The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 9 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Assertion Contradicted
Reyes: Meta's 7B parameter Llama 2 model achieves GPT-4 level behavior
“Facebook open-sourced their model this JAMA that is a competitor to chat GPT, and with seven billion parameters, it reaches very similar behavior than GPT-IV.”
Ricardo Michel Reyes Aug 15, 2023 ▶ 31:47 550 Million People, One Language, Zero Access to Venture Capital
Assertion Supported
Weisbrot: WhatsApp Co-Founder Forfeited $400M Payout To Get Away From Zuckerberg
“The guy ended up telling Zuckerberg to F himself and he walked away from a four hundred million dollar, like partial payout. Just so he could walk away from the company and get away from it.”
Sean Weisbrot Jul 5, 2023 ▶ 15:21 Photographers Weren't Replaced by Photoshop. So Why Fear AI?
Assertion Contradicted
Rischitelli: Meta Collects Smart Glasses Data Regardless of User Consent Settings
“Whether you are sending it to Meta or not, Meta's getting that information.”
Zachary Rischitelli May 26, 2026 ▶ 16:29 Who Are We Marketing to When 90% of White Collar Jobs Are Gone?
Assertion Supported
Wade: Ads account for only 10% to 15% of WeChat's revenue
“Like it's only about 10 to 15% of their sort of revenue pie is advertisements. Whereas in the West, you're looking at 98 to 99%, especially in the cases of Facebook and whatnot.”
Robbie Wade Jul 12, 2022 ▶ 15:18 2 Billion People Use a Super App That Isn't One
Prediction Partly held up
Tobias: Meta will maintain a $300 Oculus alongside a $1,000–$1,200 device
“The Oculus will stay the 300 dollar consumer type thing and they'll have a thousand or 1200 dollar one.”
Martin Tobias Apr 6, 2022 ▶ 40:18 35% Calmer in 20 Minutes: Why VR Beat the Top Meditation App
Assertion Supported
Weisbrot: Oculus sold 2M to 3M units during holiday season
“The Oculus sold two to three million units during black Friday and Christmas time.”
Sean Weisbrot Apr 6, 2022 ▶ 11:11 35% Calmer in 20 Minutes: Why VR Beat the Top Meditation App
Assertion Contradicted
Grazer: Facebook had to buy patents before its IPO at bankers' insistence
“Facebook actually had to buy more patents before its IPO, because the investment bankers handling the IPO said, you don't have enough patents. This will make it hard for us to do the IPO because patent pending represents potential.”
Dr. Devorah Grazer Jan 28, 2021 ▶ 18:20 The Patent Pending Secret That Adds $1M to Your Startup Valuation
Assertion Supported
WhatsApp's architecture leaks unreleased features to developers during internal tests
“When I was at Meta on the WhatsApp side, we had that problem. The WhatsApp app for whatever reason is built in a way where you can, I don't know, maybe this is common. I don't know enough about mobile apps, but it's built in a way where you can break it down a…”
Clayton Critchard Sep 8, 2026 ▶ 18:09 Getting Laid Off Led Him to Buy the Company That Hired Him
Assertion Supported
Global degrees of separation have reduced from six to 3.5
“Last researchers from Meta or LinkedIn demonstrated that now what was called the six degrees of separation from any two human beings on planet Earth in reality as of today is being reduced to 3.5 degrees of separation.”
Davide Cannarozzi Apr 21, 2026 ▶ 26:14 30 Years Exposed Him to Every Networking Context - His Conclusion Surprised Me
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