US economy

also referred to as: u.s. economy

9 statements across 8 episodes · 3 bullish · 4 bearish · 6 people on the record · first statement Jan 2, 2019 by Tyler Cowen · across every show →

Everything said about US economy, oldest first

Jan 2, 2019 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Cowen: The US is on the verge of a massive productivity takeoff
“But I think with many new technologies in human history, the first 20, 30 years, they don't deliver what they promise, and then there's a huge explosive takeoff, precisely when everyone's all disillusioned. So I think we're actually on the verge of a new treme…”
Tyler Cowen Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 33:26 a16z Podcast | Technology, Mobility, and the American Dream
Jan 2, 2019 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Cowen: US economy has more barriers to entry than ever
“There are more barriers to entry in our economy than ever before.”
Tyler Cowen Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 0:48 a16z Podcast | Technology, Mobility, and the American Dream
Jan 2, 2019 bearish
Assertion Supported
Andreessen: U.S. new company creation has fallen for 40 years
“Generally what's happening is the rate of introduction of new companies in the economy has been falling for 40 years and is showing no sign of resuming. So there's more economic stability as measured by company creation and destruction than there has been in, …”
Marc Andreessen Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 2:56 a16z Podcast | From Jobs to Flying Cars
Jan 2, 2019 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Arthur: U.S. economy will reorganize around autonomous intelligence within two decades
“I think what's going to happen in the next decade or two, the story in the US economy is simply going to be that Huge industries are going to reorganize themselves along the lines of autonomous intelligence.”
W. Brian Arthur Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 1:00:39 a16z Podcast | Network Effects, Origin Stories, and the Evolution of Tech
Mar 13, 2024 bearish
Assertion Supported
Andreessen: US productivity growth slowed significantly after the 1960s
“The US economy downshifted its rate of technological change you know, basically since the 19 sixties in technological changes measured by productivity growth in the economy was much faster prior to the last 50 years than the most recent 50 years.”
Marc Andreessen Mar 13, 2024 ▶ 17:26 America Needs More Techno-Optimism, with Marc Andreessen and Tyler Cowen
Aug 5, 2025 negative
Assertion Supported
Andreessen: U.S. productivity and economic growth permanently slowed after 1971
“Around, you know, 1971, basically the U.S. Economy permanently downshifted its growth rate. And both in terms of productivity growth, which of course measures technological transformation in the economy as well as economic growth.”
Marc Andreessen Aug 5, 2025 ▶ 8:46 Marc Andreessen: The US is in a AI Arms Race & It Decides The World's Future
Oct 16, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Keith Rabois predicts AI will enable 4% to 6% inflation-free GDP growth
“Well, I think you can run four to six percent durably without inflation, which is magic.”
Keith Rabois Oct 16, 2025 ▶ 9:49 Keith Rabois: Israel, OpenAI, Opendoor, and DOGE
Oct 23, 2025 neutral
Opinion
Masad: The entire US economy is effectively a bet on AGI
“Now the entire US economy is sort of a bet on AGI”
Amjad Masad Oct 23, 2025 ▶ 34:27 Marc Andreessen & Amjad Masad on “Good Enough” AI, AGI, and the End of Coding
Sep 10, 2026 neutral
Assertion Not yet assessed · timeframe Sep 2026
George: US economy spends roughly 40x more on labor than software
“If you just look at like how much of, you know, dollars are spent in the U S economy on labor versus software, it's like something like 40 times more.”
David George Sep 10, 2026 ▶ 6:48 Why Investors Are Rethinking Everything for the AI Era
Made with StarZero

Turn any episode into a week of clips.

This entire site, over 1,000 episodes transcribed, diarized, checked and made playable, runs on the StarZero media pipeline. Drop in your own episode and the podcast clipper finds the moments worth sharing, cuts them, captions them, and reframes them for every feed.