billions of dollars of profit from commodity trading over the years.”
Assertion Supported
Mars generated roughly $800 million in revenue when Forrest Mars retired
“He gives the company to his three children, a third each to Forrest Jr., John Mars, and Jackie Mars, and totally walks away and retires. At this point, the Empire is doing about eight hundred million in annual revenue, and he's just done.”
Assertion Supported
Ethel M Chocolates reached $150 million in revenue within a few years
“Within a couple of years, FLM is doing a hundred and fifty million dollars in revenue.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Mars is so private it does not produce financial statements for bankers
“No one knows what their balance sheet looks like, including their bankers. They don't produce financial statements for their bankers.”
Assertion Partly supported
Mars grew from $800 million to $20 billion revenue by 2001
“So during their tenure, by the time they hand the business over to professional management in 2001, they've grown it from, you know, that eight hundred million when Forrest left to twenty billion in revenue.”
Assertion Supported
Mars financed its $23B Wrigley buyout using cash, Goldman, and Berkshire capital
“Mars pays eleven billion dollars itself, they get 5.7 billion dollars in bank debt from Goldman Sachs, and then Berkshire comes in with the rest of the financing, about six and a half billion dollars total.”
Assertion Supported
Berkshire Hathaway earned $2.5 billion in interest on its Mars-Wrigley debt
“So the 4.4 billion in debt that Berkshire invested Had an 11.45% interest rate. So during the five years that it was outstanding, Berkshire earned two and a half billion dollars just in interest.”
Assertion Supported
Mars bought out Berkshire's Wrigley equity stake for $4.6 billion in 2016
“In 2016, Mars buys out Berkshire, so Buffett sells Mars his entire stake back for 4.6 billion dollars versus the 2.1 that he originally invested.”
What-if
Mars could not have bought Wrigley without Berkshire Hathaway providing confidence
“I suspect there's no way the deal gets done if Berkshire doesn't get involved.”
Assertion Partly supported
Wrigley achieved roughly 50% gross margins and 20% net margins pre-acquisition
“Wrigley, I went back and looked at their old 10 K's before Mars acquired them. They had about 50% gross margins and 20% net income margins in the last, you know, sort of decade of the company.”
Assertion Supported
Mars acquired VCA Animal Hospitals for $9 billion in 2017
“They were the largest independent vet hospital operator in America for nine billion dollars.”
Insight
Deep operational knowledge enables superior underwriting compared to blunt valuation multiples
“Multiples are kind of a blunt instrument used for valuation when you don't actually deeply know and understand the business, and when you do, you can just underwrite better than everyone else, and you have more margin of safety in the price that you are willin…”
Assertion Supported
Kind generated $1.5 billion in domestic revenue before its Mars acquisition
“Kind was doing one and a half billion in revenue. I believe almost completely domestically in America.”
Assertion Supported
Mars's $35.9 billion Kellanova buyout is the largest CPG deal since Kraft-Heinz
“It is the largest CPG transaction since the merger between Kraft and Heinz in twenty-fifteen.”
Assertion Supported
Mars's snacking segment, which includes all candy, generated $18 billion in revenue
“Mars snacking Did eighteen billion dollars in revenue. That is a segment of their business that includes all the candy.”
Assertion Supported
Pet care generates 59% of Mars revenue and employs nearly 100,000 staff
“59% of revenue comes from the pet care segment, and of their 140,000 employees, almost a 100,000 work in pet care.”
Assertion Partly supported
Mars owns 3,000 veterinary clinic locations, representing 8% of US clinics
“Mars owns 3000 locations out of 35 to 40,000 vets in the US. So that's like eight percent of vets.”
Assertion Supported
Mars and Hershey each hold approximately 24% of US candy market share
“Looking at the market, at least in the U.S., Mars and Hershey each have about 24% market share of candy and confections, and no one else even comes close.”
Assertion Supported
Mars leads the highly fragmented international candy market with 11% share
“Internationally, it's kind of a different story. It is a very fragmented industry. Mars is the whale with 11%, but the next highest are seven percent and five percent, and only a third of the market is made up by the top five companies. Mars, Mondelez, Ferrero…”
Insight
Brand power accrues via lifetime margin dollars rather than high margin percentages
“Essentially, if you trust the brand more, and the prices are the same, you just buy more of it over time. So you give more absolute margin dollars to that company over time, especially in a reoccurring purchase business like this. That's the way that brand pow…”
Assertion Supported
Mars routinely kept manufacturing improvements as unpatented trade secrets
“There's actually great stories about Forrest, perhaps both himself, but also through Employees and outside firms he'd hire would come up with all these technical improvements to the manufacturing equipment, but they would never patent it because he didn't want…”
Assertion Supported
Mars passed on E.T. product placement over a $1M co-marketing requirement
“And M&M's passed on the opportunity, because it had to come with a guaranteed million dollars of co-marketing, consumer promotion, trade promotions, displays, featuring E.T. Mars was not down to do that with the M&M's characters, and passed on the opportunity.”
Assertion Partly supported
Product placement in E.T. tripled sales of Reese's Pieces
“Multiple sources cite that it three X'd the sales of Reese's Pieces when this came out.”
Insight
Established iconic candy brands are virtually impossible to kill
“I think the candy industry is much like the luxury industry in that once you have an established product and product brand, it is impossible to kill it. You just can't.”
Assertion Supported
98% of households purchase candy an average of 35 times annually
“A survey done by the Food Institute says that 98% of households buy candy every year, and of those, 97% are reoccurring purchases at an average of 35 times a year.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Chocolate sales will not decline despite widespread adoption of GLP-1 weight-loss drugs
“Even if everyone starts taking Ozempic, I don't actually think chocolate sales are gonna fall.”
Assertion Supported
Mars has completed 30 acquisitions since the 1990s and divested only two
“I think they've made 30 acquisitions since the nineties, and they've only sold two things since 2015.”
Assertion Supported
Mars has grown its revenue at a 14% CAGR over a century
“If you look at them over the last hundred years, they have grown revenue at a compound annual growth rate of 14% for a century.”
Opinion
Forrest Mars Sr. belongs alongside Henry Ford among top American entrepreneurs
“And because the company is so private, like, nobody knows about him, you know, like, but he should be right up there With Sam Walton, Henry Ford, with the very, very greatest American entrepreneurs of all time. He was truly a genius.”
Assertion Contradicted
The Milton Hershey School has an endowment of $17.4 billion
“17.4 billion dollars.”