The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 5 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Assertion Supported
George: ChatGPT daily users average 30 minutes per day
“Active daily active users of chat GPT are ready today. Spend like 30 minutes at 20, 28, 29 minutes a day on the product. And, you know, to put that into context, I think Instagram's like 50 minutes a day and, you know, tick tock like Sadly, it's like 70 minute…”
David George Jan 26, 2026 ▶ 15:22 The Biggest Bottlenecks For AI: Energy & Cooling
Assertion Supported
Instagram intentionally targeted photographers and designers at launch, says Bailey Richardson
“From my perspective of at least how we grew Instagram, we started out with this core audience of people that were photographers and designers, and that's actually who we went and spoke to when we released the app, and who we promoted right away, because we fel…”
Bailey Richardson Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 14:04 a16z Podcast | I Reject the Term Viral Video
Assertion Supported
García Martínez: At least 97% of Instagram ad viewers do not engage
“You know, the CTR, the click through rate, like how often a user engages on a thing like Instagram, at least 97% of people who looked at it. We're just completely indifferent to the thing.”
Antonio García Martínez Jul 30, 2025 ▶ 30:12 AI Content and the War for Your Attention
Assertion Supported
Evans: Facebook bought Instagram for 1% and WhatsApp for 10% of valuation
“They bought Instagram for whatever it was, one percent of the value of the company, and then they bought Facebook for, so then they bought WhatsApp for, say, 10% of the value of the company.”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 7:59 a16z Podcast | Messaging is the Medium
Assertion Supported
Smith: Instagram had 13 employees when acquired for $1 billion in 2012
“Instagram, for example, had 13 employees when it was sold for a billion dollars, and that was in 2012.”
Steph Smith May 25, 2023 ▶ 0:41 The Rise of the Exponential Organization with Peter Diamandis and Salim Ismail
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