Federal Reserve

12 statements across 10 episodes · 2 bullish · 3 bearish · 10 people on the record · first statement Nov 9, 2020 by Derek Zanutto · said 90 times in 29 episodes since 2017 · across every show →

Mentions by year

brought up most by Howard Marks (12), Fabrice Grinda (11), William Hockey (9), Roger Ehrenberg (8), Larry Summers (7), Jackie Reses (6), Harry Stebbings (5), Mark Carney (4)

tap a year for its mentions
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0510201720182019202020212022202320242025episodes it came up in
00551010201720182019202020212022202320242025episodesmentions per episode
2025 3 mentions in 2 episodes 2 per episode
2024 4 mentions in 3 episodes 1 per episode
2023 27 mentions in 9 episodes 3 per episode
2022 31 mentions in 8 episodes 4 per episode
2021 18 mentions in 2 episodes 9 per episode
2020 5 mentions in 3 episodes 2 per episode
2017 2 mentions in 2 episodes 1 per episode

every mention, scene by scene, with the transcript →

Everything said about Federal Reserve, oldest first

Nov 9, 2020 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Zanutto: Capital oversupply in venture has persisted for over 10 years
“I think there's been an oversupply Supply of capital for, you know, the better part of 10 years now, at least 10 years, really since the Fed took interest rates down to zero coming out of the GFC in 2008, 2009.”
Derek Zanutto Nov 9, 2020 ▶ 8:24 20VC: Lessons from Investing in Uber and Airbnb, How To Think Through Bundling vs Unbundling, Late Stage Funds Moving Earlier, Early Stage Funds Moving Later& The Mechanics of Venture That Founders Should Know with Derek Zanutto, General Partner @ Capital
Jan 4, 2021 neutral
Prediction Held up
Marks: Fed will not raise rates until inflation exceeds 2%
“Until we get, you know, growth above two and a half or three, and until, certainly until we get inflation above two percent, I don't think you'll be seeing any increases in Fed funds rate coming from the central bank.”
Howard Marks Jan 4, 2021 ▶ 10:08 20VC: Bill Gurley and Howard Marks: What Happened In 2020? What Can We Expect Looking Forward to 2021?
Feb 11, 2021
Assertion Partly supported
Bar: Federal Reserve research shows $18T in US B2B payments remain on paper checks
“Hasn't happened yet in terms of how a business pays another business or how B to B payments are being done, and I remember this one number that I shared with Michael that I read the Federal Reserve research that indicated that there are around 18 trillion doll…”
Matan Bar Feb 11, 2021 ▶ 3:55 20VC: Scaling to a $1.3Bn Valuation While in Stealth, The Power of Different Network Effects Within Payment Platforms & How To Leverage Your Board and Investor Base for the Most Value with Matan Bar, Founder & CEO @ Melio
May 7, 2021
Assertion Partly supported
Central banks coordinated a massive liquidity intervention on MercadoLibre's IPO day
“The day that we IPO'd in August of 2007, that same day was the first time since nine 11 that the Federal Reserve, the Japanese Central Bank and the European Central Bank had to intervene in the markets in a coordinated fashion to provide liquidity.”
Marcos Galperin May 7, 2021 ▶ 14:04 20VC: MercadoLibre Founder Marcos Galperin on Optimising Decision-Making, Effective Resource Allocation, Growth vs Profitability, Fundraising Strategies and more on the Journey To Build a $72Bn Market Cap Company
May 9, 2022
Assertion Partly supported
Grinda: Fed Avoided Recession in Only 3 of 7 Past Rate Hiking Cycles
“I think only three of the seven times that we've increased race have we've been able to avoid a recession.”
Fabrice Grinda May 9, 2022 ▶ 30:25 20VC: WTF Is Going On? 3 Outcomes for What Could Happen From Here; What Needs to Happen To Avoid Recession? Why Stagnation is Most Likely and What This Means for Startups and Venture & Why Catastrophe is More Likely Than Ever and Switzerland Could Be a "H
Mar 20, 2023
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Ackman: Decent chance Fed Chair Powell pauses interest rate hikes
“And so I think there's a decent chance Powell says, you know, we've, we're not raising rates.”
Bill Ackman Mar 20, 2023 ▶ 38:24 Bill Ackman: SVB Collapse; Biden vs Trump; How I Lost $400M on Netflix; Bill's 10-Year Long | E991 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Mar 31, 2023 positive
Opinion
Reses: The Federal Reserve Has Done a Great Job Learning Crypto
“And so I have seen in the last few years a willingness to dig into crypto in a way that is profoundly different than in the past, where regulators might have had a more limited interaction with companies. I think they truly understood that they needed to under…”
Jackie Reses Mar 31, 2023 ▶ 48:13 Jackie Reses: The Most Powerful Woman in Finance; Making $50BN for Yahoo on Alibaba | E996 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Mar 31, 2023
Disclosure
Reses: Regulatory Approval and Speed Took Priority Over Valuation at Lead Bank
“When we set the terms for our investing rounds, I was very comfortable letting our investors get a lot of their way on a lot of different components of the transaction because I knew I needed certain things. I needed a structure that was appropriate for a bank…”
Jackie Reses Mar 31, 2023 ▶ 23:19 Jackie Reses: The Most Powerful Woman in Finance; Making $50BN for Yahoo on Alibaba | E996 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jun 12, 2023 bearish
Prediction Open · timeframe Jun 2028
Summers: Fed cannot lower inflation to target without an economic downturn
“My own view, and I've said this many times, is that what Samuel Johnson said about second marriage is true about soft landings. They represent the triumph of hope over experience, and I don't think we're likely to be able to bring inflation down to its target …”
Larry Summers Jun 12, 2023 ▶ 8:19 Larry Summers: How the Fed screwed up; What a Trump win would do to the economy | E1024 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jun 12, 2023 negative
What-if
Summers: Fed should have raised rates earlier and stopped buying mortgages
“I would have recognized that Very substantially excess demand was developing. I would have moved to signal my awareness of that and to start putting my foot on the brakes much sooner than they did, and certainly as inflation was rising, as we were having a rec…”
Larry Summers Jun 12, 2023 ▶ 6:05 Larry Summers: How the Fed screwed up; What a Trump win would do to the economy | E1024 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Oct 27, 2023 neutral
Prediction Partly held up
Ed Sim: Tech IPO window won't reopen until Fed cuts interest rates
“I think it's very simple. Mr. Jerome Powell signaling to the world that interest rates are under control now. And the air has been taken out of the balloon and the interest rates have to go down.”
Ed Sim Oct 27, 2023 ▶ 47:31 Ed Sim: Why Seed Has Never Been More Competitive & Why Pricing Has Never Been Higher | E1076 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Apr 10, 2024 positive
Opinion
Kevin Ryan: Biden administration and Fed economic management has been remarkable
“The combination of the stimulus, the fiscal stimulus, What the Biden administration has done, which doesn't get credit for combined with the Federal Reserve, has been remarkable management.”
Kevin Ryan Apr 10, 2024 ▶ 1:04:07 Kevin Ryan: Are the Best CEOs the Best Fundraisers & Why Ownership Should Not Be a Focus in VC|E1138 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
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