why aren't all 6 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 1 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Hassabis: Frontier models will call specialized tools rather than subsume them
“One thing I can think see happening is Gemini, Claude, or one of these general systems making use of alpha fold, like specialized systems as tools. I don't think we're going to have it just in one giant brain because it will have too much regression in if I pu…”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Taggar: Model commoditization sets up AI app startups for fantastic year
“Gemini surge, especially over the last few months, just feels like it returns us to a world of where exactly that, like the models are all essentially commoditizing each other. And it's just like the application layer and the startups are going to set up to ha…”
Assertion Open · timeframe Apr 2027
Hassabis: Gemini sometimes identifies chess blunders and plays them anyway
“And so what we see is that, you know, sometimes it will consider a move. It will realize it's a blunder, but it can't find anything better, so it kind of goes back to that move and does it anyway.”
Opinion
Koomen: Gemini is incredible, but Gmail's UI makes it frustrating to use
“Gemini is amazing. The model itself is absolutely incredible. We've been using it a lot at YC to automate our own work. I'm so impressed with what they built. But a lot of that power I think is hidden behind a UI that makes it really frustrating to use.”
Opinion
Blomfield: Gemini Leads Codebase Planning, Claude 3.7 Leads Code Implementation
“For example, at the moment, Gemini seems best for whole code-based indexing and coming up with implementation plan, while Sonnet 3.7, to me at least, seems like the leading contender to actually implement the code changes.”
Disclosure
Legora hot-swaps Claude, Gemini, GPT, and Mistral models interchangeably on AWS
“So we use AWS and Claude and Gemini and GPT and Mistral kind of interchangeably. The biggest thing there has been, how do we build everything in such a way where we can hot swap the models whenever we want, and also build it in such a way that the models becom…”