The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 41 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Litt: Multiple preprint papers have appeared with identical AI-generated proofs
“Like, sometimes, you know, we've seen examples where, like, three or four or five papers with the exact same proof of the exact same theorem have come out in, within a couple days of each other, which is clearly, you know, some situation where someone's playin…”
Rampell: 15 percent of global adults use ChatGPT weekly
“Something like 15% of adults on planet Earth now use ChatGPT every single week.”
Moore: Perplexity Comet browser launch traffic surpassed ChatGPT Atlas
“If you look at the data, like the spike at launch and the sustained traffic for Comet was actually much higher than for ChatGBT's own browser launch, Atlas, which is kind of crazy given how much more distribution ChatGBT has than Perplexity.”
Evans: Claude has virtually no consumer usage despite top benchmark scores
“It's basically, the only consumer, Claude has basically no consumer usage, even though on the benchmark score it's the same. And then it's ChatGPT, and then halfway down the chart, it's Meta and Google.”
Sherman Wu: ChatGPT has reached 800 million weekly active users
“The first party app is a really great way to get, you know it was like eight hundred million wows or whatever now.”
Huang: More people program using ChatGPT today than C++
“The fact is there are more people who program computers using ChatGPT today than there are people who program computers using C++.”
Moore: ChatGPT Is 30x Larger Than Claude on Web, 80x on Mobile
“On web, they're 2.7 times bigger than Gemini. On mobile, they're 2.5 times bigger than Gemini. And then, despite, again, like, the kind of tech Twitter discourse Claude, they're almost 30 times bigger than Claude on web, and almost 80 times bigger than Claude …”
Acharya: ChatGPT Has Reached 900 Million User Signups
“They have signups for nine hundred million people”
Moore: Roughly One-Third of Americans Use AI Tools Monthly
“Like in the US, it's around probably a third of people are, Monthly active users of something like a ChatGPT.”
George: ChatGPT reached 365 billion searches five times faster than Google
“The time to get to three hundred and sixty five billion searches on chat GPT was two years. The time for Google to get to three hundred and sixty five billion searches was 11 years.”
George: ChatGPT daily users average 30 minutes per day
“Active daily active users of chat GPT are ready today. Spend like 30 minutes at 20, 28, 29 minutes a day on the product. And, you know, to put that into context, I think Instagram's like 50 minutes a day and, you know, tick tock like Sadly, it's like 70 minute…”
Olivia Moore: Less than 10% of ChatGPT users tried rival LLMs in 2025
“For most of the year, less than 10% of ChatGPT users even visited another one of the big LLM providers.”
Olivia Moore: Gemini hits 50% of ChatGPT scale on Android, 17% on iOS
“Like, if you look at Android, Gemini is at, like, 50% of ChatGPT's scale on mobile, whereas on iOS it's, like, 17%.”
Evans: ChatGPT has 800-900 million weekly active users, 5% paying
“ChatGPT has got eight or nine hundred million weekly active users. Five percent of people are paying.”
Acharya: Consumers are paying up to $300 monthly for AI subscriptions
“The top chat GPT SKU is 200 a month. The top Gemini SKU Google Ultra is two 50. And then Grok is 300 a month. And consumers are actually paying that amount.”
Google Gemini reaches half of ChatGPT's mobile app traffic
“Gemini was number two. It was right behind ChatGPT. It has just about 10% of ChatGPT's traffic on web, but it's much closer on mobile. It's like half of ChatGPT's traffic on the mobile app, which is interesting. It's mostly Android users, which I think you wou…”
Acharya: DeepSeek offered reasoning models for free vs OpenAI's paid tier
“So, one I think important nuance is the fact that they released their reasoning model for free at scale, so previously you had to use O-one Pro, and you had to pay ChatGPT's premium subscription to get access to it.”
Immerman: 10% of consumers name ChatGPT as primary search engine
“10% of consumers, they're now referring to ChatGPT as their search engine of choice.”
Andreessen: GPT-4 can write screenplays using the Save the Cat framework
“One of the things you can do with like GPT-IV, you know, with like ChatGPT or with whatever, you know, Bing, Bing Chat or whatever you can actually use it will write you screenplays today, and what you can do, you can just tell it, write me a screenplay about,…”
Sal Khan: 40% of teachers used ChatGPT within months of release
“Within a month or two, 40% of teachers were using this very imperfect tool for themselves for things like lesson planning, and students were already using it”
Yang: OpenAI Will Integrate Personal Agent Capabilities Directly Into ChatGPT
“I mean, I think that's what Peter Steinberg is working out at OpenAI, right? Yeah. He's probably going to build something to ChatGPT, which everybody uses so that ChatGPT can actually get stuff done for you and, like, maybe feels more human.”
Moore: Claude and ChatGPT App Stores Share Only 11% Overlap
“If you actually look at the app stores that are emerging on Cloud and ChatGPT, they both have 200 plus apps, but there's only 11% overlap.”
Moore: OpenAI's Sora Reached 1 Million Users Faster Than ChatGPT
“And they actually hit a million users faster than ChatGPT itself.”
Moore: ChatGPT web visits remained flat from February 2023 to February 2024
“Between February, 20, 23, basically for a whole year through February, 20, 24, it was essentially flat in monthly visits to the website.”
Moore: DeepSeek mobile app achieves 7% 30-day retention versus ChatGPT's 9%
“On a retention basis, like, how many users are coming back to the app, say, Exactly 30 days, exactly seven days, exactly 60 days. It's just slightly below ChatGPT. So we're looking at seven percent day 30 for DeepSeq and nine percent day 30 for ChatGPT.”
Moore: ChatGPT doubled weekly active users to 400M in six months
“In the past six months, they grew from two hundred million to four hundred million weekly active users.”
Moore: DeepSeek reached #2 AI web product within a week of launch
“We only had 10 days of data for Deep Seek for January, because it launched at the end of the month, and it shot up from literally nothing to number two on the list, you know, 10% of ChatGPT scale on web within a week, a little bit more than a week.”
Casado: Leading AI consumer products launch web-first before releasing APIs
“Anecdotally, other than like, say, maybe like mid-journey and Discord, all of these are web technologies, like ChatGPT, Ideogram, like all of them, Claude, I mean, it seems like that the first place that they land is a website, and then maybe an API, which you…”
Long: Social engineering attacks rose over 4x since ChatGPT launch
“So since ChatGPT came out a little over two years ago, we've seen over a four X increase in social engineering attacks.”
Most top web AI companion apps rely on uncensored models
“Most of them were actually uncensored models. So not to say they were all NSFW, because that isn't necessarily the use case, but they allow you more freedom to talk about different topics, do different things than you can do if you were just trying to use Chat…”
Andreessen: ChatGPT stemmed from Alec Radford's early LLM work at OpenAI
“The origin story of even, even ChatGPT is this is not what OpenAI actually started to do. They started to do something different, and then there was actually one guy who actually his name is, I think Alec Radford, and he literally was, like, off in the corner …”
A Colombian judge wrote an official court opinion using ChatGPT
“A Colombian judge recently wrote one of their opinions using ChatGPT.”
Moore: ChatGPT Reaches 10% Global Weekly Active User Penetration
“ChatGPT is by far the biggest global AI product, and still only 10% of the global population is using it on a weekly active basis.”
Moore: China Has Lowest Combined ChatGPT and Gemini Usage at 15%
“They actually have the lowest combined Chachi, BT, and Gemini usage of any country. It's only 15%.”
Kim: Five of top 10 iOS productivity apps are Google, ChatGPT #1
“If you go to app store today, top five out of top 10 productivity apps are all Google. It's insane. And Chachi B is number one.”
Kuyda: OpenAI research shows one-third of ChatGPT usage is writing help
“OpenAI published one of those research one of those studies showing that these are, in fact, the main use cases for Chagipty. I think a third of all, all of the use was around writing writing help.”
Agarwala: HHS deployed enterprise-secure ChatGPT across the entire agency
“HHS rolled out across, you know, agency-wide an enterprise secure version of ChatGPT”
Acharya: ChatGPT has roughly 500 million monthly active users
“ChatGPD has about five hundred million monthly active users.”
Murati: ChatGPT uses same core model as OpenAI API plus RLHF
“It's fundamentally the same technology, maybe with a small difference, with reinforcement learning, with human feedback. For ChatGPT, but it's fundamentally the same technology, and the reaction, and the ability to grab people's imagination, and to get them to…”