Gemini

includes Gemini 1.5, Gemini 2.0 Flash, Gemini 2.5, Gemini 3, Gemini 3.7 Flash, Gemini API, Gemini DeepThink, Gemini Flash, Gemini Ultra, Gemini App

19 statements across 13 episodes · 9 bullish · 3 bearish · 12 people on the record · first statement Jul 16, 2024 by Marc Andreessen · said 96 times in 43 episodes since 2024 · across every show →

Mentions by year, the whole family

brought up most by Olivia Moore (20), Justine Moore (13), Anish Acharya (11), Marc Andreessen (5), Alex Rampell (5), Gavin Baker (4), Oliver Wang (3), Nathan Labenz (3)

tap a year for its mentions
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01530202420252026episodes it came up in
001.515330202420252026episodesmentions per episode
2026 22 mentions in 8 episodes 3 per episode
2025 68 mentions in 29 episodes 2 per episode
2024 6 mentions in 6 episodes 1 per episode

every mention, scene by scene, with the transcript →

Everything said about Gemini, oldest first

Jul 16, 2024 neutral
Assertion Partly supported
Andreessen: Google shelved 2017 transformer breakthrough until startups forced its hand
“Google invented the transformer in 2017 and then put it on a shelf. And then startups came in and sort of picked up that idea and ran with it, OpenAI and now Anthropic and others and many others now. And then as a consequence, Google has now been forced to rea…”
Marc Andreessen Jul 16, 2024 ▶ 19:53 Trump Vs. Biden: Tech Policy
Jul 23, 2024 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Casey: Alphabet will fix Gemini AI image generation problems and recover
“I bet it's gonna be okay. They have a little time to figure it out and correct the image generation.”
Mark Casey Jul 23, 2024 ▶ 6:44 Mark Casey (Capital Group): Public Market and Macro Perspectives
May 31, 2025 bullish
Assertion Supported
George: Google's Gemini models are currently state-of-the-art across multiple domains
“They actually have the best models right now. Like, they have the leading, you know, the state-of-the-art models in Gemini across a bunch of different domains.”
David George May 31, 2025 ▶ 18:04 Where Crypto Meets AI with Chris Dixon & David George
Aug 14, 2025 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Lingelbach: Claude dominates coding, OpenAI general use, Gemini enterprise
“Claude has become kind of the de facto coding model, opening eyes, that general assistant. Gemini is, like, powering a lot of enterprise use cases now, just due to its, like, cost effectiveness, speed, and general capabilities.”
Michael Lingelbach Aug 14, 2025 ▶ 8:27 Why AI Characters & Virtual Influencers Are the Next Frontier in Video ft Hedra’s Michael Lingelbach
Aug 27, 2025 positive
Assertion Supported
Google Gemini reaches half of ChatGPT's mobile app traffic
“Gemini was number two. It was right behind ChatGPT. It has just about 10% of ChatGPT's traffic on web, but it's much closer on mobile. It's like half of ChatGPT's traffic on the mobile app, which is interesting. It's mostly Android users, which I think you wou…”
Olivia Moore Aug 27, 2025 ▶ 4:28 The Top 100 Most Used AI Apps in 2025
Oct 14, 2025 positive
Assertion Supported
Labenz: Google's AI Co-Scientist solved an open virology problem independently
“And they gave it legitimately unsolved problems in science, and in one particularly famous, kind of notorious case, it came up with a Hypothesis, which it wasn't able to verify because it doesn't have direct access to actually run the experiments in the lab, b…”
Nathan Labenz Oct 14, 2025 ▶ 17:06 Is AI Slowing Down? Nathan Labenz Says We're Asking the Wrong Question
Oct 16, 2025 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Alex Rampell asserts Google is artificially inflating Gemini daily active user metrics
“And I think the metrics that they're kind of faking right now is it's like what percentage of our users are using AI and that's not using Gemini as a DAU. I'm sure of that. It's just like they have like an AI summary, something, something in there, but they're…”
Alex Rampell Oct 16, 2025 ▶ 18:30 Keith Rabois: Israel, OpenAI, Opendoor, and DOGE
Oct 30, 2025 bullish
Assertion Contradicted
Baker: Google surpassed OpenAI and Anthropic in total AI traffic
“I think they've taken 15 or 20 points of traffic share in the last two or three months, and that does not, that's just traffic to Gemini. It does not include search overviews. I suspect on a actual traffic basis, Google is bigger than OpenAI, Anthropic, anyone…”
Gavin Baker Oct 30, 2025 ▶ 8:48 "Is there an AI bubble?” Gavin Baker and David George
Nov 7, 2025
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Amjad Masad: Non-technical consumers routinely switch between multiple competing AI models
“Not particularly technical consumers actually do use multiple AIs. Like I didn't expect that, like, you know, people only use Google. They never like looked at Google and then Yahoo or like very few people do it. But now you talk to just average people and the…”
Amjad Masad Nov 7, 2025 ▶ 40:07 Amjad Masad & Adam D’Angelo: How Far Are We From AGI?
Nov 17, 2025 negative
Opinion
Shear: ChatGPT is sycophantic, Claude is neurotic, and Gemini is repressed
“ChatGPT is a little bit more sycophantic still. They made some changes, but it's still a little more sycophantic. Claude is still the most neurotic. Gemini is, like, very clearly repressed.”
Emmett Shear Nov 17, 2025 ▶ 57:46 Emmett Shear on Building AI That Actually Cares: Beyond Control and Steering
Dec 29, 2025 bullish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Moore: Gemini desktop users growing 155% year over year and accelerating
“With the launch of new viral models like Nano Banana, Gemini is now growing desktop users a 155% year over year, which is actually accelerating even as they reach more scale, which is pretty crazy to see.”
Olivia Moore Dec 29, 2025 ▶ 1:49 Where does consumer AI stand at the end of 2025?
Dec 29, 2025 bearish
Opinion
Kim: Pure text AI startups cannot compete against major labs
“When the input and the output is text. Where ChatGPT and Gemini of the world shine the most, no matter how deeper you go, no matter how specific you think your text output is going to be, essentially given the frequency of the usage of the main Big Lab product…”
Bryan Kim Dec 29, 2025 ▶ 33:11 Where does consumer AI stand at the end of 2025?
Dec 29, 2025
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Moore: Only 9% of AI users subscribe to multiple major LLMs
“So only nine percent of consumers are paying for more than one out of the group of ChatGPT, Gemini, Claude, and Cursor.”
Olivia Moore Dec 29, 2025 ▶ 1:08 Where does consumer AI stand at the end of 2025?
Dec 29, 2025
Assertion Supported
Olivia Moore: Gemini hits 50% of ChatGPT scale on Android, 17% on iOS
“Like, if you look at Android, Gemini is at, like, 50% of ChatGPT's scale on mobile, whereas on iOS it's, like, 17%.”
Olivia Moore Dec 29, 2025 ▶ 13:03 Where does consumer AI stand at the end of 2025?
Dec 29, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Olivia Moore: Google Gemini could rival ChatGPT's brand dominance in 2026
“But if they keep doing what they're doing on these amazing viral consumer creative tool launches and model launches, like, they could get there next year.”
Olivia Moore Dec 29, 2025 ▶ 13:38 Where does consumer AI stand at the end of 2025?
Mar 6, 2026 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Cannon-Brookes: Most businesses will run 3 to 5 AI agent platforms
“Most businesses, I think, will have three to five large scale agent platforms running internally, and they say, hey, I use Agent Force for this, or I use Gemini for this.”
Mike Cannon-Brookes Mar 6, 2026 ▶ 39:06 Atlassian CEO on the SaaS Apocalypse, AI Agents & What Comes Next
Mar 10, 2026
Assertion Supported
Moore: China Has Lowest Combined ChatGPT and Gemini Usage at 15%
“They actually have the lowest combined Chachi, BT, and Gemini usage of any country. It's only 15%.”
Olivia Moore Mar 10, 2026 ▶ 12:03 Inside a16z’s Top 100 AI Apps Report with Olivia Moore
Mar 10, 2026 bullish
Assertion Supported
Moore: ChatGPT Is 30x Larger Than Claude on Web, 80x on Mobile
“On web, they're 2.7 times bigger than Gemini. On mobile, they're 2.5 times bigger than Gemini. And then, despite, again, like, the kind of tech Twitter discourse Claude, they're almost 30 times bigger than Claude on web, and almost 80 times bigger than Claude …”
Olivia Moore Mar 10, 2026 ▶ 2:29 Inside a16z’s Top 100 AI Apps Report with Olivia Moore
Mar 10, 2026 neutral
Assertion Partly supported
Moore: Gemini User Traction Correlates With Creative Model Releases
“So if you look at their kind of active users and paying users, it's nearly perfectly correlated to releases of like VO three, Nano Banana One, Nano Banana Pro, Nano Banana Two.”
Olivia Moore Mar 10, 2026 ▶ 3:53 Inside a16z’s Top 100 AI Apps Report with Olivia Moore
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