why aren't all 8 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 1 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Not checkable as stated
SEC will not allow unregulated private company token trading in US
“Like, the SEC isn't going to allow that to happen, at least in America.”
Opinion
Token markets for undisclosed private companies create high fraud risk
“Like all of a sudden you're a stock market for private companies who don't disclose any data. And I think like the potential for fraud and the potential for hurting investors more than helping them in the longterm is pretty high there.”
Assertion Supported
SubClout coin grants platform access, not equity ownership
“When you buy the coin, you're not buying stock in the company, right? Those are two separate things. It's like a way to get rewards. So the reason to buy sub cloud coin is not because you get X percent of the company. It's because you get to use the platform, …”
Disclosure
SubClout charges creator coins instead of fiat currency for access
“No, we don't charge fiat for our tool. No, we charge creator coin for our tool.”
Insight
Selling creator coins to fund founder salaries depresses token value
“Selling coins decreases the price and kind of hurts the value of the coin itself. So the reason to raise outside funding is to give us a path where we can build this full time without like Hurting the value of the coin in the short term so we can like build fo…”
Prediction Open · timeframe Apr 2024
BitClout will likely eventually offer a native gated newsletter
“So, like, the possibility that BitClout will eventually offer a premium newsletter where you can do a long form post to your top X holders of the coin, the possibility that actually is pretty high, I think. Very high.”
Prediction Held up
BitClout will not offer fiat payment options alongside creator coins
“The possibility that they will also say you can access this if you pay 10 dollars a month or if you own the coin is very low. Because they want to bring people into the community. They don't want to give people that option of using fiat currency.”
Assertion Supported
SubClout creator coin market cap sits at $157,000
“Yeah, you have seven, about 70 coins in circulation today. The market cap is about a 157,000 dollars, more than your personal market cap.”