The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 6 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Not checkable as stated
Baker: AI browser startups will regret competing against Google Chrome
“I think the AI companies that have launched these AI browsers may come to regret it, because there's something called Chrome that has whatever it is, five billion users, and if you're Google you know, you can just go look at what happened with Google Buzz.”
Gavin Baker Oct 30, 2025 ▶ 20:08 "Is there an AI bubble?” Gavin Baker and David George
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Evans: Google could move to a web-only Chrome phone within five years
“It's entirely possible that in five years' time, Google's mobile story is a Chrome phone that only runs web apps.”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 24:05 a16z Podcast | Messaging is the Medium
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Evans: Terms like 'app' and 'installed' will be obsolete in five years
“I mean, if I was to say, That I installed a app on my Android smartphone in five years' time. I don't know what any of those words would mean. I don't know what installed would mean, because is that a web app? Is it something happening within a messaging syste…”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 14:18 a16z Podcast | Apple and Google Won the Mobile OS War, But a New War Has Already Begun
Opinion
Evans: Google should make Chrome HDMI sticks for enterprise computing
“That's what I think Google should be doing with Chrome. They should be making HDMI sticks.”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 21:28 a16z Podcast | The $200 PC in the Enterprise
Assertion Supported
Grant: Call center workers using Chrome or Firefox stay 15% longer
“Basically what he found was Chrome and Firefox users were on average getting in call center jobs to customer satisfaction rates in 90 days that took Internet Explorer and Safari users a 120 days to reach. And the Chrome and Firefox users also stuck around 15% …”
Adam Grant Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 1:57 a16z Podcast | How to Be Original and Make Big Ideas Happen
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Evans: Chrome-based phones could reduce Android to a legacy runtime
“It is entirely possible, for example, that we could be sitting here using Chrome-based phones In which Android is a sort of legacy runtime.”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 10:15 a16z Podcast | Enough with the Old Stuff -- Time for New Questions in Mobile
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