The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

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why aren't all 3 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Not checkable as stated
Mignano: AI will eventually generate dynamic social media feeds without human creators
“Sora, to me, feels like this third, the start of this third phase where Eventually they don't really need creators to make content, right? Yes, today people are prompting, but you could very easily imagine a world in which you're just coming into the feed, and…”
Mike Mignano Nov 28, 2025 ▶ 20:41 The Best Consumer Startup Ideas Were Impossible Until Now · Y Combinator
Opinion
Mignano: Sora proves AI labs can build net-new consumer apps that threaten startups
“Sora is kind of proof that, no, these labs, like, they have the taste and capability and the horsepower and the execution to build and ship net new products that also might run you over.”
Mike Mignano Nov 28, 2025 ▶ 31:52 The Best Consumer Startup Ideas Were Impossible Until Now · Y Combinator
Opinion
Tan: Meta and xAI Struggle to Capture Sora's Cultural Vibe
“It is funny to see XAI and Meta sort of like struggle to try to capture that vibe.”
Garry Tan Nov 28, 2025 ▶ 23:08 The Best Consumer Startup Ideas Were Impossible Until Now · Y Combinator
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