The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

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why aren't all 17 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Didn’t hold up
Dufu: The Cru will reach 200,000 members and $100M revenue in 5 years
“So five years from now, we're at 200,000 members. So that gets us to, you know, a hundred million”
Tiffany Dufu Mar 3, 2025 ▶ 10:01 #78 Got Goals? Grab a Cru
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Kowalski: Atomos projects $1.3B exit valuation by 2025
“So based on what we project with a couple of contracts a year, we would exit about 1.3 billion dollars in 2025.”
William Kowalski Mar 3, 2025 ▶ 14:44 #48 Will This Space Startup Make It off the Ground?
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Clark: Atomos vehicle will reach $500M annual revenue in mid-2020s
“So our full commercial vehicle will be operational in the early to mid-twententies with five hundred million annual revenue.”
Vanessa Clark Mar 3, 2025 ▶ 14:58 #48 Will This Space Startup Make It off the Ground?
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Howie Diamond: Ride iQ will take our money in 18 months
“They'll take our money in a year and a half from now. ... They will. Trust me.”
Howie Diamond Mar 4, 2025 ▶ 16:37 #121 Ride iQ: Peloton for Horses
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Laguerre: Autonomous trucking will initially operate via five-truck platooning systems
“In order for autonomous to really take a full effect, our entire infrastructure, we have to change number one, but however, I do see autonomous working early on for long distance load and how that worked is they're doing that through a platooning system. Where…”
Pierre Laguerre Mar 3, 2025 ▶ 8:52 #89 A Big Bet on an Ex-Trucker
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Soininen expects to raise at a valuation above $4M in the fall
“I think you know, we, I believe we can raise money at a bigger valuation than four at this point. We just, you know, need to clarify that focus a little bit and that's what we're doing. So I think, you know, once we show that we'll be able to raise at a bigger…”
Topias Soininen Mar 3, 2025 ▶ 23:19 #44 Is This Sports App the Next OpenTable?
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Sonnad: Long-distance electric transit can only use Teslas for four years
“The first is that for the next four years, this can only be done on Teslas. They have the only platform with big batteries and supercharging and nice cars that allows this model to happen.”
Hayden Sonnad Mar 3, 2025 ▶ 9:18 #11 Tesloop
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Howie Diamond predicts Ride IQ will take his money in 18 months
“They'll take our money in a year and a half from now.”
Howie Diamond Oct 18, 2023 ▶ 16:35 1. "This Startup Pitch for Equestrian Tech Just Changed the Game for Horse Training Technology!"
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Samaritan aims to expand its platform to 99 additional cities by 2023
“Our ultimate vision is to help people without a home in 99 more cities by twenty-twenty-three.”
Jonathan Kumar Mar 3, 2025 ▶ 11:52 #63 Can A Startup Solve Homelessness?
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Kassam predicts Monti Kids will halve its price within five years
“I think we can bring it down to almost half of what it costs in the next five years.”
Zahra Kassam Mar 3, 2025 ▶ 7:03 #56 Shark Tank vs. The Pitch
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Nadel: TribeXR faces at least a six-month headset delay
“I think he's got like at least a six month delay before the headset comes out.”
Phil Nadel Mar 3, 2025 ▶ 22:23 #55 A New Spin on VR
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Hughes: Bandwagon will sign three more stadiums in 2018
“We'll sign three more teams three more stadiums. Two of them will be NFL, or excuse me, two of them will be professional and then one of them will be a collegiate team.”
Harold Hughes Mar 3, 2025 ▶ 16:18 #50 Ticket Scalpers, Beware! Blockchain Is Coming for You.
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Diamond: Hughes will easily raise his $1.5M round for Bandwagon
“I think he'll raise this round, no problem. He's great. He'll get to 1.5, and then we'll see where it goes.”
Howie Diamond Mar 3, 2025 ▶ 21:59 #50 Ticket Scalpers, Beware! Blockchain Is Coming for You.
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Doppel on track to launch first US telerobotic ultrasound system
“Yes, so right now, all of the big ultrasound manufacturers have been trying to tap into the rural market, but they can't because the specialists aren't there, and so we're on track to be first to market with a telerobotic ultrasound system in the U.S., and tha…”
Ryan James Oct 30, 2024 ▶ 5:49 Will VCs Bet $4M on This Robot Healthcare Startup?
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Doppel projects FDA Class II 510(k) clearance by mid-2025
“In Europe and Canada, but not in the U.S. They haven't tried to sell their device in the U.S. Yet, and so that leaves this, not only this enormous market opportunity in the U.S. For us, but it also just like rolls out the red carpet in terms of getting FDA cle…”
Ryan James Oct 30, 2024 ▶ 7:43 Will VCs Bet $4M on This Robot Healthcare Startup?
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Calvin: Vital Audio may complete FDA 510(k) in 6-8 months
“So that we're anticipating maybe a period of six to eight months to actually complete that.”
Nehomitza Calvin Sep 11, 2024 ▶ 6:59 Will VCs Invest in Vital Audio's Voice-Based Health Monitoring Tech?
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Nicole Toole: ECGO targets 20 institutions by end of 2024
“Yeah, so that lasts us 12 months and so our goal is to launch more universities and corporate offices in the southeast, so that is, like, our focus, and our goal is 20 institutions by the end of next year.”
Nicole Toole Nov 9, 2023 ▶ 12:03 Monetizing Waste? AI Waste Sorting Technology Is Defining The Future of Recycling with AI!
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