The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 4 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Assertion Supported
Birkenstock: Satellite flight computer costs fell from $250,000 to $250
“What we do know today is that there has truly been an inflection point in the technology capabilities in space, and especially in the unit economics. Now, 1015 years ago, the common wisdom was that you bought a 250,000 dollar spacecraft flight computer that ha…”
Dan Birkenstock Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 6:30 a16z Podcast | Space -- the Near Frontier
Disclosure
Birkenstock: Ukraine-Russia dispute cost his satellite company $10M in delays
“We caught a, Year delay, which cost us almost ten million dollars because of a diplomatic spat between Ukraine and Russia.”
Dan Birkenstock Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 12:27 a16z Podcast | Space -- the Near Frontier
Insight
Birkenstock: Space tech is mature, but space business models remain nascent
“Today is at a point where the technologies are becoming mature, but the businesses are still quite nascent.”
Dan Birkenstock Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 7:49 a16z Podcast | Space -- the Near Frontier
Assertion Contradicted
Birkenstock: GPS was almost canceled over a report citing six use cases
“And GPS almost got killed because of a federal report that indicated like six potential use cases for GPS.”
Dan Birkenstock Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 11:11 a16z Podcast | Space -- the Near Frontier
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