2021

8 statements across 8 episodes · 3 bullish · 4 bearish · 7 people on the record · first statement Oct 31, 2022 by Brian Singerman · across every show →

Everything said about 2021, oldest first

Oct 31, 2022 positive
Disclosure
Singerman: 2021 Was Founders Fund's Best Year Ever
“In 21, that said, like, You know, we had great, we had our best year ever in 20, 21, right?”
Brian Singerman Oct 31, 2022 ▶ 6:56 Brian Singerman: How I Became a Partner at Founders Fund, Why We Put $400M into Anduril | 20VC #943 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jan 13, 2023 bearish
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Lemkin: Venture funding and valuations will never return to 2021 peaks
“For founders, you have to understand that will never lead to a return of 2021. Never.”
Jason Lemkin Jan 13, 2023 ▶ 53:11 Jason Lemkin: WTF is Going On in VC? Are LPs Investing in New Funds? | 20VC #965 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Sep 20, 2023 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Paley: 2021 Was an Incredible Time to Sell Venture Investments
“2021 was an incredible time to be a seller, and anyone who didn't see that was completely playing momentum.”
Eric Paley Sep 20, 2023 ▶ 1:00:14 Is the VC Model Broken? Jason Lemkin, Mike Maples, Eric Paley & Harry Stebbings Debate | E1062 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
May 1, 2024 bearish
Assertion Contradicted
Mark Suster: 2021 tech overvaluations were worse than dot-com bubble
“1998, 99, 2000 are nothing compared to the overvaluations of twenty-twenty-one.”
Mark Suster May 1, 2024 ▶ 0:00 Mark Suster: Why Private Equity Will Replace IPOs and M&A as the Exit Path | E1147 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jun 12, 2025 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Rory O'Driscoll: Late-stage investing will prove harder over decade than 2021
“I also think there's probably been a little bit of a fake signal in 21 because even your okay ones got highly valued. So you probably think it's easier. Late stage looked a lot easier in 21 than it probably will look across a decade.”
Rory O'Driscoll Jun 12, 2025 ▶ 39:56 Elon’s Empire: SpaceX, Tesla, Neuralink After the Storm & Anduril’s $2.6BN Power Move · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jul 3, 2025 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
O'Driscoll: 2021 investors will not block 1x M&A returns today
“If you're a founder stuck in that situation right now, no one who wrote a check in 20, 21 at four billion, if the company is underperforming, is going to stop a one X right now. They'll be like, they'll be grateful as could be.”
Rory O'Driscoll Jul 3, 2025 ▶ 29:49 Figma’s IPO: The Full Breakdown & Why Melio’s $2.5BN Acquisition is “Discouraging” · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Aug 4, 2025 bearish
Insight
$7B Multi-Stage VC Funds Require $800B in Exit Cap for 4x Net
“You're close to, you know, eight hundred billion of market cap needed to return a Forex net for those multi-stage funds. Now, for reference, twenty-twenty-one, the best exit year of all time, there was 850 billion-ish of market cap exit value from that year. O…”
Miles Dieffenbach Aug 4, 2025 ▶ 38:34 Miles Dieffenbach: Inside Carnegie Mellon’s $4BN Endowment & The Math Behind DPI, TVPI, Illiquidity · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Feb 9, 2026
Disclosure
Acharya's Main 2021 Investment Mistake Was Assuming Product-Market Fit
“If there's a mistake that I've made, it's been being a bit too casual about product market fit, and this was more of a 2021 mistake, which is assuming something had product market fit, and perhaps it didn't, and perhaps the founder had a super credible theory,…”
Anish Acharya Feb 9, 2026 ▶ 1:07:06 a16z, Anish Acharya: Is SaaS Dead? Do Margins Still Matter? Why We Are Not in an AI Bubble? · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
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