why aren't all 14 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Seibel: Twitch blocked video to force an ISP into free peering
“What we did is that after 10 minutes of people watching free, free live video, we just put up a big thing that blocked the video that said, your ISP is not doing a free peering relationship with us, so we can no longer serve you video. If you'd like to call to…”
What-if
Seibel: Twitch would have failed without his three technical co-founders
“I was the single non-technical person on a four-person co-founding team at JustinTV and Twitch, and like I'll just make it plain, without my three other co-founders, none of that shit happens.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Seibel: Justin.tv faced imminent death with $500K cash and $250K burn
“We had raised about seven or eight million dollars. We had grown to about, I don't know, let's say like thirty million monthly people were watching content. We were making about 750,000 dollars a month in revenue, but we were, we had a million dollars a month …”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Seibel: Gamers were 20% of Justin.tv traffic for years before Twitch launched
“Gamers have been streaming on Justin TV since almost the beginning. At any given time, they were 20% of our traffic for years.”
Assertion Supported
Seibel: Justin.tv reached $24M in five years, then $1B in three
“And if you look at the history of Justin TV, in the first five years, it went from being worth nothing to being worth about twenty four million dollars. In the next three years, it went being worth twenty four million dollars to being worth a billion.”
What-if
Seibel: Justin.tv survived due to technical founders, low spending, and ego
“Those were the three things that saved our company, made our company work, and strangely, I don't even think, if you take one of those things away, any one of them, we would have died.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Seibel: Paul Buchheit's advice is why Justin.tv and Twitch exist
“Paul Buhite, he basically threw a piece of advice as the reason why we built a video system, which is the reason why Justin TV could exist, which is the reason why Twitch could exist.”
Disclosure
Brockman: OpenAI chose Dota 2 after League lacked Linux support and API
“Actually the way that we selected the game was we went on, on Twitch and just looked down the list of most popular games in the world and starting, you know, number one is League of Legends. The thing about League of Legends is it doesn't run on Linux and it d…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
The idea for Twitch came only after Justin.tv achieved profitability
“Well, and what's crazy is the idea for Twitch happened after that.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Justin.tv Succeeded When Founders Stopped Copying Competitors, Says Seibel
“The company only started working when Emmett and Kevin started actually talking to the users and figuring out what they wanted. Instead of, you know, the years where all of us just looked at each other, all the competitors just looked at each other, copying ea…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Seibel: Twitch translated its entire product for free via crowdsourcing
“We basically, Got translation for a whole product for free.”
Disclosure
Seibel: Before Stripe, accepting credit cards required a 30-page contract
“It took us three months to start accepting credit cards. I think there was a 30 page contract that we had to read and figure out a sign.”
Assertion Supported
Seibel: Justin.tv's 2006 chat-right, video-left layout survived unchanged on Twitch
“The major product decisions that Justin TV made that carried through to Twitch to today was chat on the right, video on the left. We decided that in 2006. It is the same way, 2018.”
Assertion Partly supported
Altman: Justin Kan achieved a billion-dollar exit on his third YC startup
“It was Justin's third Y Combinator startup, I think, that ended up being a billion dollar exit. And YC funded him three times, and it worked out on the third.”