The Ledger

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Prediction Held up
Banga: 1.2B emerging-market youth will reach adulthood facing only 400M jobs
“1.2 billion young people in the emerging markets are going to become 18 years of age in the coming Mutomati 15 years. Right? Yeah. Currently, the same markets, currently, this is pre-AI, and we can talk about AI's impacts on the developed world versus the de…”
Ajay Banga Apr 20, 2026 ▶ 38:32 The World Bank President On Why Jobs Fix Everything | Ajay Banga x Nikhil Kamath | People by WTF · Nikhil Kamath
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Adcock: Paying Passengers Will Fly on Electric Aircraft Within 5 Years
“So I think within the next, like, five years, we'll be taking passengers, like, paying passengers around in, in air spaces here in the world on electric aircraft like this.”
Brett Adcock Nov 5, 2025 ▶ 5:37 Humanoids Cost as Much as an SUV Now | Nikhil Kamath x Brett Adcock | WTF Online Ep 2 · Nikhil Kamath
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Khosrowshahi: Global EV market share will favor China for a while
“My expectation is overall share, especially in the EV sector on a global basis of EVs is going to be is going China's way for a while, but individual innovative OEMs, they're going to do fine.”
Dara Khosrowshahi Aug 24, 2025 ▶ 1:23:34 From Iran to Uber CEO | Nikhil Kamath x Dara Khosrowshahi | People by WTF | Ep. 14 · Nikhil Kamath
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Srinivas: Indian IT giants will hire fewer people going forward
“They're not going to hire as many people going forward.”
Aravind Srinivas Mar 23, 2025 ▶ 1:55:07 Nikhil Kamath ft. Perplexity CEO, Aravind Srinivas | WTF Online Ep 1. · Nikhil Kamath
Prediction Held up
Gates: AI productivity gains will not eliminate software engineers
“For software you know, we'll still need those software engineers. We'll, we may take some of the extra productivity for quality, some for quantity, but we're not gonna You know, start, ah, not, not needing software engineers.”
Bill Gates Jun 14, 2024 ▶ 17:49 Nikhil Kamath x Bill Gates | People by WTF | Ep. #1 · Nikhil Kamath
Prediction Held up
Hydrogen fuel cell vehicles cost three times more to run than EVs
“So whatever the cost of electricity tomorrow is in one rupee, it's going to cost the cost for hydrogen fuel cell vehicle will be three times more than a battery-operated electric vehicle.”
Chetan Maini Dec 10, 2023 ▶ 1:03:25 Ep# 14 | WTF is Happening with EV? Nikhil ft. Founders of Reva, Ather, Blusmart, and Ossus · Nikhil Kamath
Prediction Held up
Kamath: Social media platforms will start charging for data access
“We will probably evolve to the point that everybody starts charging for access to their data, right? Like Twitter will charge, Reddit will charge Quora will charge, social media will charge in its own way.”
Nikhil Kamath May 14, 2023 ▶ 53:45 Ep #4 | WTF is ChatGPT: Heaven or Hell? | w/ Nikhil, Varun Mayya, Tanmay, Umang & Aprameya · Nikhil Kamath
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Kamath: Premium beauty will grow significantly faster than mass segment
“Tomorrow we will care a lot more for how we look as a means of getting validation. So anything that aids that will likely grow, both in the mass and the premium segment, I think the affluent will probably adapt faster. So the premium will go significantly fast…”
Nikhil Kamath Sep 20, 2025 ▶ 3:35:20 Tira, Bombay Shaving Co., Inde Wild | WTF is Fueling India’s Beauty & Skincare Revolution? | Ep. 25 · Nikhil Kamath
Prediction Held up
Sharma: US net immigration likely to fall below 500,000 this year
“This year, I'm told that number is likely to drop to less than half a million.”
Ruchir Sharma Sep 3, 2025 ▶ 30:32 India vs. China vs. US: Who Wins the Next Decade? | WTF is Finance | Ep 1 ft. Ruchir Sharma · Nikhil Kamath
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Virwani: Indian REITs will see higher appreciation than US REITs
“India will see higher appreciation, I would say, than foreign REITs, or like, you know, the US REITs and things like that, so.”
Karan Virwani Oct 11, 2024 ▶ 1:26:47 Ep. #20 | WTF are Indian Real Estate Giants Up To? Nikhil ft. Irfan, Nirupa, & Karan · Nikhil Kamath
Prediction Held up
Shankar: India office leasing will probably hit 70M sq ft in 2024
“India is going to have its probably most successful year of office leasing. I think just in the first half of this year, some thirty four million square feet of office space has been transacted. And that's half the year. Second half of the year is usually more…”
Nirupa Shankar Oct 11, 2024 ▶ 2:59:15 Ep. #20 | WTF are Indian Real Estate Giants Up To? Nikhil ft. Irfan, Nirupa, & Karan · Nikhil Kamath
Prediction Held up
Gogri: Gen-IV Small Modular Reactors Should Come Online by 2030
“Ok, so the point is that my hope is around this generation four reactors, which, again, there is a hope element to that, but they should be getting online by the end of this decade, and they are more smaller than the big power plant.”
Mirik Gogri Feb 8, 2024 ▶ 2:02:10 Ep# 15 | WTF is Climate Change? Nikhil ft. Sunita, Bhumi, Navroz and Mirik · Nikhil Kamath
Prediction Held up
EV battery cell production in India will begin within 24 months
“I think in the next 24 months, cells will start being produced in India, right? And maybe in 48 months, we'll have a very small chunk.”
Chetan Maini Dec 10, 2023 ▶ 1:42:14 Ep# 14 | WTF is Happening with EV? Nikhil ft. Founders of Reva, Ather, Blusmart, and Ossus · Nikhil Kamath
Prediction Held up
Bhat: YouTube will natively integrate AI lip-synced audio dubbing
“It's going to get built in on YouTube, Nikhil. There's going to be a button where you can select a language and your mouth will move in that language. It's going to come into YouTube. It's going to take forever because YouTube is a slightly slower moving beast…”
Tanmay Bhat Nov 20, 2023 ▶ 2:04:16 Ep# 13 | WTF does it take to Build Influence Today? Nikhil w/ Nuseir, Tanmay, Prajakta & Ranveer · Nikhil Kamath
Prediction Held up
Mazumdar-Shaw: CRISPR gene-editing stocks will recover and yield strong returns
“No, but it will recover because now is the time. CRISPR is going to, you know, suddenly come away.”
Kiran Mazumdar-Shaw Jul 23, 2023 ▶ 1:46:53 Ep #7 | Who is Kiran Mazumdar Shaw Really? And WTF is Biotech? · Nikhil Kamath
Prediction Held up
Luxon: New Zealand might achieve net zero six years early
“And obviously we've got a big commitment to, you know, net 20, 50. And in fact our latest plan, which we have legislated into our parliament you know, even since we might even get there six years early.”
Christopher Luxon Apr 5, 2025 ▶ 24:53 Nikhil Kamath x NZ PM Christopher Luxon | People by WTF Ep #7 · Nikhil Kamath
Prediction Held up
Srinivas: GPU cloud provider CoreWeave will IPO soon
“Okay, so there's this company called Core Vive in, in the US. I think it's gonna IPO pretty soon.”
Aravind Srinivas Mar 23, 2025 ▶ 1:41:11 Nikhil Kamath ft. Perplexity CEO, Aravind Srinivas | WTF Online Ep 1. · Nikhil Kamath
Prediction Held up
Mazumdar-Shaw: $100B of biologic drugs will lose patent protection by 2033
“So I think there are about a hundred billion dollars of biologic drugs coming off patent in the next 10 years. And this is the opportunity we are addressing.”
Kiran Mazumdar-Shaw Jul 23, 2023 ▶ 1:44:21 Ep #7 | Who is Kiran Mazumdar Shaw Really? And WTF is Biotech? · Nikhil Kamath
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