The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 13 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Opinion
Michael Hyatt calls Tot Squad's $15M bridge round a mispriced deal
“It's a mispriced deal.”
Michael Hyatt Mar 3, 2025 ▶ 18:24 #71 Raising Kids Is Hard. So Is Raising a Startup.
Assertion Supported
Saxton: Amazon controls only about 20% of the market
“Amazon only controls about 20% of the market right now.”
Jen Saxton Mar 3, 2025 ▶ 17:07 #71 Raising Kids Is Hard. So Is Raising a Startup.
Assertion Supported
Saxton: Tot Squad signed a contract with Walmart
“So I literally two days ago signed the Walmart contract, which is so exciting.”
Jen Saxton Mar 3, 2025 ▶ 4:36 #71 Raising Kids Is Hard. So Is Raising a Startup.
Disclosure
Tot Squad is raising a bridge note with a $15M valuation cap
“So the bridge note has a fifteen million cap.”
Jen Saxton Mar 3, 2025 ▶ 11:10 #71 Raising Kids Is Hard. So Is Raising a Startup.
What-if
Jillian Manus would have invested in Tot Squad at lower valuation
“If she had come in, I think we probably would, well, I would have been in, I would have been in, but I think she did not understand, and I'm trying to understand who advised her.”
Jillian Manus Mar 3, 2025 ▶ 18:27 #71 Raising Kids Is Hard. So Is Raising a Startup.
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Saxton: Tot Squad did $500k in sales last year and doubled YTD
“We did about half a million in sales last year, and we've already doubled that year to date versus last year.”
Jen Saxton Mar 3, 2025 ▶ 2:33 #71 Raising Kids Is Hard. So Is Raising a Startup.
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Saxton: Tot Squad raised $200,000 from two investor emails
“200,000 from two emails to my existing investors.”
Jen Saxton Mar 3, 2025 ▶ 14:38 #71 Raising Kids Is Hard. So Is Raising a Startup.
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Jen Saxton claims Tot Squad has serviced over 50,000 customers
“So we've serviced over 50,000 customers already.”
Jen Saxton Mar 3, 2025 ▶ 12:31 #71 Raising Kids Is Hard. So Is Raising a Startup.
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Saxton expects a term sheet within two weeks from four VCs
“I've had four VC funds now ask us to move into diligence with them, so I expect I'll have a term sheet in the next couple of weeks.”
Jen Saxton Mar 3, 2025 ▶ 22:36 #71 Raising Kids Is Hard. So Is Raising a Startup.
Assertion Supported
Saxton: Up to 95% of child car seats are used incorrectly
“As many as 43% of children who die in car accidents were improperly restrained, and as many as 95% of child's car seats are used incorrectly.”
Jen Saxton Mar 3, 2025 ▶ 1:52 #71 Raising Kids Is Hard. So Is Raising a Startup.
Disclosure
Saxton: Tot Squad retains roughly 50% on $80 Amazon installations
“Amazon gets 20% of that, so we pay them 16 dollars. We pay the car seat installer 25 dollars so that's 41 dollars out of the 80 are paid out, and then we keep roughly 50% just to do the customer service, et cetera.”
Jen Saxton Mar 3, 2025 ▶ 4:21 #71 Raising Kids Is Hard. So Is Raising a Startup.
Assertion Contradicted
Jen Saxton: Tot Squad operates in Buy Buy Baby across 10 cities
“So we actually have kind of geek squad style service centers that are now open in 10 cities inside Bye Bye Baby stores.”
Jen Saxton Mar 3, 2025 ▶ 7:37 #71 Raising Kids Is Hard. So Is Raising a Startup.
Disclosure
Tot Squad previously raised $2.5M at an $8.5M valuation
“So the valuation on the two and a half million that I previously raised was about eight and a half million.”
Jen Saxton Mar 3, 2025 ▶ 10:56 #71 Raising Kids Is Hard. So Is Raising a Startup.
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