why aren't all 9 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 1 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Chapman predicts youth athletes will rebel against wearing FitGuard mouthguards
“And I don't think you're going to be able to get piecemeal adoption, because I think the kids are going to rebel against it.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Gonzalez: FitGuard has secured letters of intent for 5,000 units
“I've already sold 5000 of them. How they haven't paid for them. These are all letters of intent contingent on successful validation through our beta test program.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Diamond: FitGuard lacks a working prototype after three and a half years
“It's been three and a half years, and you don't, you still don't have a working prototype.”
Assertion Open · timeframe Mar 2030
Gonzalez: FitGuard's mouth placement provides highly correlated cranial impact data
“Being inside of the skull means we're physically closer. We have a better retention and coupling to the skull. So our data is just highly correlated to what the brain actually felt.”
Insight
Chapman: Great businesses require more than one-off hardware sales
“I don't think you can build a really great business on just these hardware sales. And I think that's really what you need to make this business big long term.”
Disclosure
Gonzalez admits the FitGuard pitch prototype is non-functional
“This is our prototype model. It doesn't work right now.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Gonzalez: Arizona State University paid $7,000 for 20 research units
“They pay like 7000 dollars for about 20 units, because they're research grade.”
Disclosure
Gonzalez took a full-time job at Biocom while running FitGuard
“Currently I had to go back and get another job after three and a half years of running the startup. I work for the Parent Association of Life Sciences, the state of California, called Biocom.”
Disclosure
Gonzalez: FitGuard will price at $129 initially, dropping below $100 at scale
“Initially, they're 129 dollars to cop to capture those early adopters. As we start to scale up, those definitely gonna come below a hundred dollars.”