why aren't all 6 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Conwell: Podcast AI will be replicable as a weekend project by 2025
“Yeah, I hate to be the killjoy of the year, but literally a year from now, somebody wanted to recreate podcast AI, they'll probably be able to do it as a weekend project.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Conwell: Gecko Materials could be a multi-billion-dollar government business
“I mean, this is, this could be a billion, this would be a multi-billion dollar company just working with the government.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Conwell: AI podcast tools face a race to the bottom without marketing
“This is going to be a race to the bottom. The way you win is you become the market leader and become the market leader now. You better raise a ton of money, put that stuff in the marketing, and be the only name that people think about, because there are other …”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Conwell: Consumer backlash against AI-generated models is 10 to 15 years away
“I think we got like, 10 or 15 years before people start the backlash.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Conwell: AI feedback intelligence is an overlooked problem poised for growth
“I can believe this is a problem that not many people are paying as much attention to just yet, but people will.”
Assertion Supported
Conwell: Maryland called back Osmosis investment with interest before acquisition
“The state of Maryland does the deal. The company starts growing, moves to Colorado. When they moved to Colorado, the state of Maryland asked for their money back. With just the interest. So no real upside. And four years after that, so I guess two years ago, t…”