Moore's law

17 statements across 16 episodes · 11 bullish · 4 bearish · 11 people on the record · first statement Jul 15, 2017 by Frank Chen · said 3 times in 3 episodes since 2019 · across every show →

Mentions by year

brought up most by Sonal Chokshi (1), John Hennessy (1)

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2023 1 mention in 1 episode
2019 2 mentions in 2 episodes 1 per episode

every mention, scene by scene, with the transcript →

Everything said about Moore's law, oldest first

Jul 15, 2017 bullish
Assertion Supported
Chen: Quantum coherence times are improving faster than Moore's Law
“In particular, the quantum coherence time seems to be progressing very, very quickly these days, and in fact, faster than Moore's Law”
Frank Chen Jul 15, 2017 ▶ 20:28 Quantum Computing: A Primer
Jan 2, 2019 bullish
Opinion
Chris Dixon: Moore's Law will allow web apps to match native performance
“Yeah, I mean, there's one school of thought that That the web can never have the same UX performance characteristics of native apps, but that just seems like it's on the wrong side of Moore's law.”
Chris Dixon Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 9:50 a16z Podcast | Searching for Mobile’s Own PageRank
Jan 2, 2019 positive
Insight
Evans: Increasing CPU power enables operating systems to safely sandbox features
“The more CPU you've got, the more things you can put inside of sandbox instead of letting them run on bare metal.”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 7:39 a16z Podcast | The Apple WWDC 2014 Deep Dive
Jan 2, 2019 bearish
Opinion
Masters: Food production cannot achieve Moore's Law-style exponential growth
“It would be really hard actually to like improve you know, global food production in any sort of exponential way that, that resembles Moore's law.”
Blake Masters Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 3:16 a16z Podcast | Secrets, Power Laws, and Technology – The Ideas of “Zero to One”
Jan 2, 2019 bullish
Insight
Computational biology startups follow Moore's Law instead of Eroom's Law, says Pandey
“That traditional biotech is governed by Oom's law, and these are governed much more by Moore's law.”
Vijay Pande Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 29:24 a16z Podcast | When Bio Meets Computer Science
Jan 2, 2019 bearish
Opinion
Standage: AI intelligence takeoff will not be exponential due to scaling limits
“But the point is that a system that's twice as good, if it's, say, an order, you know, an order, it might scale non-linearly. So it might be 256 times harder to build a system that's twice as good, and so every incremental improvement is going to take longer, …”
Tom Standage Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 24:57 a16z Podcast | Artificial Intelligence and the 'Space of Possible Minds'
Jan 2, 2019 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Pandey: Exponential compute and genomic cost declines make health tech transformation inevitable
“The, there's almost like a deterministic nature of Moore's law, that the cost of compute and cost of genomics and these things decreasing exponentially. That actually is something that's really hard to avoid, and so in my mind, it's not really a question of if…”
Vijay Pande Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 28:42 a16z Podcast | Move Fast But Don't Break Things (When It Comes to Computational Biology)
Jan 2, 2019
Assertion Contradicted
Andreessen: Moore's law has flipped from performance gains to price cuts
“Moore's law has now flipped. The dynamic now, instead of increased performance, has reduced cost. You now have this dynamic where every year, year and a half, the chip companies come out with a chip that's just as fast, but half the price.”
Marc Andreessen Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 2:25 a16z Podcast | Software Programs the World
Jan 2, 2019 positive
Assertion Supported
Ott: DNA sequencing cost reductions have outpaced Moore's Law by magnitudes
“And it's beat Moore's law by several magnitudes.”
Gabriel Ott Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 4:04 a16z Podcast | On the Genomics of Disease, From Science to Business
Jan 2, 2019
Insight
Chris Dixon: Moore's Law is fundamentally an economic principle
“Whereas Moore's Law, really, the spirit of Moore's Law is an economic principle. Which is when the computing industry really cares about something, and the economic engine gets going, things tend to get better very quickly.”
Chris Dixon Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 6:27 a16z Podcast | Quantum Computing, Now and Next
Jan 2, 2019 negative
Opinion
McAfee: Increased computing power will not make central economic planning viable
“And the idea that we're out of that world because of Moore's law, because we have much more computational power now, I find that ludicrous.”
Andrew McAfee (Andy) Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 18:02 a16z Podcast | Companies, Networks, Crowds
Dec 12, 2019 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Andreessen: Computing will see decades of advances beyond classic Moore's Law
“And so with those different approaches, it feels like we've got, you know, it feels like decades of advances ahead that aren't purely dependent on classic Moore's law.”
Marc Andreessen Dec 12, 2019 ▶ 18:28 Why You Should Be Optimistic About the Future
Dec 12, 2019 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Andreessen: Traditional single-chip semiconductor scaling has reached fundamental atomic limits
“So the bad news is that that in, in that form seems to be coming to something of an end which is we have, we're too good at it. We've hit basically, we being the semiconductor industry broadly, the tech industry have kind of hit the limits of fundamental physi…”
Marc Andreessen Dec 12, 2019 ▶ 16:06 Why You Should Be Optimistic About the Future
Aug 16, 2023 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Appenzeller: Moore's law is still alive as of 2023
“Moore's law is actually still, as of today, alive and kicking, right?”
Guido Appenzeller Aug 16, 2023 ▶ 12:06 AI Hardware, Explained.
Sep 5, 2024 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Vijay Pande: Compute costs will fall a million-fold over 20 years
“The nice thing about the exponentials is that, you know, things will go down a factor of a thousand, like, every 10 years on the Moore's Law side, and we'll continue to see that. So, a thousand, maybe in 20 years, a million, you know, a thousand times a thousa…”
Vijay Pande Sep 5, 2024 ▶ 9:59 Implementation, Data, Impact of Healthcare AI with Julie and Vijay
Oct 17, 2024 positive
Opinion
Lisa Su: Moore's Law continues because people find new ways to extend it
“And by the way, I'm a believer in, in, you know Moore's law has been extended so many times because people are super smart and able to come up with different ways of extending the same principle of, you know, more transistors, more capability every couple of y…”
Lisa Su Oct 17, 2024 ▶ 21:53 How to Build a Thriving AI Ecosystem with Lisa Su, CEO of AMD
Jan 7, 2026 bullish
Assertion Supported
Andreessen: AI Costs Are Falling Much Faster Than Moore's Law
“If you look at what's happening with, ah, the price of AI is falling much faster than Moore's Law.”
Marc Andreessen Jan 7, 2026 ▶ 13:44 Marc Andreessen's 2026 Outlook: AI Timelines, US vs. China, and The Price of AI
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