The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 37 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 4 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Opinion
Kurtz calls competitor Cylance a one-trick pony, not a true platform
“A good example of that is silence. They shortcut it themselves to a better AV product, but they were one trick pony. They weren't a platform.”
George Kurtz Oct 14, 2021 ▶ 17:44 20VC: Crowdstrike Founder, George Kurtz on Scaling to a $60Bn Market Cap, How to Acquire and Retain the World's Best Talent & The Right Way to View Competition in Today's Market?
Prediction Open · timeframe Feb 2029
Rory O'Driscoll: CrowdStrike will not be obviated by Anthropic's security launch
“I don't think CrowdStrike's obviated by this. I think it will totally be fine. It'll continue to be a business.”
Rory O'Driscoll Feb 26, 2026 ▶ 5:14 Citrini Research Breakdown: Agents, "Ghost GDP", Consumer Spend | Figma Earnings Beat · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2026
Lemkin: Three of today's top six B2B stocks will retain 2026 leadership
“My Pekumumusukus, Pekumumusukus, Palantir, Cloudflare, Mongo, Shopify, CrowdStrike, Snowflake, I'll bet you 10 grand, three of them are in the top six of this cohort at the end of next year.”
Jason Lemkin Dec 22, 2025 ▶ 40:01 Predictions for 2026: Top Buy & Biggest Short | Why Salesforce Could Win & NVIDIA’s Challenges · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Prediction Open · timeframe Jul 2027
Lemkin: July 2024 global outage will not destroy CrowdStrike
“It's, it has, it is a service and we'll give them one pass. I don't think it will bring them down.”
Jason Lemkin Jul 24, 2024 ▶ 29:04 Jason Lemkin: Crowdstrike, WTF Happens From Here? Wiz Rejects Google’s $23BN Acquisition Offer|E1181 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Prediction Held up
Lemkin: CrowdStrike market cap will rebound to $83B by Christmas 2024
“I'm going to guess it bridges 50% of the gap. So was it a hundred? Today it's at 66. So I'm going to guess it makes back 17%, half of that. So what does that bring us up to 80? 83? I'll go 83.”
Jason Lemkin Jul 24, 2024 ▶ 30:23 Jason Lemkin: Crowdstrike, WTF Happens From Here? Wiz Rejects Google’s $23BN Acquisition Offer|E1181 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Prediction Partly held up
Lemkin: CrowdStrike product upsells will be put on hold for three quarters
“So I think almost upsells are going to have to go on hold for like, you know, three quarters.”
Jason Lemkin Jul 24, 2024 ▶ 24:41 Jason Lemkin: Crowdstrike, WTF Happens From Here? Wiz Rejects Google’s $23BN Acquisition Offer|E1181 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Lemkin: Replacing CrowdStrike infrastructure will take enterprises three to five years
“Because the amount of energy and time it takes to deploy CrowdStrike is so huge that it would take three to five years to churn out for real, ok? You have to test Sentinel one or whatever you're going to do in a small group. You have to do it on stage and you …”
Jason Lemkin Jul 24, 2024 ▶ 23:35 Jason Lemkin: Crowdstrike, WTF Happens From Here? Wiz Rejects Google’s $23BN Acquisition Offer|E1181 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
What-if
Kurtz wishes he took loans to buy more early CrowdStrike equity
“I probably would have took out as many loans as I could have and put as much money of my own money in the deal as early as possible.”
George Kurtz Oct 14, 2021 ▶ 9:05 20VC: Crowdstrike Founder, George Kurtz on Scaling to a $60Bn Market Cap, How to Acquire and Retain the World's Best Talent & The Right Way to View Competition in Today's Market?
Disclosure
Accel told CrowdStrike founder George Kurtz to shop their term sheet
“Why don't you take my offer, my term sheet, you have it in your back pocket. So when you have these other conversations, Go in knowing that your deal done already, and if someone comes along and offers you something much better, or you think they're additive t…”
Sameer Gandhi Sep 2, 2021 ▶ 24:56 20VC: The Crowdstrike Memo: Accel's Sameer Gandhi on Leading Multiple Internal Rounds for Crowdstrike, Telling George Kurtz to Go Shop His Term Sheet, How To Think Through Market Sizing & The Importance of Speed of Execution and Knowing When To Go Slow To
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Zanutto: Every enterprise will need Armis for unagentable devices alongside CrowdStrike
“As IoT devices continue to proliferate, you know, every enterprise will need a CrowdStrike for their agentable devices and an Armus for all unagentable devices.”
Derek Zanutto Nov 9, 2020 ▶ 34:50 20VC: Lessons from Investing in Uber and Airbnb, How To Think Through Bundling vs Unbundling, Late Stage Funds Moving Earlier, Early Stage Funds Moving Later& The Mechanics of Venture That Founders Should Know with Derek Zanutto, General Partner @ Capital
Assertion Supported
Randle: Top public SaaS platforms trade above 15x NTM revenue
“You have, I mean, Palo Alto, CrowdStrike, Cloudflare, Datadog, Palantir, all these companies trade above 15 times NTM revenue again.”
Everett Randle Jun 18, 2026 ▶ 58:54 Anthropic's Fable Banned by US Government | Wix & Adobe Hit All-Time Lows | Mistral Raising at $20BN · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Prediction Held up
O'Driscoll: Major cybersecurity incumbents will aggressively acquire agentic AI security startups
“So I think there'll be a ton of fast acquisitions as agent security solutions emerge, you know, and people will be doing, if they're smart, and I think those two companies are extraordinarily smart, they'll be doing acquisitions long before it's quote certain …”
Rory O'Driscoll Apr 2, 2026 ▶ 26:08 OpenAI Kills Sora & Hits $100M ARR on Ads | Oura Going Public & Whoop Raises at $10BN · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Stebbings: CrowdStrike market cap will only reach $75B by Christmas 2024
“So I would go I'm gonna go for 75. I don't think it'll take such a rebound. I don't think it's gonna take such a rebound, but I think legals and fines are gonna be real, and I think it's gonna be an interesting enough story. It's touched enough consumer lives …”
Harry Stebbings Jul 24, 2024 ▶ 30:48 Jason Lemkin: Crowdstrike, WTF Happens From Here? Wiz Rejects Google’s $23BN Acquisition Offer|E1181 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Prediction Held up
Kurtz predicts CrowdStrike will mirror Salesforce's platform and revenue trajectory
“I think the next five years probably look a lot like, you know, Salesforce trajectory where you continue to build out your platform, you continue to scale your revenue, your annual recurring revenue, additional geographic expansion.”
George Kurtz Oct 14, 2021 ▶ 30:03 20VC: Crowdstrike Founder, George Kurtz on Scaling to a $60Bn Market Cap, How to Acquire and Retain the World's Best Talent & The Right Way to View Competition in Today's Market?
Assertion Contradicted
CrowdStrike was the third fastest-growing enterprise software company to IPO
“I think we were the third fastest growth company to ever IPO behind like Zoom and Salesforce.”
George Kurtz Oct 14, 2021 ▶ 11:09 20VC: Crowdstrike Founder, George Kurtz on Scaling to a $60Bn Market Cap, How to Acquire and Retain the World's Best Talent & The Right Way to View Competition in Today's Market?
Disclosure
Gandhi: Accel's pre-mortem downside for CrowdStrike was an incident response business
“I think the number one thing on this was like, man, we just whiffed on the cloud native concept, and nobody's willing to do it, you know, like, that was one where, if you got that wrong, you know, and I think you see in my memo, it's like, well, if we totally …”
Sameer Gandhi Sep 2, 2021 ▶ 31:41 20VC: The Crowdstrike Memo: Accel's Sameer Gandhi on Leading Multiple Internal Rounds for Crowdstrike, Telling George Kurtz to Go Shop His Term Sheet, How To Think Through Market Sizing & The Importance of Speed of Execution and Knowing When To Go Slow To
Prediction Open · timeframe Mar 2027
O'Driscoll: CrowdStrike Will Beat 23% Growth Guidance by Two Points
“Slight deacceleration, 27 to guidance of 23, 27% revenue growth, guidance of 23, they'll probably beat that by two.”
Rory O'Driscoll Mar 12, 2026 ▶ 53:49 Anthropic vs The Pentagon: Who Wins? | The Data Center Arms Race | The Ultimate Stock Picks · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Partly supported
Clements: Accel invested in CrowdStrike at $160M valuation with $1M ARR
“The example I would point to is, you know, CrowdStrike. Samir Gandhi and John Locke intersected CrowdStrike when it was, you know, there was like a million dollars of software revenue and there was a nine million dollar consulting business, and like, that was …”
Miles Clements Mar 9, 2026 ▶ 49:00 "Cursor is Dead" is Total BS: Here is Why | Miles Clements · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Insight
Lemkin: Public markets shrug off legal fines as non-forward impacts
“The legal and fines, you take a reserve, and the truth is it doesn't really matter because it's not a forward impact. It doesn't really tell you where CrowdStrike's gonna be in five years, so the markets usually shrug it off, even though Again, it's a lot of d…”
Jason Lemkin Jul 24, 2024 ▶ 31:07 Jason Lemkin: Crowdstrike, WTF Happens From Here? Wiz Rejects Google’s $23BN Acquisition Offer|E1181 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Insight
Ball: Transitioning from point solution to platform drives top SaaS success
“And you see some of the most successful public companies today, the crowd strikes of the world, the data dogs of the world, right? And it's exactly what you just said. It's moving from a point solution to a platform. Like that's really hard.”
Jamin Ball Jan 10, 2024 ▶ 30:59 Ed Sim & Jamin Ball: Did Figma Kill M&A Markets & 3 Requirements to IPO in 2024 | E1101 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Supported
Kurtz: CrowdStrike was the largest security company at IPO
“When we IPO'd, we were the largest security company at the time when we IPO'd.”
George Kurtz Oct 14, 2021 ▶ 11:03 20VC: Crowdstrike Founder, George Kurtz on Scaling to a $60Bn Market Cap, How to Acquire and Retain the World's Best Talent & The Right Way to View Competition in Today's Market?
Insight
CEOs must accept delegation once employee count surpasses personal knowledge
“At some point there, it's, you have to trust you got the right people, because you haven't interviewed them. You have to accept that you're not going to know everybody. You're not going to know their names.”
George Kurtz Oct 14, 2021 ▶ 20:58 20VC: Crowdstrike Founder, George Kurtz on Scaling to a $60Bn Market Cap, How to Acquire and Retain the World's Best Talent & The Right Way to View Competition in Today's Market?
Prediction Held up
Kurtz: CrowdStrike committed to never selling perpetual licenses
“When I recruited my CFO, I said, hey, we'll never have a perpetual license, and he gave me a hug.”
George Kurtz Oct 14, 2021 ▶ 11:49 20VC: Crowdstrike Founder, George Kurtz on Scaling to a $60Bn Market Cap, How to Acquire and Retain the World's Best Talent & The Right Way to View Competition in Today's Market?
Disclosure
Kurtz: CrowdStrike built early global remote workforce around top talent
“I focused on getting the top 20 people wherever they were in the world, and we didn't really care about having them in an office. And we really, I would say, pioneered a lot of, pioneered, maybe that's the wrong word, but we were ahead of the curve in terms of…”
George Kurtz Oct 14, 2021 ▶ 6:13 20VC: Crowdstrike Founder, George Kurtz on Scaling to a $60Bn Market Cap, How to Acquire and Retain the World's Best Talent & The Right Way to View Competition in Today's Market?
Assertion Partly supported
Kurtz: CrowdStrike was unique in offering in-app platform trials
“Part of the secret sauce with CrowdStrike and selling is that the platform helps sell itself, and we've got in-app trials, nobody has that.”
George Kurtz Oct 14, 2021 ▶ 12:35 20VC: Crowdstrike Founder, George Kurtz on Scaling to a $60Bn Market Cap, How to Acquire and Retain the World's Best Talent & The Right Way to View Competition in Today's Market?
Insight
Gandhi: Cybersecurity incident response services directly drive product sales
“In fact, it's an amazing business because once you make money on incident response services, it pulls through product afterwards.”
Sameer Gandhi Sep 2, 2021 ▶ 21:13 20VC: The Crowdstrike Memo: Accel's Sameer Gandhi on Leading Multiple Internal Rounds for Crowdstrike, Telling George Kurtz to Go Shop His Term Sheet, How To Think Through Market Sizing & The Importance of Speed of Execution and Knowing When To Go Slow To
Disclosure
CrowdStrike used incident response services to bridge slow early cloud adoption
“We could be pushing cloud and having a slower adoption cycle around the Falcon platform, which is really the endpoint product platform. And the way that was mitigated for us is that the company was doing really high-end incident response services, and so there…”
Sameer Gandhi Sep 2, 2021 ▶ 11:00 20VC: The Crowdstrike Memo: Accel's Sameer Gandhi on Leading Multiple Internal Rounds for Crowdstrike, Telling George Kurtz to Go Shop His Term Sheet, How To Think Through Market Sizing & The Importance of Speed of Execution and Knowing When To Go Slow To
Assertion Supported
Gandhi: Accel invested in CrowdStrike at a $150M post-money valuation
“So I never looked at it as a three to five X. I looked at it as we're investing in a company, you know, in the first round when we did it was a 150 posts or something like that.”
Sameer Gandhi Sep 2, 2021 ▶ 13:25 20VC: The Crowdstrike Memo: Accel's Sameer Gandhi on Leading Multiple Internal Rounds for Crowdstrike, Telling George Kurtz to Go Shop His Term Sheet, How To Think Through Market Sizing & The Importance of Speed of Execution and Knowing When To Go Slow To
Assertion Supported
Rory O'Driscoll: CrowdStrike traded at 16x revenue post-drop with 31% cash margins
“It's 22% revenue growth projected, 31% cash margins, and it was trading at 16 X revenues on Friday after the first hit.”
Rory O'Driscoll Feb 26, 2026 ▶ 4:32 Citrini Research Breakdown: Agents, "Ghost GDP", Consumer Spend | Figma Earnings Beat · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Lloyd: Sequoia connected Warp to CrowdStrike's president within hours of an issue
“And so I reached out to Andrew. I was like, can you help me here? And then that day I was on the phone with the president of CrowdStrike.”
Zach Lloyd Oct 17, 2025 ▶ 51:48 20VC: The Startup Adding $1M ARR Every Week | Competing Against OpenAI's Codex and Claude Code: Who Wins | Why Gemini is Failing and GPT-5 Is Winning | Do Margins Matter in a World of AI | The Ugly Truth About AI Coding with Zach Lloyd, Warp
Assertion Supported
Lemkin: CrowdStrike is growing 33% at nearly $4B revenue
“Amazing, growing 33% at almost four billion in revenue.”
Jason Lemkin Jul 24, 2024 ▶ 23:27 Jason Lemkin: Crowdstrike, WTF Happens From Here? Wiz Rejects Google’s $23BN Acquisition Offer|E1181 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Disclosure
Stebbings bought CrowdStrike stock when its market cap was $74B
“I mean, I bought when it was at 74.”
Harry Stebbings Jul 24, 2024 ▶ 30:44 Jason Lemkin: Crowdstrike, WTF Happens From Here? Wiz Rejects Google’s $23BN Acquisition Offer|E1181 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Disclosure
Kurtz: CrowdStrike raised $25M Series A from Warburg Pincus off 25 slides
“I became an entrepreneur in residence at Warburg Pincus, got basically crown track off the ground, and wrote 25 slides, got twenty-five million bucks.”
George Kurtz Oct 14, 2021 ▶ 7:24 20VC: Crowdstrike Founder, George Kurtz on Scaling to a $60Bn Market Cap, How to Acquire and Retain the World's Best Talent & The Right Way to View Competition in Today's Market?
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Kurtz: CrowdStrike ran public-company operational systems years before its IPO
“We looked like a public company when we were many years Still private. And we ran it that way. You know, okers, management systems, like measurement of everything.”
George Kurtz Oct 14, 2021 ▶ 14:30 20VC: Crowdstrike Founder, George Kurtz on Scaling to a $60Bn Market Cap, How to Acquire and Retain the World's Best Talent & The Right Way to View Competition in Today's Market?
Assertion Supported
CrowdStrike flew all global new hires to California pre-COVID
“Up until COVID, you know, we would actually, no matter where the person was hired, they could be in Australia, we would send them to California for one week of training.”
George Kurtz Oct 14, 2021 ▶ 28:51 20VC: Crowdstrike Founder, George Kurtz on Scaling to a $60Bn Market Cap, How to Acquire and Retain the World's Best Talent & The Right Way to View Competition in Today's Market?
Assertion Supported
Kurtz met 100 global customers in 100 days post-CrowdStrike IPO
“On Monday, we're going to start the 100 by 100. We're taking one day off and we're doing the 100 by 100. He said, well, what is that? And I said, we're going to meet a hundred customers in a hundred days, wherever they are. I flew all over the world to meet a …”
George Kurtz Oct 14, 2021 ▶ 23:53 20VC: Crowdstrike Founder, George Kurtz on Scaling to a $60Bn Market Cap, How to Acquire and Retain the World's Best Talent & The Right Way to View Competition in Today's Market?
Assertion Supported
Snowflake, UiPath, and CrowdStrike exceeded $500M revenue during hyper-growth
“When you look at companies like, you know, Snowflake, UiPath, CrowdStrike, these companies that are north of five hundred million in revenue growing still at incredibly hyper growth rates.”
Laela Sturdy Jul 8, 2021 ▶ 6:01 20VC: CapitalG's Laela Sturdy on The Current State of Growth with Crossover, PE and Hedge Funds All Entering, How To Think Through Upside and Downside Scenario Planning at Growth & The Biggest Challenges Startups Face Post Product-Market-Fit but Pre-Scale
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