Dec 20, 2016 · 25m · top-founders

EP 514: $120M Raised, Helping 1m Consumers Get $100m+ In Credit Who Have No Other Choice with KreditTech CEO Alexander Graubner-Muller

Alexander Graubner-Müller · 14m spoken Nathan Latka · 8m spoken
0:00 / 0:00

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In this episode of The Top Entrepreneurs, host Nathan Latka interviews Kreditech CEO Alexander Graubner-Müller about how the fintech startup utilizes proprietary machine learning underwriting and $120 million in equity funding to build a high-growth balance-sheet lending business for underbanked consumers worldwide.

How this conversation actually went

Every chapter scored 0–10 on four independent dynamics. Hover any point for the reasoning behind the score. Nathan holds 35.6% of the talking time here. How this is scored →

Nathan as informed peer 4.6 Guest teaching 3.8 Guest disagreement 2.3 Nathan pushing back 4.0
05100:0010:0020:001:38–4:04 · Nathan as informed peer 4/10 Introducing Alexander Graubner-Müller of Kreditech Latka asks how much Kreditech's credit scores deviate from standard bank underwriting. Graubner-Müller educates him by reframing the premise, explaining that they do not just improve existing scores but create credit access for people completely excluded by traditional credit bureaus.4:04–6:50 · Nathan as informed peer 5/10 Consumer Focus, Loan Purposes, and Lending Risk Nathan inquires about loan targets and the balance sheet size. Alexander explains their short 10-month maturity cycle and how their $60M active book turns over rapidly.6:51–8:58 · Nathan as informed peer 5/10 Scaling Milestones, Industry Benchmarks, and Revenue Figures Nathan pushes the guest past vague growth terms by asking if they are doubling year over year, and translates total loan origination volume directly into top-line company revenue.8:58–11:22 · Nathan as informed peer 5/10 Risk-Based Pricing and the Interest Rate Spectrum When Alexander mentions high short-term interest rates, Nathan immediately stops him to clarify if he said 13% or 30% for a single month, prompting an explanation of risk-based APR tiers.11:23–14:12 · Nathan as informed peer 5/10 Managing Default Risk and Credit Upgrade Pathways Nathan presses Alexander on the internal default rate assumptions used in board meetings. Alexander deflects specific figures but shares low double-digit estimates and explains customer credit progression paths.14:12–16:27 · Nathan as informed peer 4/10 Financial Inclusion and Sustainable Business Economics Nathan cites funding research and Alexander clarifies their equity ($120M) versus debt lines ($30M), explaining their loan securitization structure with institutional investors.16:27–18:41 · Nathan as informed peer 6/10 Liquidity Strategy and Balance Sheet Management Nathan repeatedly grills Alexander on his preferred cash-on-hand ratio relative to loan origination volume. Alexander refuses to disclose internal liquidity metrics, leading Nathan to challenge whether the metric even matters to management.18:42–23:29 · Nathan as informed peer 3/10 Mid-Roll Promotions: TheTopInbox and HostGator During the rapid-fire round, Nathan pushes back when Alexander provides a retrospective philosophy rather than a new operational insight for his 20-year-old self.1:38–4:04 · Guest teaching 6/10 Introducing Alexander Graubner-Müller of Kreditech Latka asks how much Kreditech's credit scores deviate from standard bank underwriting. Graubner-Müller educates him by reframing the premise, explaining that they do not just improve existing scores but create credit access for people completely excluded by traditional credit bureaus.4:04–6:50 · Guest teaching 4/10 Consumer Focus, Loan Purposes, and Lending Risk Nathan inquires about loan targets and the balance sheet size. Alexander explains their short 10-month maturity cycle and how their $60M active book turns over rapidly.6:51–8:58 · Guest teaching 3/10 Scaling Milestones, Industry Benchmarks, and Revenue Figures Nathan pushes the guest past vague growth terms by asking if they are doubling year over year, and translates total loan origination volume directly into top-line company revenue.8:58–11:22 · Guest teaching 5/10 Risk-Based Pricing and the Interest Rate Spectrum When Alexander mentions high short-term interest rates, Nathan immediately stops him to clarify if he said 13% or 30% for a single month, prompting an explanation of risk-based APR tiers.11:23–14:12 · Guest teaching 4/10 Managing Default Risk and Credit Upgrade Pathways Nathan presses Alexander on the internal default rate assumptions used in board meetings. Alexander deflects specific figures but shares low double-digit estimates and explains customer credit progression paths.14:12–16:27 · Guest teaching 4/10 Financial Inclusion and Sustainable Business Economics Nathan cites funding research and Alexander clarifies their equity ($120M) versus debt lines ($30M), explaining their loan securitization structure with institutional investors.16:27–18:41 · Guest teaching 3/10 Liquidity Strategy and Balance Sheet Management Nathan repeatedly grills Alexander on his preferred cash-on-hand ratio relative to loan origination volume. Alexander refuses to disclose internal liquidity metrics, leading Nathan to challenge whether the metric even matters to management.18:42–23:29 · Guest teaching 1/10 Mid-Roll Promotions: TheTopInbox and HostGator During the rapid-fire round, Nathan pushes back when Alexander provides a retrospective philosophy rather than a new operational insight for his 20-year-old self.1:38–4:04 · Guest disagreement 2/10 Introducing Alexander Graubner-Müller of Kreditech Latka asks how much Kreditech's credit scores deviate from standard bank underwriting. Graubner-Müller educates him by reframing the premise, explaining that they do not just improve existing scores but create credit access for people completely excluded by traditional credit bureaus.4:04–6:50 · Guest disagreement 1/10 Consumer Focus, Loan Purposes, and Lending Risk Nathan inquires about loan targets and the balance sheet size. Alexander explains their short 10-month maturity cycle and how their $60M active book turns over rapidly.6:51–8:58 · Guest disagreement 1/10 Scaling Milestones, Industry Benchmarks, and Revenue Figures Nathan pushes the guest past vague growth terms by asking if they are doubling year over year, and translates total loan origination volume directly into top-line company revenue.8:58–11:22 · Guest disagreement 2/10 Risk-Based Pricing and the Interest Rate Spectrum When Alexander mentions high short-term interest rates, Nathan immediately stops him to clarify if he said 13% or 30% for a single month, prompting an explanation of risk-based APR tiers.11:23–14:12 · Guest disagreement 3/10 Managing Default Risk and Credit Upgrade Pathways Nathan presses Alexander on the internal default rate assumptions used in board meetings. Alexander deflects specific figures but shares low double-digit estimates and explains customer credit progression paths.14:12–16:27 · Guest disagreement 2/10 Financial Inclusion and Sustainable Business Economics Nathan cites funding research and Alexander clarifies their equity ($120M) versus debt lines ($30M), explaining their loan securitization structure with institutional investors.16:27–18:41 · Guest disagreement 6/10 Liquidity Strategy and Balance Sheet Management Nathan repeatedly grills Alexander on his preferred cash-on-hand ratio relative to loan origination volume. Alexander refuses to disclose internal liquidity metrics, leading Nathan to challenge whether the metric even matters to management.18:42–23:29 · Guest disagreement 1/10 Mid-Roll Promotions: TheTopInbox and HostGator During the rapid-fire round, Nathan pushes back when Alexander provides a retrospective philosophy rather than a new operational insight for his 20-year-old self.1:38–4:04 · Nathan pushing back 2/10 Introducing Alexander Graubner-Müller of Kreditech Latka asks how much Kreditech's credit scores deviate from standard bank underwriting. Graubner-Müller educates him by reframing the premise, explaining that they do not just improve existing scores but create credit access for people completely excluded by traditional credit bureaus.4:04–6:50 · Nathan pushing back 3/10 Consumer Focus, Loan Purposes, and Lending Risk Nathan inquires about loan targets and the balance sheet size. Alexander explains their short 10-month maturity cycle and how their $60M active book turns over rapidly.6:51–8:58 · Nathan pushing back 4/10 Scaling Milestones, Industry Benchmarks, and Revenue Figures Nathan pushes the guest past vague growth terms by asking if they are doubling year over year, and translates total loan origination volume directly into top-line company revenue.8:58–11:22 · Nathan pushing back 5/10 Risk-Based Pricing and the Interest Rate Spectrum When Alexander mentions high short-term interest rates, Nathan immediately stops him to clarify if he said 13% or 30% for a single month, prompting an explanation of risk-based APR tiers.11:23–14:12 · Nathan pushing back 5/10 Managing Default Risk and Credit Upgrade Pathways Nathan presses Alexander on the internal default rate assumptions used in board meetings. Alexander deflects specific figures but shares low double-digit estimates and explains customer credit progression paths.14:12–16:27 · Nathan pushing back 2/10 Financial Inclusion and Sustainable Business Economics Nathan cites funding research and Alexander clarifies their equity ($120M) versus debt lines ($30M), explaining their loan securitization structure with institutional investors.16:27–18:41 · Nathan pushing back 7/10 Liquidity Strategy and Balance Sheet Management Nathan repeatedly grills Alexander on his preferred cash-on-hand ratio relative to loan origination volume. Alexander refuses to disclose internal liquidity metrics, leading Nathan to challenge whether the metric even matters to management.18:42–23:29 · Nathan pushing back 4/10 Mid-Roll Promotions: TheTopInbox and HostGator During the rapid-fire round, Nathan pushes back when Alexander provides a retrospective philosophy rather than a new operational insight for his 20-year-old self.

speaking balance: gold is Nathan, purple is the guest (3 minute bins)

0:00 · Nathan 78.7% · guest 21.3%0:00 · Nathan 78.7% · guest 21.3%3:00 · Nathan 13.8% · guest 86.2%3:00 · Nathan 13.8% · guest 86.2%6:00 · Nathan 31% · guest 69%6:00 · Nathan 31% · guest 69%9:00 · Nathan 9.5% · guest 90.5%9:00 · Nathan 9.5% · guest 90.5%12:00 · Nathan 13.8% · guest 86.2%12:00 · Nathan 13.8% · guest 86.2%15:00 · Nathan 15.2% · guest 84.8%15:00 · Nathan 15.2% · guest 84.8%18:00 · Nathan 73.4% · guest 26.6%18:00 · Nathan 73.4% · guest 26.6%21:00 · Nathan 28.3% · guest 71.7%21:00 · Nathan 28.3% · guest 71.7%24:00 · Nathan 100% · guest 0%24:00 · Nathan 100% · guest 0%
Sharpest disagreement ▶ 16:45 Refusing to disclose internal liquidity targets

Alexander explicitly draws a boundary, stating that cash-to-loan ratios are numbers they do not share despite Nathan's direct probing.

Hardest push from Nathan ▶ 16:35 Demanding cash reserve standards

Nathan refuses to accept Alexander's non-regulated status deflection, insisting on knowing what cash buffer management actually aims to hold.

Biggest teaching moment ▶ 3:05 Correcting the credit scoring premise

Alexander corrects Nathan's question about score deviation, explaining that their entire business model is creating credit for people completely ignored by credit bureaus rather than marginally outscoring banks.

Nathan holds their own ▶ 10:55 Interrogating the 30% monthly rate

Nathan catches the staggering pricing figure, interrupting Alexander to confirm whether he said thirteen percent or thirty percent for a single month.

the scores for every segment, with the reasoning behind each
ChapterTopicNathan as informed peerGuest teachingGuest disagreementNathan pushing backWhy
Introducing Alexander Graubner-Müller of Kreditech 4622 Latka asks how much Kreditech's credit scores deviate from standard bank underwriting. Graubner-Müller educates him by reframing the premise, explaining that they do not just improve existing scores but create credit access for people completely excluded by traditional credit bureaus.
Consumer Focus, Loan Purposes, and Lending Risk 5413 Nathan inquires about loan targets and the balance sheet size. Alexander explains their short 10-month maturity cycle and how their $60M active book turns over rapidly.
Scaling Milestones, Industry Benchmarks, and Revenue Figures 5314 Nathan pushes the guest past vague growth terms by asking if they are doubling year over year, and translates total loan origination volume directly into top-line company revenue.
Risk-Based Pricing and the Interest Rate Spectrum 5525 When Alexander mentions high short-term interest rates, Nathan immediately stops him to clarify if he said 13% or 30% for a single month, prompting an explanation of risk-based APR tiers.
Managing Default Risk and Credit Upgrade Pathways 5435 Nathan presses Alexander on the internal default rate assumptions used in board meetings. Alexander deflects specific figures but shares low double-digit estimates and explains customer credit progression paths.
Financial Inclusion and Sustainable Business Economics 4422 Nathan cites funding research and Alexander clarifies their equity ($120M) versus debt lines ($30M), explaining their loan securitization structure with institutional investors.
Liquidity Strategy and Balance Sheet Management 6367 Nathan repeatedly grills Alexander on his preferred cash-on-hand ratio relative to loan origination volume. Alexander refuses to disclose internal liquidity metrics, leading Nathan to challenge whether the metric even matters to management.
Mid-Roll Promotions: TheTopInbox and HostGator 3114 During the rapid-fire round, Nathan pushes back when Alexander provides a retrospective philosophy rather than a new operational insight for his 20-year-old self.

Statements from this episode (17)

Disclosure
Kreditech Uses Alternative Data and Machine Learning for Underwriting
“We have developed our own technology for doing the credit rating. And that technology very heavily uses alternative data and machine learning to build a credit rating also in the absence of credit bureau data.”
Alexander Graubner-Müller Dec 20, 2016 ▶ 2:29
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Kreditech Scores Underbanked Borrowers Excluded by Traditional Banks
“With our technology, we are for the first time ever actually able to provide a credit rating For those customers and actually enabling to do credit business with them.”
Alexander Graubner-Müller Dec 20, 2016 ▶ 3:52
Disclosure
Kreditech's Core Product Is Unrestricted, Unsecured Consumer Loans
“The average credit product that we offer is, is an unsecured loan, so we are not really interested, I mean, for which purpose, I mean, it is used.”
Alexander Graubner-Müller Dec 20, 2016 ▶ 4:41
Disclosure
Kreditech Takes Direct Credit Risk and Monetizes via Interest
“No, we're actually a lending company, so it means we like to I mean, take credit risk ourselves, and I mean, the way how we make make money is, I mean, the same way how every bank does money by charging an interest on the loans that we are that we are originat…”
Alexander Graubner-Müller Dec 20, 2016 ▶ 5:27
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Kreditech Originated Over 1 Million Loans With $60M Outstanding Book
“Since the start of the company in 2012, we have originated a bit more than a million loans by now, and we have a total outstanding book of around sixty million at this point.”
Alexander Graubner-Müller Dec 20, 2016 ▶ 5:53
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Kreditech Consumer Loans Average Around 10 Months in Duration
“Most of our loans are, comparably short in maturity, so the average duration is around 10 months.”
Alexander Graubner-Müller Dec 20, 2016 ▶ 6:19
Assertion Supported
Kreditech Originated Over $100 Million in Loans in 2015
“Last year when we, for the first time, actually broke the hundred million origination for the entire year, 2015, I mean, that was clearly, I mean, a very, very important milestone for us.”
Alexander Graubner-Müller Dec 20, 2016 ▶ 7:11
Assertion Supported
Kreditech Generated Over $40 Million in Revenue in 2015
“We made last year around 40, a bit more than forty million in revenue.”
Alexander Graubner-Müller Dec 20, 2016 ▶ 8:54
Disclosure
Kreditech's Highest-Risk One-Month Loans Carry 30% Interest
“So, so on, on the upper end of the spectrum sort of like the loans that we underwrite are maximum like one month loans and those cost around 30% cost of credit.”
Alexander Graubner-Müller Dec 20, 2016 ▶ 10:43
Disclosure
Kreditech Offers Installment Loans With Rates as Low as 12%
“And then we go all the way down to our basically personal personal installment loan segment where we go as low as 12% per year.”
Alexander Graubner-Müller Dec 20, 2016 ▶ 11:08
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Half of Unvetted Loan Applicants Would Default, Graubner-Müller Claims
“If you would give a hundred percent of people who apply for a loan a loan, I mean, about half of those people would not repay.”
Alexander Graubner-Müller Dec 20, 2016 ▶ 12:02
Disclosure
Kreditech Assumes Low Double-Digit Default Rates on Loan Originations
“That's information that we usually don't share, but I mean, it's in the, I see it's in the low low double digits.”
Alexander Graubner-Müller Dec 20, 2016 ▶ 12:41
Insight
CEO Argues the Highest Cost of Credit Is Having No Access
“We think actually the highest cost of credit is actually not having any access to credit because Even, I mean, even, I mean, for some people, even if initially there's only, I mean, that type of credit option available, I mean, it's still, I mean, a significan…”
Alexander Graubner-Müller Dec 20, 2016 ▶ 14:18
Disclosure
Kreditech Has Raised $120 Million in Equity Capital
“We have raised around a hundred twenty million in equity capital to date.”
Alexander Graubner-Müller Dec 20, 2016 ▶ 15:17
Disclosure
Peter Thiel and the World Bank Invested in Kreditech
“We have and IFC and the World Bank invested. We have Jesse Flowers invested. We have Peter Thiel invested.”
Alexander Graubner-Müller Dec 20, 2016 ▶ 15:33
Disclosure
Kreditech Holds $30 Million in Debt Capital
“So we have about thirty million in debt capital.”
Alexander Graubner-Müller Dec 20, 2016 ▶ 16:06
Assertion Supported
Kreditech Is Not Subject to Specific Bank Capital Requirements
“So we're not a bank. We're not subject to any specific capital requirements.”
Alexander Graubner-Müller Dec 20, 2016 ▶ 16:36
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