Lovable

91 statements across 40 episodes · 50 bullish · 19 bearish · 17 people on the record · first statement Mar 5, 2025 by Anton Osika · said 632 times in 127 episodes since 2025 · across every show →

Mentions by year

brought up most by Harry Stebbings (314), Jason Lemkin (96), Anton Osika (34), Elena Verna (27), Rory O'Driscoll (14), Luke Harries (10), Matt Biilmann (6), Jason Calacanis (6)

tap a year for its mentions
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2026 237 mentions in 61 episodes 4 per episode
2025 395 mentions in 66 episodes 6 per episode

every mention, scene by scene, with the transcript →

Everything said about Lovable, oldest first

Mar 5, 2025 bullish
Assertion Supported
Osika: Lovable is currently adding $2M in ARR every week
“Two million ARR per week.”
Anton Osika Mar 5, 2025 ▶ 20:49 Anton Osika, Co-Founder and CEO @ Lovable: Hitting 85% Day 30 Retention - Better than ChatGPT · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Mar 5, 2025 negative
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Osika: Tech megacorps won't build the best products for years
“The big megacorps, they move very slowly in many domains. So they're never going to, in many years, they're not going to have the best product on the market.”
Anton Osika Mar 5, 2025 ▶ 38:40 Anton Osika, Co-Founder and CEO @ Lovable: Hitting 85% Day 30 Retention - Better than ChatGPT · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Mar 5, 2025
Disclosure
Osika: Lovable expanded a $3M preemptive offer into an $8M pre-seed
“So we took three million and then we added on I got the advice to say like, yeah, just to get a lot of cash because you never know what happens in the markets. So we raised a quite a large pre-seed round with an up to almost eight million dollars.”
Anton Osika Mar 5, 2025 ▶ 17:17 Anton Osika, Co-Founder and CEO @ Lovable: Hitting 85% Day 30 Retention - Better than ChatGPT · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Mar 5, 2025 negative
Disclosure
Osika: Lovable rejected Y Combinator due to equity dilution and distraction
“We felt that at best YC would be a lot of dilution and some acceleration with a lot of dilution and some acceleration. And at worst it would be a distraction to go through SF and go through all of these, like, fun things that happen when you go to YC. And we j…”
Anton Osika Mar 5, 2025 ▶ 16:04 Anton Osika, Co-Founder and CEO @ Lovable: Hitting 85% Day 30 Retention - Better than ChatGPT · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Mar 5, 2025
Disclosure
Osika: Anthropic's Claude is Lovable's main workhorse for code generation
“We use all of OpenAI's models, Google, Gemini, and the main workhorse is Anthropic's cloud model for writing the code.”
Anton Osika Mar 5, 2025 ▶ 36:23 Anton Osika, Co-Founder and CEO @ Lovable: Hitting 85% Day 30 Retention - Better than ChatGPT · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Mar 5, 2025 negative
Insight
Osika: Domain experience can be a negative signal when hiring
“So I think experience can be a negative thing in some cases. You often want people who are super ambitious, they have a lot to prove, and they are more open-minded towards how, how you should work together in the team.”
Anton Osika Mar 5, 2025 ▶ 3:23 Anton Osika, Co-Founder and CEO @ Lovable: Hitting 85% Day 30 Retention - Better than ChatGPT · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Mar 5, 2025 negative
Disclosure
Osika: Lovable wasted effort building early in-product community features
“I think at Lovable we thought a lot about the community, and like community features inside of the product, and the, that, I think that could have made a lot of sense if we had seen slower growth. But now that it's just like growth is not something we, not a c…”
Anton Osika Mar 5, 2025 ▶ 22:21 Anton Osika, Co-Founder and CEO @ Lovable: Hitting 85% Day 30 Retention - Better than ChatGPT · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Mar 5, 2025
Insight
Osika: Early startups must say yes broadly, but scaling requires focus
“What works in the beginning Is to say yes onto a lot of opportunities and try out what works. Once you become more people and you have to follow up and maintain everything that you start, you have to be much more focused.”
Anton Osika Mar 5, 2025 ▶ 1:29 Anton Osika, Co-Founder and CEO @ Lovable: Hitting 85% Day 30 Retention - Better than ChatGPT · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Mar 5, 2025 bullish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Osika: Lovable has reached nearly 40,000 paying users
“So we have almost 40,000 paying users, and then that's the proxy for that.”
Anton Osika Mar 5, 2025 ▶ 35:08 Anton Osika, Co-Founder and CEO @ Lovable: Hitting 85% Day 30 Retention - Better than ChatGPT · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Mar 5, 2025 bullish
Assertion Partly supported
Osika: Lovable's 85% month-one retention outperforms ChatGPT
“We have month one retention that's better than ChatGPT's month one retention on paying customers, and so it's about 85%.”
Anton Osika Mar 5, 2025 ▶ 32:31 Anton Osika, Co-Founder and CEO @ Lovable: Hitting 85% Day 30 Retention - Better than ChatGPT · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Mar 5, 2025 positive
Assertion Supported
Osika: Users are building revenue-generating SaaS companies entirely via Lovable prompts
“When we went on to iterate over the coming year, we packaged together all of these things so that you can ask today lovable, I want to build a basically a SaaS business, and then people have built their entire SaaS companies and get made money by just promptin…”
Anton Osika Mar 5, 2025 ▶ 11:05 Anton Osika, Co-Founder and CEO @ Lovable: Hitting 85% Day 30 Retention - Better than ChatGPT · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Mar 5, 2025 negative
Disclosure
Osika: Adding management layers at 40 employees was my biggest mistake
“Thinking that we should change the culture and become a more of a scale up something slow moving or like more management layers when we became 40 people. That's, that was the biggest mistake I did.”
Anton Osika Mar 5, 2025 ▶ 24:30 Anton Osika, Co-Founder and CEO @ Lovable: Hitting 85% Day 30 Retention - Better than ChatGPT · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Mar 5, 2025
Insight
Osika: Product user research requires separating UX observation from pain-point discovery
“So they, I think for us, there are two different types of user interviews. We have this type where we just see them use the product and see, like, where do they understand the product? And so that's more of a user experience interview. And the other one is to …”
Anton Osika Mar 5, 2025 ▶ 12:11 Anton Osika, Co-Founder and CEO @ Lovable: Hitting 85% Day 30 Retention - Better than ChatGPT · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Mar 5, 2025
Insight
Osika: Say no to most features to maintain Apple-like quality
“You should say no to as many things as possible and make it more of like an apple feeling. The things you do them superb.”
Anton Osika Mar 5, 2025 ▶ 2:24 Anton Osika, Co-Founder and CEO @ Lovable: Hitting 85% Day 30 Retention - Better than ChatGPT · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Mar 5, 2025 positive
Insight
Osika: Founders should prioritize minimizing equity dilution over growing the pie
“Here again, like I have a very wise person who was like, no, dilution doesn't matter so much. It's all about the size of the pie. And I think that was, I was both affected by that advice as well as my, like, no, minimize dilution. This is my life, life's work.…”
Anton Osika Mar 5, 2025 ▶ 18:26 Anton Osika, Co-Founder and CEO @ Lovable: Hitting 85% Day 30 Retention - Better than ChatGPT · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Mar 5, 2025
Disclosure
Osika: Lovable's North Star metric is apps hosted with active users
“It's the number of users that go all the way to getting, like, users on what they built. Getting, getting something hosted with users on what they built. That's what we focus on.”
Anton Osika Mar 5, 2025 ▶ 34:53 Anton Osika, Co-Founder and CEO @ Lovable: Hitting 85% Day 30 Retention - Better than ChatGPT · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Mar 5, 2025 positive
Insight
Osika: Hire Top Young Talent Before They Become Founders
“The best people that you can hire at a young age, they would go on and become founders, and then you can't hire them anymore, right? So, so that's why junior people are often quite good.”
Anton Osika Mar 5, 2025 ▶ 3:47 Anton Osika, Co-Founder and CEO @ Lovable: Hitting 85% Day 30 Retention - Better than ChatGPT · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Mar 14, 2025 bullish
Opinion
Biilmann: AI builder tool revenue is durable, not a sugar high
“When I look at tools like bold and lovable, the category itself has something where it seems obvious that there will be a lot of money spent there. Just because like, when you see some of the examples of what people can do with those tools that they just could…”
Matt Biilmann Mar 14, 2025 ▶ 22:50 20Product: How to Design and Build Products in a World of Agents | Why AI Will Kill Many SaaS Products | What Products Will Thrive and Die in a World of 100M Developers with Matt Biilmann, Co-Founder and CEO @ Netlify
Mar 14, 2025 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Biilmann: AI Web Builders Will Force Brands to Adopt Novel Interfaces
“When the cost of building an e-commerce that looks like any of the current brands today goes down to like, just Ask Bolt to do it for you. Ask Lovable to do it for you. And you have that. Those brands are going to have to come up with something much more engag…”
Matt Biilmann Mar 14, 2025 ▶ 22:00 20Product: How to Design and Build Products in a World of Agents | Why AI Will Kill Many SaaS Products | What Products Will Thrive and Die in a World of 100M Developers with Matt Biilmann, Co-Founder and CEO @ Netlify
May 23, 2025 positive
Disclosure
Stebbings: 20VC Invested in Lovable at a 10x Revenue Multiple
“When we did Lovable, I think it trebled its revenue by the time the round had completed, and I was like, I would want to retrade on price. Like, it literally was only a 10 X revenue multiple when we did it.”
Harry Stebbings May 23, 2025 ▶ 57:58 20VC: ElevenLabs Head of Growth on Why You Do Not Need PMs | The 7-Part Launch Playbook That Gets 700K+ Views Per Product | The Truth About CAC, Payback & Performance Marketing in AI with Luke Harries
May 23, 2025 positive
Insight
Harries: Sub-100% user retention in prosumer AI is acceptable if viral expansion keeps NRR over 100%
“And I think when you look at consumer and prosumer, yes, for that individual user, you may only be on 87% revenue retention, but what then happens is you build a product on Lovable, you then share it with a bunch of your friends, a handful more people sign up …”
Luke Harries May 23, 2025 ▶ 57:15 20VC: ElevenLabs Head of Growth on Why You Do Not Need PMs | The 7-Part Launch Playbook That Gets 700K+ Views Per Product | The Truth About CAC, Payback & Performance Marketing in AI with Luke Harries
May 23, 2025
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Harries: Traditional PMs Will Shift Into Growth or Product Engineering
“Yeah, I think PMs move to either growth, so you combine the PM role with marketing, and depending on your size and how strong your engineers are, you do more or less of the PM, or many PMs will actually move towards product engineering, which is they're somewh…”
Luke Harries May 23, 2025 ▶ 52:56 20VC: ElevenLabs Head of Growth on Why You Do Not Need PMs | The 7-Part Launch Playbook That Gets 700K+ Views Per Product | The Truth About CAC, Payback & Performance Marketing in AI with Luke Harries
May 23, 2025 bearish
Opinion
Harries: Retool Is Dead at the Wheel Compared to AI App Builders
“And I think Retool is kind of dead at the wheel at the moment. I don't hear the recent things they've been launching, and so I could imagine Loveball going in that direction.”
Luke Harries May 23, 2025 ▶ 59:27 20VC: ElevenLabs Head of Growth on Why You Do Not Need PMs | The 7-Part Launch Playbook That Gets 700K+ Views Per Product | The Truth About CAC, Payback & Performance Marketing in AI with Luke Harries
Jun 2, 2025 neutral
Prediction Open · timeframe Jun 2030
Mohan: Non-developer AI coding tools and developer AI IDEs will converge
“I think with time, they're going to need to build out more and more tunables, more and more ways to configure the product with time. But I think for us, if we can deeply understand code, like large code bases, it'll naturally follow that with very little effor…”
Varun Mohan Jun 2, 2025 ▶ 14:52 Windsurf CEO & Co-Founder, Varun Mohan: AI's Biggest Acquisition to Date! · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jun 2, 2025 negative
Insight
Mohan: Design-to-code tools address a tiny fraction of software engineering
“The things that the lovables and figmas do as like maybe a very small fraction of what software is. Like ultimately, like most software is not just like a website that, that it has like some backend attached to it.”
Varun Mohan Jun 2, 2025 ▶ 35:58 Windsurf CEO & Co-Founder, Varun Mohan: AI's Biggest Acquisition to Date! · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jun 12, 2025 positive
Opinion
Lemkin: Founders Fund's $1B Anduril check shows superior conviction over standard AI growth deals
“They're putting a billion in, right? That's much more ambitious than throwing a growth fund throwing fifty million into the last round of Anthropic, right? Or throwing twenty million into Lovable. It's a big bet, right?”
Jason Lemkin Jun 12, 2025 ▶ 27:43 Elon’s Empire: SpaceX, Tesla, Neuralink After the Storm & Anduril’s $2.6BN Power Move · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jul 11, 2025 neutral
Opinion
Stebbings: Replit handles backend builds while Lovable focuses on frontends
“I think Rapplet is for much more heavy-duty application build-outs, and I think Lovable is much more for lightweight, bluntly front-end software build-outs, and both have very valuable positions in market, but they're just very different use cases.”
Harry Stebbings Jul 11, 2025 ▶ 1:11:48 20Growth: The Death of Growth Teams? | How Hubspot Use AI to Triple Email Conversion | The Future of AI SEO | Why Prompt Engineering is the New Coding | What Every CMO Needs to Know About AI in 2025
Jul 11, 2025 negative
Opinion
Flanagan: Claude's app builder is inferior to Lovable and Replit
“I don't see Claude as being as good as Lovable or Repplet. I think it's much more between Repplet and Lovable”
Kieran Flanagan Jul 11, 2025 ▶ 1:11:17 20Growth: The Death of Growth Teams? | How Hubspot Use AI to Triple Email Conversion | The Future of AI SEO | Why Prompt Engineering is the New Coding | What Every CMO Needs to Know About AI in 2025
Jul 17, 2025 bullish
Disclosure
Stebbings invested $12M in Lovable, citing consumer brand leadership
“Why did I write a twelve million dollar check into Lovable? I think very much in the same way that ChatGPT owns the consumer brand for that front end OS for the modern consumer, I think Lovable's reached escape velocity with the consumer brand in this space”
Harry Stebbings Jul 17, 2025 ▶ 45:18 Windsurf x Google x Cognition: Full Breakdown: Who Made Money, Who Did Not · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jul 17, 2025 bullish
Disclosure
Stebbings: Lovable scaled from $4M to $19M ARR during funding round
“Jason, when I did the last round of Lovable, it was a two hundred million price, and I did it at a four million in revenue. By the time the deal was closed, it was at nineteen million in revenue.”
Harry Stebbings Jul 17, 2025 ▶ 57:35 Windsurf x Google x Cognition: Full Breakdown: Who Made Money, Who Did Not · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jul 17, 2025 bullish
Opinion
Lemkin views Replit and Lovable as cheap at $2B valuations
“If I could invest in Replit or Lovable at two billion compared to Windsurf, it seems like a much better deal. Like, I think it's, I think it seems cheap.”
Jason Lemkin Jul 17, 2025 ▶ 37:37 Windsurf x Google x Cognition: Full Breakdown: Who Made Money, Who Did Not · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jul 24, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Lemkin: AI platforms like Lovable will build defensible software wrappers
“And so lovable and friends are going to build these thicker and thicker wrappers because they have to do security, right? They have to contain the AI. They're torturing Claude to do things it doesn't want to do. Claude wants to lie and seek out things and shar…”
Jason Lemkin Jul 24, 2025 ▶ 9:34 How Do All Providers Deal with Anthropic Dependency Risk & Figma IPO Breakdown: Where Does it Price? · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jul 31, 2025 bearish
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Lemkin: Figma and AI coding tools will compete within 12 months
“Today, they're great partners. It doesn't make sense that they will be great partners for prototyping in 12 months. It makes no sense.”
Jason Lemkin Jul 31, 2025 ▶ 1:12:43 Why Apple Needs a Management Overhaul & Why Google is Catching Up with Hyperscalers · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jul 31, 2025 bullish
Prediction Held up
Lemkin: Lovable will reach $400M ARR by end of next year
“First, I have no doubts. That's easier to do the math. One to a hundred in six months. I mean, that would be a colossal F-up if it doesn't get to 400.”
Jason Lemkin Jul 31, 2025 ▶ 1:17:03 Why Apple Needs a Management Overhaul & Why Google is Catching Up with Hyperscalers · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Aug 7, 2025 negative
Insight
Halligan: Prosumer and Enterprise AI Succeeded, but SMB AI Lags
“The stuff I see, Jason, is there's a ton of prosumer stuff that's working. Lovable's working. Reflet's working. Gamma's working. Like, so many prosumer things seem to be working. And then enterprise is working. You're right. I haven't seen much in between.”
Brian Halligan Aug 7, 2025 ▶ 52:10 Figma's 250% Pop - The Greatest IPO Mispricing Ever? Meta & Microsoft Blowout Quarters: Broken Down · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Aug 18, 2025 positive
Insight
Osika: AI startups must build broad UX flywheels before launching autonomous agents
“In the context of lovable I thought we should be building an agent Before, like, the models were ready for it, and because the models were starting to get optimized for an agentic system, and what I realized is that, no, no, no, you need to have a product that…”
Anton Osika Aug 18, 2025 ▶ 1:09:51 Lovable CEO, Anton Osika: The State of Foundation Models, Grok vs OpenAI, and Replit vs Bolt · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Aug 18, 2025 positive
Disclosure
Osika: 80% of Lovable's revenue comes from complex app builders
“And 80% of people are in the first category. They're building real complex applications.”
Anton Osika Aug 18, 2025 ▶ 21:06 Lovable CEO, Anton Osika: The State of Foundation Models, Grok vs OpenAI, and Replit vs Bolt · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Aug 18, 2025
Disclosure
Osika: Majority of Lovable's paid usage revenue goes to AI compute
“I don't give you the exact numbers, but if you look at the paid usage, it's majority, it's not everything.”
Anton Osika Aug 18, 2025 ▶ 9:40 Lovable CEO, Anton Osika: The State of Foundation Models, Grok vs OpenAI, and Replit vs Bolt · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Aug 18, 2025 bullish
Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2026
Osika: Lovable will act as a full-stack AI co-founder by 2026
“I mean, it's your perfect co-founder that you go to with your idea from the idea stage, but also all the way up to growing your business once you have customers and taking care of like what Elena is doing, optimizing the product for growth, optimizing the prod…”
Anton Osika Aug 18, 2025 ▶ 1:01:16 Lovable CEO, Anton Osika: The State of Foundation Models, Grok vs OpenAI, and Replit vs Bolt · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Aug 18, 2025 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Osika: Lovable applications generate over $10M ARR for AI model providers
“We looked at, like, the number, this was a few months ago, but we looked at how much Revenue is flowing through the AI from lovable applications. Okay. And it was more than ten million dollars in ARR.”
Anton Osika Aug 18, 2025 ▶ 12:05 Lovable CEO, Anton Osika: The State of Foundation Models, Grok vs OpenAI, and Replit vs Bolt · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Aug 18, 2025
Disclosure
Osika: Lovable uses Anthropic for coding but OpenAI for complex debugging
“And then we use for code writing, we usually use Anthropic. And right now you can say like, I want to use GPT-V and that's better when you're solving a really hard debugging problem.”
Anton Osika Aug 18, 2025 ▶ 19:02 Lovable CEO, Anton Osika: The State of Foundation Models, Grok vs OpenAI, and Replit vs Bolt · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Aug 18, 2025 bullish
Prediction Held up
Osika: Lovable will expand into general business administration and finance
“Lovable today is your technical co-founder. We want it to be your co-founder in general that handles all the admin, setting up your finance operations”
Anton Osika Aug 18, 2025 ▶ 7:59 Lovable CEO, Anton Osika: The State of Foundation Models, Grok vs OpenAI, and Replit vs Bolt · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Aug 18, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Osika: Lovable plans to spend $100M hiring top model-training talent
“And we have to do it both with like how we build this agentic chain and over time in building absolutely world-class paying a hundred million dollars for getting the people that train the models. So, so that's on the horizon for us to get it to like be hyper-p…”
Anton Osika Aug 18, 2025 ▶ 19:45 Lovable CEO, Anton Osika: The State of Foundation Models, Grok vs OpenAI, and Replit vs Bolt · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Aug 18, 2025 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Osika: OpenAI will be a bigger competitor to Lovable than Anthropic
“OpenAI is doing that better than Anthropic. So I see them as a more serious competitor in, in, in 12 months.”
Anton Osika Aug 18, 2025 ▶ 16:39 Lovable CEO, Anton Osika: The State of Foundation Models, Grok vs OpenAI, and Replit vs Bolt · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Aug 18, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Osika: Lovable will be the most-used human-AI interface within 5 years
“We're the mostly used interface for humans to AI.”
Anton Osika Aug 18, 2025 ▶ 1:13:41 Lovable CEO, Anton Osika: The State of Foundation Models, Grok vs OpenAI, and Replit vs Bolt · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Aug 18, 2025 positive
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Osika: 50% chance the best AI model comes from China
“I do think there's like a fifty-fifty chance they will have the best model. We'll be using a Chinese model at some point, because...”
Anton Osika Aug 18, 2025 ▶ 0:31 Lovable CEO, Anton Osika: The State of Foundation Models, Grok vs OpenAI, and Replit vs Bolt · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Sep 4, 2025 neutral
Assertion Supported
Lemkin: Replit raised at $3B valuation with similar $100M ARR to Lovable
“13 days later, the exact same company called Replit. That's the one I use. Same company closes at three billion. Basically the same ARR, basically the same company.”
Jason Lemkin Sep 4, 2025 ▶ 33:41 Anthropic Raises $13BN & OpenAI Buys Statsig for $1.1BN All Stock · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Sep 18, 2025 neutral
Opinion
Lemkin: Top AI startups Glean, Lovable, and Replit are unacquirable
“In the age of AI, you can't buy glean's unsellable, unacquirable, right? Lovable's unacquirable. Replets unacquirable.”
Jason Lemkin Sep 18, 2025 ▶ 1:09:26 Opendoor CEO, Kaz Nejatian: OpenAI and Oracle, How Can Either Afford to Do This · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Oct 2, 2025 positive
Assertion Supported
Lemkin: Lovable and Replit both reach nine-figure revenues
“And that's why lovable and Replit are in a death match. And it's very powerful. They're both at nine figures in revenue. They won't kill each other.”
Jason Lemkin Oct 2, 2025 ▶ 24:46 Are Burn Multiples BS in an AI World? & Sam Altman Needs $1TRN of Energy · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Oct 9, 2025 bullish
Prediction Held up
Lemkin: Replit and Lovable will surpass $250M combined ARR
“I would say over, over two 50, but barely.”
Jason Lemkin Oct 9, 2025 ▶ 1:29:34 OpenAI's Multi-Billion Deal with AMD & Polymarket, Vercel and Supabase Raise Mega Rounds · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Oct 16, 2025 bullish
Assertion Supported
Stebbings: AI Startup Lovable Reached Over $170M ARR in First Year
“Lovable had their first year anniversary today. Oh, the other day. And I thought that was insane. First year anniversary, over a hundred and seventy million an hour.”
Harry Stebbings Oct 16, 2025 ▶ 41:43 Thinking Machines Co-Founder Joins Meta for $3.5BN, Industry Venture's $665M Acquisition · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Nov 17, 2025 negative
Assertion Not publicly verifiable
Harry Stebbings: AI coding startups pay 80% of pass-through revenue to Anthropic
“If you look at a Rapplet or a Lovable, 80% of their pass-through is too anthropic.”
Harry Stebbings Nov 17, 2025 ▶ 33:05 AI Fund’s GP, Andrew Ng: LLMs as the Next Geopolitical Weapon & Do Margins Still Matter in AI? · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Nov 20, 2025 neutral
Assertion Not yet assessed
Lemkin: Replit and Lovable achieve over 50% gross margins using cheap models
“Replit and Lovable, frankly, are using cheap models. Most people don't know or care, and they're well marked up. The margins are north of 50, the gross margins, okay?”
Jason Lemkin Nov 20, 2025 ▶ 12:53 Peter Thiel and Softbank Sell NVIDIA - Why? & Why VC Will Hit $1TRN and The Opening of Retail · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Nov 24, 2025 neutral
Opinion
Shlomo: Base44 is not worried about rivals Lovable, Replit, or Bolt
“I'm not worried about those three.”
Maor Shlomo Nov 24, 2025 ▶ 23:48 Base44’s Founder, Maor Shlomo on How Vibe Coding Will Kill SaaS · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Nov 27, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Jason Lemkin: AI startup retention will improve as enterprise customer bases grow
“As these guys grow, their NRR will go up and the churn will go down, just because for classic enterprise reasons, those big customers are going to be stickier.”
Jason Lemkin Nov 27, 2025 ▶ 56:19 Anthropic Raises $30B from Microsoft & NVIDIA & NVIDIA’s Core Business Faces TPU Threat · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Nov 27, 2025 positive
Opinion
Rory O'Driscoll: AI-first startups have a growth edge over incumbents like Wix
“In the absence of data to the contrary, the prior is that the AI first company has the edge in terms of growth, so I'll go at lovable at the margin, but I'm a bit nervous at six billion, just to be clear.”
Rory O'Driscoll Nov 27, 2025 ▶ 1:28:15 Anthropic Raises $30B from Microsoft & NVIDIA & NVIDIA’s Core Business Faces TPU Threat · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Dec 4, 2025 positive
Insight
O'Driscoll: Invest in Front-End Apps Over Infrastructure in Risky Categories
“I'll say Lovable. And I'll tell you why. I think Superbase is benefiting by the trend of vibe coding. And Lovable is a bet fundamentally. It's in the front end monetizing on vibe coding. One of two things happens. Either vibe coding is a category or it's not. …”
Rory O'Driscoll Dec 4, 2025 ▶ 1:08:32 Eventbrite Sold for $500M, Databricks $5B Raise at $134B Valuation & Why SaaS is Like Japan · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Dec 4, 2025 negative
Opinion
Lemkin: Anthropic Solved AI Coding; Cursor and Replit Just Grafted On
“Claude figured that out. Cursor didn't figure this out. Replit and Lovable and Bolt didn't figure it out. I can tell you the story. Claude figured it out. Anthropic, the guys, you know, once they quit OpenAI, they figured it out and everyone grafted on this, i…”
Jason Lemkin Dec 4, 2025 ▶ 1:02:50 Eventbrite Sold for $500M, Databricks $5B Raise at $134B Valuation & Why SaaS is Like Japan · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Dec 5, 2025 neutral
Disclosure
Bending Spoons teams favor Lovable, while Simionato personally prefers Replit
“I think our teams use Lovable more than Replit. I personally use Replit more than Lovable though.”
Federico Simionato Dec 5, 2025 ▶ 1:00:11 20VC: Inside Bending Spoons Acquisition Machine: Evernote, Eventbrite, Vimeo | How Evernote Evaluates Acquisitions and New Product Ideas | How Evernote Mastered Product Launches, User Retention and Monetisation with Federico Simionato
Dec 22, 2025 bullish
Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2030
Lemkin: Vibe coding tools will eventually build $100M+ revenue B2B apps
“No one built a game changing B to B app with nine figures of revenue on lovable or replet. I do believe it will come.”
Jason Lemkin Dec 22, 2025 ▶ 28:06 Predictions for 2026: Top Buy & Biggest Short | Why Salesforce Could Win & NVIDIA’s Challenges · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jan 11, 2026 positive
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Harries: AI will push product managers into growth or product engineering
“Yeah, I think PMs move to either growth, so you combine the PM role with marketing, and depending on your size and how strong your engineers are, you do more or less of the PM, or many PMs will actually move towards product engineering, which is they're somewh…”
Luke Harries Jan 11, 2026 ▶ 51:54 20Growth: The $6.6B Growth Engine Behind ElevenLabs | Why ElevenLabs Do Not Have PMs | The 7 Part Launch Playbook to Crush All Launches with Luke Harries, Head of Growth @ ElevenLabs
Jan 11, 2026 bearish
Opinion
Harries: Retool is 'dead at the wheel' amid AI transition
“And I think Retool is kind of dead at the wheel at the moment. I don't hear the recent things they've been launching, and so I could imagine Loveball going in that direction.”
Luke Harries Jan 11, 2026 ▶ 58:25 20Growth: The $6.6B Growth Engine Behind ElevenLabs | Why ElevenLabs Do Not Have PMs | The 7 Part Launch Playbook to Crush All Launches with Luke Harries, Head of Growth @ ElevenLabs
Jan 12, 2026 bullish
Insight
Rampell: Permanent systems of record outperform hyper-growth AI wrappers long term
“I would much rather have a slower growing, permanent system of record that will never get ripped out than the fastest growing thing on the planet that has 9000 competitors that are all built and lovable by 17 year olds.”
Alex Rampell Jan 12, 2026 ▶ 58:26 Alex Rampell: The Best Founders Materialise Capital, Customers & Labour | The Future of Venture · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jan 16, 2026 bullish
Opinion
Lovinsky bets UX application-layer AI tools will beat dev tools to mass UX
“I guess I would probably bet on people working at that UX application layer already.”
Noam Lovinsky Jan 16, 2026 ▶ 19:24 20Product: Is the Design Phase Dead in a World of AI | Has Claude Code Crushed Anthropic Already | What Roles of a PM Are Less and More Important with AI | How the Best Product Leaders Tell Stories with Noam Lovinsky, CPO @ Superhuman
Feb 19, 2026 bullish
Assertion Supported
O'Driscoll: AI coding tools Lovable and Replit generate $300M-$400M in revenue
“If you take, you know, again, to your example of, I'm sorry, my brain Figma, right? The maker, the next generation product tools like lovable, And Replit, right, they're doing three, four hundred million in space.”
Rory O'Driscoll Feb 19, 2026 ▶ 42:39 Thrive Raises New $10B Fund | OpenAI Buys OpenClaw | Stripe at $140B: Is Adyen Wildly Undervalued? · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Feb 19, 2026 bearish
Opinion
Lemkin: Figma missed $300M-$400M in AI prototyping revenue to Replit and Lovable
“That lovable and replet should not be owning product prototyping and development for product people. Figma should own this. They don't. They missed a whole generation. Here. And that's the, that ties into all of this. Figma, can't argue with Figma today. That …”
Jason Lemkin Feb 19, 2026 ▶ 33:44 Thrive Raises New $10B Fund | OpenAI Buys OpenClaw | Stripe at $140B: Is Adyen Wildly Undervalued? · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Feb 23, 2026 positive
Disclosure
Stebbings: Lovable's ARR jumped from $3M to $20M during Series A legals
“When we did Lovables A, it was like at three million in revenue. By the time the legals were done, it was at 20. And so the multiple had gone from 70 x to 10 x.”
Harry Stebbings Feb 23, 2026 ▶ 9:39 Insights from Coatue's Growth Investor Lucas Swisher · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Mar 9, 2026 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Stebbings received 5 to 10 investor intro requests daily for Lovable
“Pre the round that Xenia did, because we were in the round before, it was just embarrassing. I mean, like five to 10 a day and it is very awkward.”
Harry Stebbings Mar 9, 2026 ▶ 1:02:18 "Cursor is Dead" is Total BS: Here is Why | Miles Clements · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Mar 14, 2026 positive
Insight
Verna: Constant product release noise drives SaaS retention and user resurrection
“I know that that constant noise is part of our retention strategy. That constant noise is what drives a lot of resurrection for us as well, because people feel like it's a living, breathing thing that is constantly growing and evolving, and they always want to…”
Elena Verna Mar 14, 2026 ▶ 51:07 Elena Verna: How Lovable Launches Product & Hacks Social to Go Viral · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Mar 14, 2026
Insight
Verna: Modern software is judged by emotional resonance over core functionality
“It's no longer about the software functionality that you're trying to grow. You're really trying to create what I call minimum lovable product out of every single little thing that you touch because software is now almost being judged by the emotion that it ca…”
Elena Verna Mar 14, 2026 ▶ 2:31 Elena Verna: How Lovable Launches Product & Hacks Social to Go Viral · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Mar 14, 2026
Disclosure
Verna: Lovable's primary marketing cost is its freemium product, not ads
“A lot of our costs are within our freemium, not with our paid marketing, not with employees, not with marketing or sales budgets. It's with Freemium, because we view Freemium as actually marketing channel.”
Elena Verna Mar 14, 2026 ▶ 27:36 Elena Verna: How Lovable Launches Product & Hacks Social to Go Viral · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Mar 14, 2026
Insight
Verna: Waiting for revenue decline to react is already too late
“Knowing the key predictive indicators that will lead you into the decline, not just looking at revenue, because when moment revenue starts declining, it's already too fucking late. So like, you need to know like beforehand, what will I see? What will lead? Wha…”
Elena Verna Mar 14, 2026 ▶ 59:30 Elena Verna: How Lovable Launches Product & Hacks Social to Go Viral · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Mar 14, 2026 positive
Insight
Verna: Ad-hoc purchases alongside subscriptions drive incremental ARR and retention
“Allowing flexibility in your monetization model for ad hoc purchases can mean the world of incrementality for your overall monetization capture potential. We just introduced top ups at lovable and it's been absolutely wild because in every other job I've ever …”
Elena Verna Mar 14, 2026 ▶ 33:00 Elena Verna: How Lovable Launches Product & Hacks Social to Go Viral · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Mar 14, 2026
Insight
Verna: Startups can no longer win by simply copying competitors
“I think that when the functionality was very expensive to produce, we could afford to obsess about competitors a little bit more. With the functionality and the speed of development happening so much faster now, it almost paves the way for you to just have a v…”
Elena Verna Mar 14, 2026 ▶ 1:01:40 Elena Verna: How Lovable Launches Product & Hacks Social to Go Viral · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Mar 14, 2026 positive
Prediction Partly held up
Verna: Lovable is committed to launching product releases every single day
“At Lovable, we are committed to launching every day, so there's like ongoing buzz that is happening.”
Elena Verna Mar 14, 2026 ▶ 50:26 Elena Verna: How Lovable Launches Product & Hacks Social to Go Viral · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Mar 14, 2026 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Verna: Lovable's initial growth was driven by founder Anton's social presence
“I think that lovable is where it is right now because of the founder led socials that Anton has really leaned into and has done at the beginning.”
Elena Verna Mar 14, 2026 ▶ 5:41 Elena Verna: How Lovable Launches Product & Hacks Social to Go Viral · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Mar 14, 2026 bullish
Assertion Supported
Stebbings: Lovable has surpassed $350 million in ARR
“They are now at over three hundred and fifty million in ARR.”
Harry Stebbings Mar 14, 2026 ▶ 0:10 Elena Verna: How Lovable Launches Product & Hacks Social to Go Viral · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Mar 14, 2026
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Verna: Lovable's primary North Star metric is daily active apps
“So our North Star metric is daily active apps.”
Elena Verna Mar 14, 2026 ▶ 49:04 Elena Verna: How Lovable Launches Product & Hacks Social to Go Viral · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Mar 14, 2026 positive
Assertion Supported
Verna: Every Lovable employee is expected to ship code to production
“Every single employee at Lovable expected to ship code to production.”
Elena Verna Mar 14, 2026 ▶ 12:50 Elena Verna: How Lovable Launches Product & Hacks Social to Go Viral · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Mar 14, 2026 bullish
Assertion Supported
Stebbings: Lovable's latest funding round valued the company over $6.6 billion
“Their latest round put them at over 6.6 billion dollars.”
Harry Stebbings Mar 14, 2026 ▶ 0:13 Elena Verna: How Lovable Launches Product & Hacks Social to Go Viral · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Mar 26, 2026 negative
Disclosure
Stebbings: 20VC's biggest regret was not playing momentum in hot AI rounds
“My biggest regret with our Series A fund is not being more elastic, disregarding the Series A mandate, and just saying I'm going to leverage the brand and the access that I have, arrogantly, forgive me for that, to get into super hot companies like your 11 Lab…”
Harry Stebbings Mar 26, 2026 ▶ 1:15:27 Why You Need a $1B Fund To Do Series A | SpaceX at $2TRN & Data Centers in Space | Groq's $20BN Deal · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
May 21, 2026 negative
Opinion
Lemkin: Figma lost $500M+ failing to launch design-to-code natively
“What Figma missed is I create this design. It's beautiful. I loop in the product team to approve it. And then I click a button, which it says push into full production prototype. And it just works. It works like, and you can, and the irony is Replit and Lovabl…”
Jason Lemkin May 21, 2026 ▶ 26:48 Anthropic Raises $30BN at $900BN Price | SpaceX Files S1: How Does it Trade | Cerebras Smashes Day 1 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jun 11, 2026 positive
Assertion Supported
Stebbings: Lovable Reached $500M ARR With 146 Employees
“Lovable, so literally just before we came on, Lovable hit five hundred million of error. The number, number was wrong. So five hundred million of error with 146 employees.”
Harry Stebbings Jun 11, 2026 ▶ 39:53 SpaceX Launches Largest Ever IPO | OpenAI Files to Go Public | Uber Cuts 23% of HR · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jun 27, 2026 bearish
Opinion
Adding LLMs to Existing Design Tools Will Beat AI-Native Platforms
“So with Lovable, it's much harder because they haven't built the human centric software. I think it's much easier to add the LLM on top, especially as it becomes commoditized by all these major models.”
Paul Erlang Jun 27, 2026 ▶ 28:54 How We Got Fred Wilson, Benchmark and Index to Invest $94M | Why Robinhood's Strategy is Wrong · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jul 27, 2026 bullish
Assertion Supported
Lovable scaled from zero to $300M ARR within one year
“Where you see a company go from zero to something like three hundred million in a year. I think we intercepted them around, well, we kind of got, tried to get in when they were around 30, 30 of error, but we around, we did was around one 50.”
Matt Murphy Jul 27, 2026 ▶ 19:18 Will Open-Source Threaten Anthropic's Business & Do Margins Matter in a World of AI | Matt Murphy
Aug 12, 2026 negative
What-if
Figma missed market share later captured by Replit and Lovable
“I firmly believe a big chunk of Replit and Lovable could have been Figma's if they'd done it.”
Jason Lemkin Aug 12, 2026 ▶ 16:43 Canva Slashes Growth | Talent Exodus at Google | Revolut's $50B CEO Package | Musk's $55B Terrafab
Aug 20, 2026 positive
Assertion Supported
Stebbings: Lovable Raised at $13.3B Valuation from Menlo Ventures
“Lovable, who raised a new round from Menlo. They're around the 607 hundred million ARR range too, raising at a 13.3 billion dollar price.”
Harry Stebbings Aug 20, 2026 ▶ 1:02:44 Stripe's $8B OpenRouter Bet | Anthropic's First Profit & The Math Behind Reaching $600B in Revenue?
Aug 24, 2026 positive
Disclosure
Bek Underestimated Lovable Founder Anton Osika Due to Lacking a Meeting Plan
“I had lunch with Anton Ossica from Lovable before he founded the company, and I just didn't see it. And I'll tell you one thing that I learned from that is I didn't come to the meeting with a plan. I just had lunch with him, and it was three of us and him, and…”
Julien Bek Aug 24, 2026 ▶ 41:20 Inside Sequoia's Investment Committee | How the SpaceX & Citadel Deals Went Down | Julien Bek
Aug 29, 2026 bullish
Assertion Partly supported
Stebbings: Lovable reached a $13.5B valuation with $600M to $700M ARR
“And suddenly it's a 13 and a half billion dollar business at 607 hundred million of ARR.”
Harry Stebbings Aug 29, 2026 ▶ 56:32 Should American Enterprises Work With Open-Source Chinese Models? | Only 10% of Neo-labs survive
Sep 3, 2026 bullish
Opinion
Lemkin: Replit, Lovable, and Bolt Now Have Massive Moats
“Replit and lovable of a year ago and bolt were not a moat today. They have massive moats. And so I think it could easily happen with an instinct. All the use cases that has to accomplish become a moat.”
Jason Lemkin Sep 3, 2026 ▶ 33:42 NVIDIA Crushes Quarter | OpenAI Cuts Off Cursor | Instinct Hits $2.5B Valuation
Sep 3, 2026 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Lemkin: Linear at $2.5B Will Look Cheap as AI Coding Explodes
“This will seem cheap, When Replit's at fifteen billion, Lovable's at a hundred billion, everyone's out there because Linear will be the one powering them all.”
Jason Lemkin Sep 3, 2026 ▶ 1:14:08 NVIDIA Crushes Quarter | OpenAI Cuts Off Cursor | Instinct Hits $2.5B Valuation
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