why aren't all 14 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Opinion
Dixon: Snapchat's growth was severely capped by Facebook cloning its features
“I think it definitely had, I mean, I think it had, like look, look at Snapchat's a great example, right? That was a, I mean, you know they really invented sort of a new media type, right? I mean, that type of, you know, whatever, the vertical short video with …”
Assertion Contradicted
Evans: Global annual photos taken likely reaches 10 to 100 trillion
“Even if you just add up the numbers from Facebook and Snapchat, Facebook and Instagram and WhatsApp and so on, you get to about eight or nine hundred billion photographs taken last year. And that's just, sorry, shared. So if there were eight or nine hundred bi…”
Insight
Evans: Facebook Messenger strategy forces Snapchat to compete with entire app store
“So what effectively what Facebook's trying to do is make Snapchat compete with the whole app store. Because Snapchat is only going to have the content that Snapchat dreams up, whereas Facebook Messenger will have the content that anybody can dream up and decid…”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Massive Reach Will Not Sustain Broadcast TV Against Facebook and Snapchat
“Facebook and Snapchat increasingly are aggregating similar size audiences. So the concept of reach isn't going to be a sustainable differentiator over time.”
Insight
Neistat outlines the rigid content expectations across major social media platforms
“If it's on Snapchat, it needs to be funny or cool or make me look cool. If it's on Instagram, it's gotta be beautiful. If it's on YouTube, it's gotta be meaningful. If it's on Facebook, it has to be something that my friends and peers really want to engage wit…”
Opinion
Moore: Instagram and Snapchat missed top app charts due to US saturation
“To me, the fact that Instagram and Snapchat didn't appear at the top doesn't necessarily mean they're kind of dead as products. I think part of what it means is they've saturated the US user base, so they aren't getting a ton of new downloads every day.”
Insight
Wennmachers: Audiences easily detect fake or over-curated social media content
“And then Facebook and Twitter and Snapchat and whatever else there is that they just demand authenticity because it's so easily detectable if it's someone else doing the writing or if these photos are too curated.”
Insight
Wroblewski: Copying big tech design without internal data is dangerous
“So you just run a dangerous game when you say, oh, Google did this. Facebook did this. Snapchat did this. Because you're not in there. You don't know why they're doing it. You don't have the data. And without that information, you're just kind of guessing that…”
Opinion
Hoover: Snapchat has unique opportunity in AR where Google Glass failed
“What's so fascinating about Snapchat is they have such a unique opportunity to actually pull this off, whereas Google Glass was super dorky and nerdy and obviously not built for like a younger audience.”
Assertion Supported
Horowitz: Snapchat innovated by back-loading employee equity vesting into year four
“Snapchat, I think is doing a very interesting innovation by having most of the vesting occur later in the fourth year, as opposed to in the first year.”
Assertion Partly supported
Russell: Snapchat has 150M daily active users using AR filters
“Well, we're already expressing ourselves every day, one hundred and fifty million daily active users expressing ourselves with these filters that Apply these three D models and textures to our faces because we think that that reflects our personality at that p…”
Assertion Supported
Evans: Direct traffic accounts for only one-quarter of BuzzFeed content views
“There's a great chart from BuzzFeed, information from BuzzFeed on where people watch content on BuzzFeed. And, you know, it's one quarter is direct, and then it's YouTube and Facebook video and Facebook images and Snapchat.”
Assertion Supported
Evans: 800 billion photos were shared on social networks in 2014
“2014, at least eight hundred billion photographs were shared on social networks across Facebook, Snapchat WeChat, and the other major networks.”
Assertion Supported
Snapchat Streaks Require Three Consecutive Days of Video or Image Exchanges
“What that meant on Snapchat is I sent you a video, not a text, not a chat, a video, a snap, or image, image or video, and you sent me back something in a 24 hour period as well. And streak doesn't appear until three days of doing that.”