Carl Pope, former executive director of the Sierra Club, predicts how shared autonomous transportation will alter urban and suburban real estate dynamics.
“Then all of a sudden, a huge amount of urban real estate, downtown central city real estate opens up. And I think what it does is it sucks both residential and business activity away from the inner ring of suburbs. Those hollow out, and then we have the challenge of what do we do now with a hollow core around a vibrant, a hollow ring around a vibrant metropolis.”
quote is from the automated transcript, cleaned for reading:
filler sounds and stutters are removed, nothing is rephrased. names can be misheard
(the analysis reads context, assessments check outside sources). how →
More from Carl Pope
PredictionNot checkable as stated
Pope: Future cities will restrict human drivers to dedicated lanes
“And at that point, we will have to take the right to drive away from people, unless they're in dedicated, you can drive it lanes. We now have bike lanes which are dedicated and special. You can drive your own vehicle lanes are going to become dedicated and spe…”
Carl PopeJan 2, 2019▶ 27:06a16z Podcast | Cars and Cities, the Autonomy Edition
AssertionContradicted
Pope: US cities devote more space to parking than housing
“From my perspective, we have to remember that in every American city, with the possible exception of New York, more space is devoted to sleeping cars than sleeping people.”
Carl PopeJan 2, 2019▶ 2:47a16z Podcast | Cars and Cities, the Autonomy Edition
PredictionDidn’t hold up
Pope: The autonomous vehicle transition could be complete by 2025
“So it might start a little later than the optimists think. Might start in 2022, but it might be over by 2025.”
Carl PopeJan 2, 2019▶ 7:36a16z Podcast | Cars and Cities, the Autonomy Edition
PredictionNot checkable as stated
Pope: Driving your own car will become an expensive luxury option
“And once you start selling autonomous cars in large numbers, people will not buy cars that have to be driven. Being able to drive your own car is going to become a very expensive option. It's going to be like leather seats, but much more expensive.”
Carl PopeJan 2, 2019▶ 7:49a16z Podcast | Cars and Cities, the Autonomy Edition
PredictionNot checkable as stated
Pope: At 70% AV adoption, pedestrians will cross streets without looking
“We'll reach a tipping point when, say, 70% of the vehicles on the road are being driven by a robot which, like a horse, will not run someone down. And at that point, pedestrians are going to start crossing streets the way they did in 1900, without looking and …”
Carl PopeJan 2, 2019▶ 26:49a16z Podcast | Cars and Cities, the Autonomy Edition
PredictionDidn’t hold up
Pope: Driving is the largest U.S. profession and will be automated away
“We're going to lose the largest profession in the United States, which is driver.”
Carl PopeJan 2, 2019▶ 33:06a16z Podcast | Cars and Cities, the Autonomy Edition
Made with StarZero
Turn any episode into a week of clips.
This entire site, over 1,000 episodes transcribed, diarized, checked and made playable,
runs on the StarZero media pipeline. Drop in your own episode and the podcast clipper finds the
moments worth sharing, cuts them, captions them, and reframes them for every feed.
We use essential cookies to make the site work. With your permission we
also use analytics cookies (Google Analytics and Mixpanel) to understand
usage and improve StarZero. See our Cookie Policy.