The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 6 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 1 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Not checkable as stated
Hassabis: Frontier models will call specialized tools rather than subsume them
“One thing I can think see happening is Gemini, Claude, or one of these general systems making use of alpha fold, like specialized systems as tools. I don't think we're going to have it just in one giant brain because it will have too much regression in if I pu…”
Demis Hassabis Apr 29, 2026 ▶ 39:51 Demis Hassabis: Agents, AGI & The Next Big Scientific Breakthrough · Y Combinator
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Taggar: Model commoditization sets up AI app startups for fantastic year
“Gemini surge, especially over the last few months, just feels like it returns us to a world of where exactly that, like the models are all essentially commoditizing each other. And it's just like the application layer and the startups are going to set up to ha…”
Harj Taggar Dec 22, 2025 ▶ 8:52 The Truth About The AI Bubble · Y Combinator
Assertion Open · timeframe Apr 2027
Hassabis: Gemini sometimes identifies chess blunders and plays them anyway
“And so what we see is that, you know, sometimes it will consider a move. It will realize it's a blunder, but it can't find anything better, so it kind of goes back to that move and does it anyway.”
Demis Hassabis Apr 29, 2026 ▶ 14:31 Demis Hassabis: Agents, AGI & The Next Big Scientific Breakthrough · Y Combinator
Opinion
Koomen: Gemini is incredible, but Gmail's UI makes it frustrating to use
“Gemini is amazing. The model itself is absolutely incredible. We've been using it a lot at YC to automate our own work. I'm so impressed with what they built. But a lot of that power I think is hidden behind a UI that makes it really frustrating to use.”
Pete Koomen May 23, 2025 ▶ 2:02 How To Design Better AI Apps · Y Combinator
Opinion
Blomfield: Gemini Leads Codebase Planning, Claude 3.7 Leads Code Implementation
“For example, at the moment, Gemini seems best for whole code-based indexing and coming up with implementation plan, while Sonnet 3.7, to me at least, seems like the leading contender to actually implement the code changes.”
Tom Blomfield Apr 25, 2025 ▶ 15:55 How To Get The Most Out Of Vibe Coding | Startup School · Y Combinator
Disclosure
Legora hot-swaps Claude, Gemini, GPT, and Mistral models interchangeably on AWS
“So we use AWS and Claude and Gemini and GPT and Mistral kind of interchangeably. The biggest thing there has been, how do we build everything in such a way where we can hot swap the models whenever we want, and also build it in such a way that the models becom…”
Max Junestrand Aug 26, 2025 ▶ 24:10 How This 25-Year-Old Built A $675M Legal AI Startup (With No Legal Experience) · Y Combinator
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