why aren't all 12 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Walker: Tembo will have million-dollar-a-year enterprise customers
“No, we'll, we'll have million dollar a year customers. We have Fortune 50 prospect right now that, you know, they have nothing like this.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Tembo currently spends over 100% of its revenue on Claude API costs
“It's definitely more than a hundred percent of our revenue is going to Claude right now.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Walker: Astronomer Will Probably Double Revenue in Six to Eight Weeks
“So we had new customers, you know and we're about to, like I said, add about a bunch of new ones here in the first part of the year and probably double our revenue in the next six or eight weeks.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Walker expects Tembo's AI to write 50% of its own codebase
“I think we can get to 40, 50% of the code being written by Tembo. We're seeing that ourselves.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Astronomer Hits Massive 148% Net Revenue Retention Rate
“So our churn, our, we've got a net negative churn of 48% right now.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Tembo AI agent costs $5 to $10 per generated pull request
“The way I like to describe it is it costs usually about five, five to 10 dollars per pool request.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Walker: Tembo has 200 active orgs and roughly 30 paying customers
“We've had you know, 200 companies create pull requests with, well, I don't know if they're companies, 200 organizations.
create pull requests with this.
You know, we've had, you know maybe 30 customers paying us something.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Walker: Tembo reached 1,000+ merged pull requests and 2,000 signups
“We've had a thousand or more merge pool requests so far.
you know, we've had 2000 people sign up”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Astronomer Grew from Zero to $600K ARR Run Rate in 2016
“We ended the year at a 600 K ARR run rate. So we went from zero to 600.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Walker: Astronomer Has 20 Customers at $3K Monthly ARPU
“No, we're actually, we've got 20 customers.
So yeah, average revenue historically is around three K a month.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Walker: One-Third of Astronomer's Revenue Comes From Expansion
“So two, a third of our revenue is, is from expansion revenue of our current revenue.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Astronomer's Fully Loaded CAC Payback Period Is Nine Months
“No, I say we started around 12 months, then we got down to about six months, and then we doubled the team size. We went back up to 12, and now we're back down to nine again.”