The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 11 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 1 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Pompliano: Bitcoin will hit $100,000 by the end of 2021
“I think that from now where we're recording this in April of 2020, I think that by the end of 2021, we'll see Bitcoin hit a 100,000 dollar price point”
Pompliano: US Dollar Will Lose Global Reserve Status in His Lifetime
“And ultimately I think in my lifetime, the U S dollar is not going to be the global reserve currency.”
Pompliano: Over $5T in stimulus needed to escape pandemic crisis
“I think it's going to end up being five plus trillion dollars needed to get out of this.”
Pompliano: Fed printing trillions will eventually trigger an inflationary environment
“What I think we're seeing right now is the feds fighting a deflation and you just, they're not going to win right until they start printing trillions and trillions of dollars. And when they do that, we will eventually get back into an inflationary environment.”
Pompliano: COVID-19 mortality rates will be much lower in retrospect
“One of the things that I personally think we're not going to get this for probably three to five years, but we're going to look back three to five years from now. We're going to say the death rates that were originally thought are going to be nowhere near wher…”
Pompliano: Top asset managers reject public pension capital to avoid FOIA requests
“Unfortunately in most of the cases, the best asset management firms have not taken public pension money. Because they're scared of the freedom of information act request. And so therefore they don't have the people who need it the most, the police officers, th…”
Pompliano: 99% of early Italian COVID-19 deaths had pre-existing conditions
“99% at one point of all of the deaths in Italy had either some other health concern or a pre-existing condition.”
Pompliano: China's demographic trajectory mirrors the US 50 years ago
“Demographically China is basically doing what the U.S. Did, you know, 50 years ago, right? They've got a much younger population and kind of the way that they're growing.”
Pompliano predicts net loss of corporate jobs following pandemic layoffs
“My guess is it's going to be less than the number of people they left off. So actually what we're going to see is a net loss of job opportunities over the lifetime of this crisis.”
Pompliano: Gold will crack $2,000 but not exceed $2,500
“My opinion is that it'll probably go, it'll crack 2000, but it won't go past 2500, right? So it'll kind of end up in like a 2020, a hundred dollar gold price point.”
Pompliano: 2020 Pandemic Bailouts Will Widen US Wealth Inequality Gap
“And I think the same thing's going to happen here. Unfortunately, Is we're just going to continue to see a widening of that wealth inequality gap because the rich, right? And it's not even the top, it's like the top two percent understand how the game is playe…”