why aren't all 29 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Disclosure
Smith: Cladwell spiked marketing spend specifically to raise venture funding
“Definitely jacked up marketing. Cause we were about to raise a round of funding.”
Insight
Smith: Obsessing over early-stage metrics is just watching the scoreboard
“Cause I feel like at this stage, it's only watching the scoreboard during the game. The truth is, is that you're just trying your very hardest, no matter what the score is.”
Opinion
Smith: Startups cannot scientifically run price elasticity tests
“It's my opinion that elasticity tests, you really can't do it at our scale scientifically. And so really, I think that it's more of an art than a science.”
Insight
Adding more onboarding quiz questions surprisingly increased Cladwell's completion rate
“Actually, the more questions we added up to that point, the more people actually filled it out, which I thought was really interesting.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
60% to 70% of Cladwell mobile app downloaders are active users
“Of those who downloaded the app, 60 or 70% are using it, and so not all of them have switched over, if that makes sense, time are still using the website.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Cladwell projects reaching $1 million in revenue for 2016
“We're planning to hit a million this year.”
Disclosure
Cladwell issued capped convertible notes with 10% interest and zero discount
“10% interest rate, and no discount. They're capped notes.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Cladwell has reached 11,500 monthly paying subscribers
“So we have over 10,000 people. That's like 11,500 people paying us now monthly.”
Insight
Smith: A startup cannot effectively have two co-head leaders
“You can't really have two, two head leaders in a company.”
What-if
Smith: I would have bootstrapped Cladwell if I could do it over
“If I could do it over again, I would have started bootstrapping.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Cladwell reaches 17,000 customers
“Yeah I think we're at 17,000 right now.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Cladwell users onboard 40% of their closets in under two minutes
“We get on average, like we see, we can see 40% of a woman's closet onboarded in less than two minutes.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Cladwell Sees 80% Immediate Onboarding Completion Rate
“We see 80% completion immediately through the onboarding process”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Cladwell's customer acquisition cost sits between $15 and $20
“We're still experimenting a good bit, but we're seeing right around that same range. Like it's around like 15, 20 bucks, something like that.”
Disclosure
Cladwell raised an additional $1.2 million in venture funding
“We raised another 1.2 on top of that.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Cladwell operates at just under $900,000 in ARR
“We're right under 900,000 ARR right now.”
Disclosure
Cladwell targets a $10M valuation for its first priced round
“Yeah, as we've modeled it, it's probably, it's around ten million.”
Disclosure
Cladwell spends $30,000 per month on marketing
“We're spending 30 K a month right now in marketing.”
Disclosure
Cladwell sells an app to help consumers buy fewer clothes
“What we sell is we actually sell a tool that helps you, one, get dressed every single day from the items that you already have in your wardrobe, and two, is make sure that that wardrobe is comprised of the smallest number possible of high quality items. So we'…”
Disclosure
Cladwell experiences a 5% monthly user churn rate
“Monthly churn is five percent of our users are leaving monthly.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Cladwell's average customer acquisition cost is $17
“Yeah, so our CAC is on average about 17 bucks.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Cladwell launched for men, but women now make up 60% of users
“The reason for that is we actually launched as a men's business, and so we launched our women's business on a whim last fall, just to see what would happen, and women right now are 60% of our business, so that, it's grown really fast based on women, so we're k…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Cladwell generated over $100,000 in revenue in 2015
“In 2015, we made over a hundred grand.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
80% of Cladwell customers accessed the web app via mobile
“80% of our customers were actually using the web app on their mobile device.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Cladwell's average customer pays $5 per month
“Five bucks a month.”
Disclosure
Cladwell plans to raise pricing to $7.99 per month
“By the time this thing comes out, I think it'll be higher than that. I think it'll be seven 99. And then we'll also do an annual subscription for massive discount.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Over 200,000 users have completed Cladwell's onboarding quiz
“Over 200,000.”
Disclosure
Cladwell raised $1.8M over two and a half years
“We've raised 1.8 million over the course of two and a half years.”
Disclosure
Cladwell found early growth saturating men's fashion YouTube influencers
“We killed it on YouTube last summer, where we just, we found all the men's thought leaders on YouTube around fashion, and we just did rev shares with those guys, or paid them, and it was incredible, but we saturated the market”