Frank Rotman

31 statements across 3 episodes · 5 bullish · 10 bearish · 1 people on the record · first statement Aug 26, 2021 by Frank Rotman · said 15 times in 4 episodes since 2021 · across every show →

On the record as a speaker too: Frank Rotman's record, appearances and statements → this page counts the times other people say the name.

Mentions by year

brought up most by Harry Stebbings (8), Nigel Morris (3), Nick Shalek (2), Mike Chalfen (1), Bill Cillufo (1)

every mention, scene by scene, with the transcript →

Everything said about Frank Rotman, oldest first

Aug 26, 2021
Insight
Rotman: Raising external capital right after surfacing anti-proof is wrong timing
“Trying to attract new capital at a time when you just surfaced a whole bunch of anti-proof is the wrong time to raise from a new investor.”
Frank Rotman Aug 26, 2021 ▶ 26:33 20VC: Has Price Discipline Disappeared? Is it Possible to Build Ownership Over Time? Why Venture Is Less Collaborative Now Than Ever? How fast Do Breakout Companies Become Obvious? How To Construct an Optimised and Repeatable Investment Decision-Making Pr
Aug 26, 2021
Insight
Rotman: Initial check size determines long-term VC fund ownership
“The challenge in venture today is that that initial check that you write almost sets the stage. For how much ownership you're going to have in the future, unless you are an extreme value added venture capitalist, a player where the founders, the other investor…”
Frank Rotman Aug 26, 2021 ▶ 31:33 20VC: Has Price Discipline Disappeared? Is it Possible to Build Ownership Over Time? Why Venture Is Less Collaborative Now Than Ever? How fast Do Breakout Companies Become Obvious? How To Construct an Optimised and Repeatable Investment Decision-Making Pr
Aug 26, 2021 bearish
Opinion
Rotman: Venture price discipline has collapsed to math
“The price discipline has disappeared from the market, and I think it's collapsed to math.”
Frank Rotman Aug 26, 2021 ▶ 17:56 20VC: Has Price Discipline Disappeared? Is it Possible to Build Ownership Over Time? Why Venture Is Less Collaborative Now Than Ever? How fast Do Breakout Companies Become Obvious? How To Construct an Optimised and Repeatable Investment Decision-Making Pr
Aug 26, 2021 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Rotman: Startups now grow faster during deal closing than 2008 winners did annually
“When I first started in this industry in 2008, you know, 2009, 2010, the early vintages of companies that we ended up investing in, the best companies would grow by two X. And now you're looking at companies that between the signing of a term sheet and the fin…”
Frank Rotman Aug 26, 2021 ▶ 20:59 20VC: Has Price Discipline Disappeared? Is it Possible to Build Ownership Over Time? Why Venture Is Less Collaborative Now Than Ever? How fast Do Breakout Companies Become Obvious? How To Construct an Optimised and Repeatable Investment Decision-Making Pr
Aug 26, 2021
Insight
Rotman: VCs must be more thoughtful per decision due to higher stakes
“The conviction that you have to have around the decisions that you make are different. You have to be much more thoughtful about each and every decision that you make. Because you make fewer of them, and they have bigger consequences.”
Frank Rotman Aug 26, 2021 ▶ 6:55 20VC: Has Price Discipline Disappeared? Is it Possible to Build Ownership Over Time? Why Venture Is Less Collaborative Now Than Ever? How fast Do Breakout Companies Become Obvious? How To Construct an Optimised and Repeatable Investment Decision-Making Pr
Aug 26, 2021
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Rotman: Under 1% of venture-backed founders shut down before running out of cash
“I would be surprised if you did an analysis of them, if it was more than one percent of the companies, probably even a fraction of one percent where the founder shuts the door on the business for any reason other than they ran out of cash, right?”
Frank Rotman Aug 26, 2021 ▶ 28:49 20VC: Has Price Discipline Disappeared? Is it Possible to Build Ownership Over Time? Why Venture Is Less Collaborative Now Than Ever? How fast Do Breakout Companies Become Obvious? How To Construct an Optimised and Repeatable Investment Decision-Making Pr
Aug 26, 2021
Insight
Rotman: Valuable startups require seven years of yes decisions
“In a smaller company or a startup, it's the exact opposite. You have to string together seven years worth of yes decisions. In order to build any company that has any value.”
Frank Rotman Aug 26, 2021 ▶ 8:56 20VC: Has Price Discipline Disappeared? Is it Possible to Build Ownership Over Time? Why Venture Is Less Collaborative Now Than Ever? How fast Do Breakout Companies Become Obvious? How To Construct an Optimised and Repeatable Investment Decision-Making Pr
Aug 26, 2021 negative
Insight
Rotman: Dismissing founder financial plans as useless is lazy venture underwriting
“I find it lazy underwriting when they say, well, the plan isn't going to happen, so why should I spend time on it? But there's a lot of embedded information that you can pull out of plans by having conversations with the founders and understanding what they ex…”
Frank Rotman Aug 26, 2021 ▶ 23:52 20VC: Has Price Discipline Disappeared? Is it Possible to Build Ownership Over Time? Why Venture Is Less Collaborative Now Than Ever? How fast Do Breakout Companies Become Obvious? How To Construct an Optimised and Repeatable Investment Decision-Making Pr
Aug 26, 2021 bullish
Opinion
Rotman: More bullish on fintech for the next decade than the last
“So I'm actually more bullish on the next 10 years than I have been on the last 10 years”
Frank Rotman Aug 26, 2021 ▶ 47:17 20VC: Has Price Discipline Disappeared? Is it Possible to Build Ownership Over Time? Why Venture Is Less Collaborative Now Than Ever? How fast Do Breakout Companies Become Obvious? How To Construct an Optimised and Repeatable Investment Decision-Making Pr
Aug 26, 2021
Assertion Supported
Rotman: Venture round dilution has dropped from 30% to 20%
“Founders are selling less equity in rounds than they were in the past. So typical dilution in the past might have been 30%, you know, in a round, and that might have shrunk to 20% in a round today.”
Frank Rotman Aug 26, 2021 ▶ 35:58 20VC: Has Price Discipline Disappeared? Is it Possible to Build Ownership Over Time? Why Venture Is Less Collaborative Now Than Ever? How fast Do Breakout Companies Become Obvious? How To Construct an Optimised and Repeatable Investment Decision-Making Pr
Aug 26, 2021 negative
Opinion
Frank Rotman prefers operating over venture capital due to immediate feedback
“I will say that there's a part of me that likes being an operator more than being a VC because of the feedback loop, but you do eventually get used to it, and you figure out how to operate with very long cycle feedback loops.”
Frank Rotman Aug 26, 2021 ▶ 7:05 20VC: Has Price Discipline Disappeared? Is it Possible to Build Ownership Over Time? Why Venture Is Less Collaborative Now Than Ever? How fast Do Breakout Companies Become Obvious? How To Construct an Optimised and Repeatable Investment Decision-Making Pr
Aug 26, 2021
Insight
Rotman: At big companies, saying no yields 80-90% bonus
“You can actually earn 80 to 90% of your bonus saying no to everything. That's new, right? If you literally say no to everything, you have the power to optimize what's in your control so that you could hit 80 or 90% of your bonus saying no to everything new.”
Frank Rotman Aug 26, 2021 ▶ 8:42 20VC: Has Price Discipline Disappeared? Is it Possible to Build Ownership Over Time? Why Venture Is Less Collaborative Now Than Ever? How fast Do Breakout Companies Become Obvious? How To Construct an Optimised and Repeatable Investment Decision-Making Pr
Aug 26, 2021
Insight
Rotman: Venture capital is about learning speed per dollar spent
“Because again, I think about the venture asset class is very simple. It's about asking and answering the question, how much can you learn for how much money, how quickly?”
Frank Rotman Aug 26, 2021 ▶ 12:46 20VC: Has Price Discipline Disappeared? Is it Possible to Build Ownership Over Time? Why Venture Is Less Collaborative Now Than Ever? How fast Do Breakout Companies Become Obvious? How To Construct an Optimised and Repeatable Investment Decision-Making Pr
Aug 26, 2021 neutral
Assertion Supported
Rotman: EPS and stock prices show 95%+ historical correlation
“The last I checked, there's a 95 plus percent correlation between earnings per share and share price of companies throughout the history of the stock exchange.”
Frank Rotman Aug 26, 2021 ▶ 14:34 20VC: Has Price Discipline Disappeared? Is it Possible to Build Ownership Over Time? Why Venture Is Less Collaborative Now Than Ever? How fast Do Breakout Companies Become Obvious? How To Construct an Optimised and Repeatable Investment Decision-Making Pr
Aug 26, 2021
Insight
Rotman: Every startup experiment produces either proof or anti-proof
“Everything that you do is either proof or anti-proof, right? Everything that you learn falls into one of those two categories. You're either proving that the assumption that you had is correct, Or you're getting anti evidence that it actually isn't correct.”
Frank Rotman Aug 26, 2021 ▶ 25:52 20VC: Has Price Discipline Disappeared? Is it Possible to Build Ownership Over Time? Why Venture Is Less Collaborative Now Than Ever? How fast Do Breakout Companies Become Obvious? How To Construct an Optimised and Repeatable Investment Decision-Making Pr
Aug 26, 2021 negative
Insight
Rotman: Founder financial plans presented to VCs never come true
“The one truism in, in venture is whatever the financial plan is that a founder puts in front of you just isn't going to come true.”
Frank Rotman Aug 26, 2021 ▶ 23:27 20VC: Has Price Discipline Disappeared? Is it Possible to Build Ownership Over Time? Why Venture Is Less Collaborative Now Than Ever? How fast Do Breakout Companies Become Obvious? How To Construct an Optimised and Repeatable Investment Decision-Making Pr
Aug 12, 2022
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Rotman: Modern startup growth velocity far outpaces 2008 benchmarks
“When I first started in this industry in 2008, You know, the best companies would grow by two X year over year. And now you're looking at companies that between the signing of a term sheet and the final documentation, a company could have doubled or tripled.”
Frank Rotman Aug 12, 2022 ▶ 14:02 20VC: 13 of the Great Investing Minds on When to Pay Up vs When To Remain Disciplined and Walk Because the Price is too High: The Ultimate Guide to Price Sensitivity
Aug 12, 2022
Disclosure
Rotman: QED offers intended as top bids were outbid by 2x
“We've done it with a number of companies over the past year where the environment has just shifted so quickly, where I thought we were offering the highest price that we could, and it was the lowest by a factor of two.”
Frank Rotman Aug 12, 2022 ▶ 13:14 20VC: 13 of the Great Investing Minds on When to Pay Up vs When To Remain Disciplined and Walk Because the Price is too High: The Ultimate Guide to Price Sensitivity
Aug 11, 2023 positive
Disclosure
Rotman: QED's 100x+ wins de-risked their business models on minimal capital
“If I look at the history of our 20 X pluses and we have a few hundred X pluses, like these were businesses that for very limited amounts of money were able to de-risk the business so that you knew that you were on, on a path to something very big.”
Frank Rotman Aug 11, 2023 ▶ 18:18 DEBATE: State of Seed Investing w/ Jason Lemkin, Sam Lessin, Frank Rotman & Harry Stebbings | E1047 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Aug 11, 2023 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Rotman: Generating 12x early investor returns on $300M exit requires under $30M raised
“In order to do that with a three hundred million dollar outcome, it means you have to have invested less than thirty million dollars of capital to get to that point.”
Frank Rotman Aug 11, 2023 ▶ 28:13 DEBATE: State of Seed Investing w/ Jason Lemkin, Sam Lessin, Frank Rotman & Harry Stebbings | E1047 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Aug 11, 2023 negative
Opinion
Rotman: YC encourages artificial growth for Demo Day, causing VCs to overpay
“A lot of the growth trajectory was in unscalable things in order to get the up and to the right, 45 degree chart so that you can package it for demo day. You know, so there are a lot of artificial things done in order to package it, like you know, to Sam's poi…”
Frank Rotman Aug 11, 2023 ▶ 39:17 DEBATE: State of Seed Investing w/ Jason Lemkin, Sam Lessin, Frank Rotman & Harry Stebbings | E1047 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Aug 11, 2023 negative
Insight
Rotman: Startups Struggle When Cap Tables Are Dominated by Passive Investors
“I like to see as much money on the cap table in the hands of active investors as possible. And when a lot of the money is in the hands of passive investors, it's very hard.”
Frank Rotman Aug 11, 2023 ▶ 42:23 DEBATE: State of Seed Investing w/ Jason Lemkin, Sam Lessin, Frank Rotman & Harry Stebbings | E1047 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Aug 11, 2023 bullish
Disclosure
Rotman: QED Has Another 6 to 12 Potential IPOs in Portfolio
“We see the potential in our own portfolio for, you know, another half dozen or dozen like IPOs that are kind of orienting themselves and getting ready when they get to sufficient scale”
Frank Rotman Aug 11, 2023 ▶ 56:07 DEBATE: State of Seed Investing w/ Jason Lemkin, Sam Lessin, Frank Rotman & Harry Stebbings | E1047 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Aug 11, 2023 negative
Insight
Rotman: Investing heavy capital before cracking unit economics destroys returns
“So I think the sloppiness was inserting a lot of capital into companies before you had cracked the code, right? And that almost de facto ruins returns.”
Frank Rotman Aug 11, 2023 ▶ 18:46 DEBATE: State of Seed Investing w/ Jason Lemkin, Sam Lessin, Frank Rotman & Harry Stebbings | E1047 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Aug 11, 2023 positive
Disclosure
Frank Rotman: QED Investors acts as hands-on employees for portfolio companies
“I mean, we almost become employees of the company. In the early days to help them accelerate their path.”
Frank Rotman Aug 11, 2023 ▶ 45:55 DEBATE: State of Seed Investing w/ Jason Lemkin, Sam Lessin, Frank Rotman & Harry Stebbings | E1047 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Aug 11, 2023
Assertion Supported
Rotman: Only 2% to 4% of venture-backed startups go public
“If you go back the past 20 years or so, it's a single digit number, right? And in fact, for some vintages, that number is two percent, for some it's three, some it's four. But it's not eight percent or 10% of companies end up becoming public companies.”
Frank Rotman Aug 11, 2023 ▶ 24:20 DEBATE: State of Seed Investing w/ Jason Lemkin, Sam Lessin, Frank Rotman & Harry Stebbings | E1047 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Aug 11, 2023 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Rotman: Startups can no longer raise Series A rounds on narrative alone
“Narrative is going to stop at the seed when it used to flow through to the series A and even into the series B. So I think the trend is you can raise on narrative at seed, and then it's results starting in series A.”
Frank Rotman Aug 11, 2023 ▶ 1:01:12 DEBATE: State of Seed Investing w/ Jason Lemkin, Sam Lessin, Frank Rotman & Harry Stebbings | E1047 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Aug 11, 2023 bearish
Prediction Open · timeframe Aug 2028
Frank Rotman predicts 20-30% failure rates between early venture stages
“You will have 20 to 30% failure between seed and A. You will have 20 to 30% failure between A and B.”
Frank Rotman Aug 11, 2023 ▶ 5:40 DEBATE: State of Seed Investing w/ Jason Lemkin, Sam Lessin, Frank Rotman & Harry Stebbings | E1047 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Aug 11, 2023 neutral
Prediction Held up
Rotman: Tech IPO window will reopen late 2024 or 2025
“I don't think it's going to be one a week in the back half of next year. I think it will open up in the half of next year and maybe the year after.”
Frank Rotman Aug 11, 2023 ▶ 53:15 DEBATE: State of Seed Investing w/ Jason Lemkin, Sam Lessin, Frank Rotman & Harry Stebbings | E1047 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Aug 11, 2023 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Rotman: Middling VC funds and emerging managers will struggle to raise capital
“For a number of years, like if you were a Middling fund, you know, or an emerging manager, you're going to have problems raising capital.”
Frank Rotman Aug 11, 2023 ▶ 1:00:31 DEBATE: State of Seed Investing w/ Jason Lemkin, Sam Lessin, Frank Rotman & Harry Stebbings | E1047 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Aug 11, 2023 negative
Insight
Rotman: VCs prefer no-bids over down rounds for overvalued seed startups
“And if pricing doesn't correct at the earliest stage you're going to have a lot of no bids, you know, at the Series A because they wouldn't have gone far enough, fast enough for a Series A investor to come in and say they've earned their way into a significant…”
Frank Rotman Aug 11, 2023 ▶ 11:18 DEBATE: State of Seed Investing w/ Jason Lemkin, Sam Lessin, Frank Rotman & Harry Stebbings | E1047 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
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