Dan Birkenstock

Distinguished Research Fellow, Hoover Institution · 1 appearance on the record.

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Dan Berkenstock was the founding CEO and Chief Product Officer of Skybox Imaging, an Earth imaging company acquired by Google. He is a Distinguished Research Fellow at Stanford University's Hoover Institution focusing on space security and defense policy.

4statements → 2claims → 2claims resolved → 4.25/5average certainty → 2/5average debate potential →

1 supported 0 partly supported 1 contradicted how the 2 claims stand · each chip opens the sources

2 assertions · 1 insight · 1 disclosure · every statement was checked. The predictions and assertions are the 2 claims: statements the public record can support or contradict. 2 are resolved. Everything else (opinions, insights, what ifs, disclosures) can never be settled by the record, so it carries no assessment.

The record, in short

What the tape says about how Dan argues and how the claims held up. Everything they said, and everything said about them, is in the tabs below.

Their most notable supported claim

Assertion Supported

Birkenstock: Satellite flight computer costs fell from $250,000 to $250

“What we do know today is that there has truly been an inflection point in the technology capabilities in space, and especially in the unit economics. Now, 1015 years ago, the common wisdom was that you bought a 250,000 dollar spacecraft flight computer that ha…”

Dan Birkenstock Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 6:30 a16z Podcast | Space -- the Near Frontier

Their most notable contradicted claim

Assertion Contradicted

Birkenstock: GPS was almost canceled over a report citing six use cases

“And GPS almost got killed because of a federal report that indicated like six potential use cases for GPS.”

Dan Birkenstock Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 11:11 a16z Podcast | Space -- the Near Frontier

What they said4 Episodes1

Everything Dan Birkenstock said on the a16z Podcast that made the record, most notable first. Filter by type, assessment or year in the ledger →

Assertion Supported

Birkenstock: Satellite flight computer costs fell from $250,000 to $250

Dan Birkenstock Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 6:30 a16z Podcast | Space -- the Near Frontier

Disclosure

Birkenstock: Ukraine-Russia dispute cost his satellite company $10M in delays

“We caught a, Year delay, which cost us almost ten million dollars because of a diplomatic spat between Ukraine and Russia.”

Dan Birkenstock Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 12:27 a16z Podcast | Space -- the Near Frontier

Insight

Birkenstock: Space tech is mature, but space business models remain nascent

“Today is at a point where the technologies are becoming mature, but the businesses are still quite nascent.”

Dan Birkenstock Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 7:49 a16z Podcast | Space -- the Near Frontier