The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 7 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Shepherd predicts impending tariffs will drive down digital advertising costs
“Basically we all know what's happening and we have history to say that people are going to pull out and advertising should get cheaper.”
Renoui: US tariffs will go away within three to six months
“I think they will go away within the next, you know, three to six months.”
Bimani: A Recession Has Already Started and Will Hit Hard Soon
“Right now, we're getting ready for the recession. I know it started. People are not fully aware of it, but it's going to hit hard in the next couple of months.”
Spiller: There will be a recession by the end of 2023
“And that's kind of the expectation going into this year is by the time we're going out of this year, there will be a recession.”
Stephen Keery expects the Biden administration to eliminate the step-up in basis.
“So actually passing on was actually a good way to get a new basis. That is very likely to change as well under this administration.”
Corkadillo: Most business operators will use virtual AI agents within 12 months
“I will predict it within 12 months here. Most operators and entrepreneurs will have virtual agents all around them doing menial tasks.”
Stephen Keery predicts the Biden administration will restrict 1031 real estate exchanges.
“One thing they are talking about changing, and I think this government will change it, Is a thing called a 10 31 exchange and a 10 31 exchange basically means that you can sell a property and you can defer the capital gain”