S&P 500

part of S&P

7 statements across 4 episodes · 2 bullish · 2 bearish · 3 people on the record · first statement Oct 5, 2021 by Michael Mauboussin · said 52 times in 11 episodes since 2021 · across every show →

Mentions by year

brought up most by Ben Gilbert (32), David Rosenthal (17), Michael Mauboussin (1), Howard Marks (1), Brinton Johns (1)

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024202120222023202420252026episodes it came up in
00102204202120222023202420252026episodesmentions per episode
2026 36 mentions in 2 episodes 18 per episode
2025 3 mentions in 1 episode
2024 6 mentions in 1 episode
2022 4 mentions in 4 episodes 1 per episode
2021 3 mentions in 3 episodes 1 per episode

every mention, scene by scene, with the transcript →

Everything said about S&P 500, oldest first

Oct 5, 2021 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Mauboussin: Replicating Bill Miller's 15-Year S&P Outperformance Will Be Extremely Difficult
“Bill Miller beat the S and P 500 for 15 years in a row. I think that's going to be very difficult for anyone to do again for the same reasons we talked about.”
Michael Mauboussin Oct 5, 2021 ▶ 1:11:29 Michael Mauboussin Master Class — Moats, Skill, Luck, Decision Making and a Whole Lot More · Acquired
Mar 28, 2022 positive
Assertion Supported
Gilbert: Nvidia was the fastest semiconductor company to reach $1B revenue
“Which makes them the fastest semiconductor ever to reach a billion in revenue and gets them added to the S&P 500.”
Ben Gilbert Mar 28, 2022 ▶ 1:23:19 Nvidia: The GPU Company (1993-2006) · Acquired
Nov 24, 2025 bearish
Assertion Supported
Warren Buffett's legendary Coca-Cola investment has actually underperformed the S&P 500
“He would have been better off buying the S&P Over that same time period. Including dividends over that same time period. The S and P 500 is up about 11% annually. So the famous Berkshire Hathaway Coca-Cola investment today is actually underperforming the marke…”
David Rosenthal Nov 24, 2025 ▶ 3:00:58 Coca-Cola: The Complete History & Strategy (Audio) · Acquired
May 18, 2026 neutral
Assertion Supported
Over the long run, S&P 500 returns identically match total market returns
“In the long run, the S and P 500 returns are almost exactly the same as the total market returns.”
Ben Gilbert May 18, 2026 ▶ 3:19:02 Vanguard: The communist capitalist who saved investors a trillion dollars (Audio) · Acquired
May 18, 2026 neutral
Assertion Supported
Passive fund assets recently overtook active fund assets for the first time
“35 years ago, only one percent of the market was passive. It's now more than 20% of the S&P 500. And a couple of years ago, passive assets in funds Overtook active assets in funds for the first time that that just happened where passive funds eclipsed active f…”
Ben Gilbert May 18, 2026 ▶ 3:20:22 Vanguard: The communist capitalist who saved investors a trillion dollars (Audio) · Acquired
May 18, 2026 bullish
Assertion Partly supported
Berkshire Hathaway delivered a 39,000x return since 1965 versus S&P's 405x
“From 1965 to 20 25, if you had invested in the S&P 500, you would have kind of unbelievably a 10% compound annual growth rate. Like the S&P since 65 has been amazing as a 10% annual growth rate with dividends reinvested. That's a 405 X return... Berkshire was …”
Ben Gilbert May 18, 2026 ▶ 2:19:29 Vanguard: The communist capitalist who saved investors a trillion dollars (Audio) · Acquired
May 18, 2026 neutral
Assertion Supported
Directly replicating the S&P 500 requires about $3.5 million
“Today, the minimum quantity of dollars you would need to do it on your own without buying into a fund is about three and a half million dollars to sort of minimum efficient or minimum representative S&P 500.”
Ben Gilbert May 18, 2026 ▶ 1:17:45 Vanguard: The communist capitalist who saved investors a trillion dollars (Audio) · Acquired
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