batteries

5 statements across 4 episodes · 2 bullish · 2 bearish · 4 people on the record · first statement Jan 2, 2019 by Benedict Evans · across every show →

Everything said about batteries, oldest first

Jan 2, 2019 negative
Assertion Supported
Evans: Battery costs of $200/kWh explain why Tesla loses money
“Or is it because batteries are still 200 dollars per kilowatt hour? And that's not cost competitive with gasoline, which incidentally is also a big reason why Tesla is still losing money.”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 15:56 a16z Podcast | Tesla and the Nature of Disruption
Jun 12, 2023
Disclosure
Eviation aircraft battery packs require replacement every 3,000 flight hours
“We design our batteries to be replaced every 3000 cycles, which given our utilization is about every 3000 hours. So that could be. Two years, three years, four years, depending on how you're going to use the airplane.”
Gregory Davis Jun 12, 2023 ▶ 17:01 The Electrification of Everything: From Sky to Sea
Mar 27, 2024 bullish
Prediction Held up
McEntush: Grid batteries will expand from short-burst balancing to daily load-shifting
“Increasingly as batteries enter the grid, which as you've noted from the chart, it's not that significant penetration yet. It will start to be able to cycle over sort of a daily timeframe. So, as I mentioned earlier, taking energy from the middle of the day an…”
Ryan McEntush Mar 27, 2024 ▶ 23:55 The Electric Grid, Explained
Mar 27, 2024 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
McEntush: Batteries cannot solve multi-day or multi-week grid storage needs
“Now, the problem with batteries is they can't solve these sort of longer duration spells. So I mentioned this case where if your grid has a huge wind component, it might be not windy for weeks. Unlikely, but it's possible. Batteries are not very good at storin…”
Ryan McEntush Mar 27, 2024 ▶ 24:28 The Electric Grid, Explained
Jul 23, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Caldwell: Global lithium production capacity must 4x within 10 years
“Lithium, you know, needs to four X in the next, in terms of production capacity in the next 10 years, roughly, in order for the, ah, batteries that we want to build to be built.”
Turner Caldwell Jul 23, 2025 ▶ 44:49 The U.S. Can’t Build AI Without These Materials
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