Prediction certainty 4/5 debate potential 4/5

Pope: Future cities will restrict human drivers to dedicated lanes

Carl Pope · a16z Podcast | Cars and Cities, the Autonomy Edition · Jan 2, 2019 · at 27:06

Carl Pope discusses the legal and infrastructure shifts necessary when robot cars outnumber human drivers on the a16z Podcast.

0:00 / 0:26exact quote · 26.6s
▶ Watch the full episode on YouTube → 720p mp4 · rendered on demand · StarZero watermark
“And at that point, we will have to take the right to drive away from people, unless they're in dedicated, you can drive it lanes. We now have bike lanes which are dedicated and special. You can drive your own vehicle lanes are going to become dedicated and special in the city of the future because the risks of having driven cars with properly managed robot cars is just going to be too high.”

quote is from the automated transcript, cleaned for reading: filler sounds and stutters are removed, nothing is rephrased. names can be misheard (the analysis reads context, assessments check outside sources). how →

More from Carl Pope

Assertion Contradicted
Pope: US cities devote more space to parking than housing
“From my perspective, we have to remember that in every American city, with the possible exception of New York, more space is devoted to sleeping cars than sleeping people.”
Carl Pope Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 2:47 a16z Podcast | Cars and Cities, the Autonomy Edition
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Pope: Autonomous vehicles will hollow out inner-ring suburbs
“Then all of a sudden, a huge amount of urban real estate, downtown central city real estate opens up. And I think what it does is it sucks both residential and business activity away from the inner ring of suburbs. Those hollow out, and then we have the challe…”
Carl Pope Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 3:11 a16z Podcast | Cars and Cities, the Autonomy Edition
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Pope: The autonomous vehicle transition could be complete by 2025
“So it might start a little later than the optimists think. Might start in 2022, but it might be over by 2025.”
Carl Pope Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 7:36 a16z Podcast | Cars and Cities, the Autonomy Edition
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Pope: Driving your own car will become an expensive luxury option
“And once you start selling autonomous cars in large numbers, people will not buy cars that have to be driven. Being able to drive your own car is going to become a very expensive option. It's going to be like leather seats, but much more expensive.”
Carl Pope Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 7:49 a16z Podcast | Cars and Cities, the Autonomy Edition
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Pope: At 70% AV adoption, pedestrians will cross streets without looking
“We'll reach a tipping point when, say, 70% of the vehicles on the road are being driven by a robot which, like a horse, will not run someone down. And at that point, pedestrians are going to start crossing streets the way they did in 1900, without looking and …”
Carl Pope Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 26:49 a16z Podcast | Cars and Cities, the Autonomy Edition
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Pope: Driving is the largest U.S. profession and will be automated away
“We're going to lose the largest profession in the United States, which is driver.”
Carl Pope Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 33:06 a16z Podcast | Cars and Cities, the Autonomy Edition
Made with StarZero

Turn any episode into a week of clips.

This entire site, over 1,000 episodes transcribed, diarized, checked and made playable, runs on the StarZero media pipeline. Drop in your own episode and the podcast clipper finds the moments worth sharing, cuts them, captions them, and reframes them for every feed.