SpaceX

includes SpaceX Dragon, SpaceX Raptor, SpaceX Starship, SpaceX Crew 10, SpaceX Merlin

102 statements across 57 episodes · 58 bullish · 10 bearish · 19 people on the record · first statement Nov 3, 2024 by John Coogan · said 791 times in 171 episodes since 2024 · across every show →

Mentions by year, the whole family

brought up most by John Coogan (276), Jordi Hays (99), Delian Asparouhov (29), Gavin Baker (16), Erik Palitsch (15), Shaun Maguire (14), Christian Garrett (5), Everett Randle (4)

tap a year for its mentions
0025050500100202420252026episodesmentions
050100202420252026episodes it came up in
003506100202420252026episodesmentions per episode
2026 454 mentions in 88 episodes 5 per episode
2025 265 mentions in 63 episodes 4 per episode
2024 72 mentions in 20 episodes 4 per episode

every mention, scene by scene, with the transcript →

Everything said about SpaceX, oldest first

Nov 3, 2024 neutral
Insight
Coogan: Category-winning startups often do not look like they fit the category
“And so it's like, there's all this, almost like this misclassification of like, the thing that solves the problem might not even look like it's in that category.”
John Coogan Nov 3, 2024 ▶ 17:55 The Secret Billionaire Party (ep6)
Nov 19, 2024 positive
Opinion
Coogan: Gwynne Shotwell Is the Crucial Operational Counterweight to Elon Musk
“She's been super critical, took a whole ton of career risks going in super early, and has just You know, just driven that company and just executed, executed, executed, and just fantastic public speaker, fantastic counterweight to Elon's, you know, experimenta…”
John Coogan Nov 19, 2024 ▶ 2:54:13 Who's Getting Rich Off Ozempic? (e12)
Dec 12, 2024 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Falling launch costs will enable startups pursuing ideas off SpaceX's roadmap
“Launch is getting so cheap. Varda is one of the first movers, but there will be other companies that are doing things that are completely off of SpaceX's roadmap, but leverage the launch capabilities.”
John Coogan Dec 12, 2024 ▶ 1:30:04 Billionaires XMAS list (ep21)
Dec 17, 2024 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Coogan: Starlink's manufacturing innovations will become universally adopted standard
“There's probably something in here that's a new way of thinking about how to mass manufacture that Will eventually be canonized and used everywhere and copy-pasted and that, that will be like the future of manufacturing and it will all be new.”
John Coogan Dec 17, 2024 ▶ 1:20:05 CHRISTIANITY: Why it's making a comeback (ep23)
Dec 31, 2024 bullish
Assertion Supported
Hayes: SpaceX is getting priced at $350B valuation
“Last, it was, I guess, getting priced at three hundred and fifty billion most recently.”
Jordi Hays Dec 31, 2024 ▶ 27:17 Year of Tech in Review (ep25)
Jan 8, 2025 bullish
Insight
Coogan: Every founder and CEO should buy a Starlink for travel
“I do think that every founder, CEO should buy a Starlink and have it, because you cannot afford to not have good internet whenever you're traveling. Like, you're gonna be in some weird place, the internet's not gonna be good, you're gonna miss calls, and the c…”
John Coogan Jan 8, 2025 ▶ 11:34 How to WIN in 2025? (INSANE Predictions List)
Jan 18, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Coogan: SpaceX Starship design will enable dozens of flights per day
“And you can imagine, you can see that at least structurally the design will enable like dozens of flights per day, like pretty easily.”
John Coogan Jan 18, 2025 ▶ 2:09:50 The END of TikTok?
Mar 7, 2025 bullish
Opinion
Maguire: SpaceX is incentivized to foster independent LEO startups
“Look, I think SpaceX is deeply incentivized to have a giant ecosystem of lots of great independent companies in space, and I think especially in LEO.”
Shaun Maguire Mar 7, 2025 ▶ 25:13 "Don't listen to anyone" - Shaun Maguire talks Elon, Robots, Space, and the Mars Mission.
Mar 7, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Maguire: Mars colonization spinoffs will be history's most profitable endeavor
“I am now at the point where I actually, I really believe that Mars is going to Be like one of the biggest profit generating endeavors in history, and not necessarily, not like from the direct Like building a city on Mars, but from all the indirect things”
Shaun Maguire Mar 7, 2025 ▶ 26:00 "Don't listen to anyone" - Shaun Maguire talks Elon, Robots, Space, and the Mars Mission.
Mar 7, 2025 positive
Disclosure
Maguire: Sequoia backs SpaceX, Boring Company, X, and xAI, not Tesla
“We're not investors in Tesla, just given the timing and that it was public where, you know, major investors in space X invested in boring company, investors in X, investors in XDI.”
Shaun Maguire Mar 7, 2025 ▶ 7:12 "Don't listen to anyone" - Shaun Maguire talks Elon, Robots, Space, and the Mars Mission.
Mar 7, 2025 positive
Opinion
Maguire: Elon Musk takes antitrust compliance more seriously than anyone else
“Elon has probably the biggest target on his back from a like regulatory perspective of anyone. And there's no one I'm aware of who takes like antitrust and all that more seriously than him.”
Shaun Maguire Mar 7, 2025 ▶ 24:20 "Don't listen to anyone" - Shaun Maguire talks Elon, Robots, Space, and the Mars Mission.
Mar 7, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Maguire: SpaceX will drive dramatic launch cost drops within five years
“The launch costs plus a bit like mass to orbit over the next five years or so is gonna increase. The costs are gonna drop dramatically and mass orbit's gonna increase dramatically. Basically guaranteed SpaceX is driving this.”
Shaun Maguire Mar 7, 2025 ▶ 16:24 "Don't listen to anyone" - Shaun Maguire talks Elon, Robots, Space, and the Mars Mission.
Mar 14, 2025 positive
Opinion
Asparouhov: Rocket Lab is #2 in launch and Firefly is #3
“Like number two is obviously very much a rocket lab. Number three at this point is Firefly, right? And Firefly is actually getting to space on some regular basis. They just landed on the moon.”
Delian Asparouhov Mar 14, 2025 ▶ 25:32 Delian Asparouhov on Near Death Experiences, Deflecting Asteroids, and the Magic of Venture.
Mar 14, 2025 bullish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Asparouhov: SpaceX holds 99% market share with ~50% gross margins
“SpaceX effectively represents 99% of the market and has like insane profit margins on their launch business. It's something on the order of like, you know, sort of 50%, you know, sort of gross margin is like the rough report numbers that I've seen publicly.”
Delian Asparouhov Mar 14, 2025 ▶ 23:14 Delian Asparouhov on Near Death Experiences, Deflecting Asteroids, and the Magic of Venture.
Mar 14, 2025 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Asparouhov: China relies on mass manufacturing over reusable rocket technology
“On the Chinese side, they don't have anything that is anywhere close to landing, but they're clearly just willing to throw manufacturing and bodies at the problem where I think it's something like SpaceX has launched 27 times so far this year. China has basica…”
Delian Asparouhov Mar 14, 2025 ▶ 26:50 Delian Asparouhov on Near Death Experiences, Deflecting Asteroids, and the Magic of Venture.
Mar 14, 2025 neutral
Assertion Contradicted
Asparouhov: Falcon 9 had more issues recently than in prior five years
“Falcon nine has also had more issues over the past years or six months than like the prior, like five years combined.”
Delian Asparouhov Mar 14, 2025 ▶ 17:55 Delian Asparouhov on Near Death Experiences, Deflecting Asteroids, and the Magic of Venture.
Mar 14, 2025 positive
Opinion
SpaceX and Rocket Lab are the only launch companies succeeding, says Vance
“There's like space X and rocket lab and they're the only two have figured it out and they figured it out on a scale that like nobody else has even got close to yet.”
Ashlee Vance Mar 14, 2025 ▶ 14:18 Ashlee Vance on the Future of Media, Current Inspiration, and Upcoming Books.
Mar 24, 2025 negative
Assertion Contradicted
Asparouhov: Biden Admin Rejected Early SpaceX Return Due to Musk's Politics
“What's incredibly clear is SpaceX offered to bring the astronauts back sooner And because it was in the middle of the election cycle, and because Musk was campaigning for Trump, the Biden administration turned down that offer.”
Delian Asparouhov Mar 24, 2025 ▶ 3:47 Delian Asparouhov on Stranded Astronauts, NASA in Crisis, and Corporate Espionage.
Mar 24, 2025 negative
Assertion Partly supported
NASA Originally Planned to Award Commercial Crew Exclusively to Boeing
“When commercial crew was originally getting started, the original plan by NASA was to only, you know, do it as a sole source of war, just a Boeing. SpaceX was seen as a bunch of, you know, cowboys who has that had no chance of actually being able to be trusted…”
Delian Asparouhov Mar 24, 2025 ▶ 2:14 Delian Asparouhov on Stranded Astronauts, NASA in Crisis, and Corporate Espionage.
Mar 24, 2025 negative
Assertion Supported
Asparouhov: China Copied Falcon 9 Designs But Still Cannot Land Rockets
“If you look at the, you know, sort of Chinese rockets, they look a hell of a lot like the Falcon nines. And they're still not landing.”
Delian Asparouhov Mar 24, 2025 ▶ 17:39 Delian Asparouhov on Stranded Astronauts, NASA in Crisis, and Corporate Espionage.
Mar 24, 2025 negative
Insight
Maguire: NASA designs missions around outdated, high-cost launch assumptions
“NASA has been still designing missions with the constraints of 1020 years ago, which is when launch costs are in the limit infinity and there's very few slots per year, then like the economic rational thing is to spend close to infinite money, making sure that…”
Shaun Maguire Mar 24, 2025 ▶ 23:49 Shaun Maguire breaks down Wiz investment, building great teams, and the Everything App.
Mar 27, 2025
Assertion Supported
SpaceX runs two annual tender offers totaling over $1.5 billion
“SpaceX has raised ten billion dollars in primary over its, you know, 23 years of being around as a company. They've been running, you know, two tenders annually that, you know, total like more than a billion and a half dollars a year for a long time.”
Christian Garrett Mar 27, 2025 ▶ 5:21 Christian Garrett (137 Ventures) on Investing and Markets
Apr 1, 2025 bullish
What-if
Asparouhov: Without SpaceX, the US would lack both ISS crew and cargo access
“If SpaceX does not exist right now, like the United States would neither have like Boeing able to take crew to the ISS, nor would it have Northrop Grumman able to take, you know, basically cargo to the ISS. And so it's like, You know without SpaceX, the astron…”
Delian Asparouhov Apr 1, 2025 ▶ 16:01 Delian Asparouhov on Defense Startups, NASA, Continuing Resolution and More
Apr 1, 2025 negative
Assertion Partly supported
Asparouhov: Northrop dropped a spacecraft, shifting ISS cargo missions to SpaceX
“This past week They dropped it. And so NASA was like, look like, yes, this has been tested, et cetera, but like, we don't know what happened in the drop. We need to basically send this thing back and run it through a full testing campaign and make sure that it…”
Delian Asparouhov Apr 1, 2025 ▶ 15:42 Delian Asparouhov on Defense Startups, NASA, Continuing Resolution and More
Apr 1, 2025
Assertion Partly supported
Asparouhov: SpaceX and Palantir had to sue US government to win contracts
“Both SpaceX and Palantir In the 2010 through 12 time period. Basically to sue the government in order to win contracts.”
Delian Asparouhov Apr 1, 2025 ▶ 1:18 Delian Asparouhov on Defense Startups, NASA, Continuing Resolution and More
Apr 17, 2025 bullish
Insight
Randle: Top-tier scale startups can raise practically unlimited private capital
“And the asset class has grown so much that if you're an amazing company, Compounding your intrinsic value at 25, 30% a year at scale, you can raise practically unlimited capital.”
Everett Randle Apr 17, 2025 ▶ 8:00 You Shouldn't IPO - Here's Why | Everett Randle on TBPN April 10th
Apr 24, 2025 positive
Insight
Mendler: Ground infrastructure lets Northwood operate free from launch schedule constraints
“It's very convenient. We can work on our own schedule. I mean, we have different challenges cause you know, you're going to different countries and they have their own local regulatory regimes and all that, but we are not constrained by launch schedules, which…”
Bridgit Mendler Apr 24, 2025 ▶ 16:32 Building Northwood and a ground station network for satellites | Bridget Mendler on TBPN April 23rd
Apr 26, 2025 negative
Opinion
Asparouhov: NASA should reallocate SLS budget to commercial rocket companies
“The commercial industry has better, cheaper, You know, more effective rockets than, you know, anything that NASA is building and has at this point, we should probably reallocate that budget to just those commercial companies or to other NASA priorities rather…”
Delian Asparouhov Apr 26, 2025 ▶ 10:48 How Tech Can Save America | Delian Asparouhov on TBPN
Apr 26, 2025 negative
Opinion
Lessin: SpaceX's Mars narrative is disingenuous and fundamentally nonsensical
“The Mars narrative is so frustrating because it's so disingenuous on one hand, right? Like, it's just, like, the predictions are out of control. Like, it doesn't make any sense from, like, a fundamentals perspective.”
Sam Lessin Apr 26, 2025 ▶ 30:56 Is Venture Capital Broken? | Sam Lessin on TBPN
Apr 26, 2025 positive
Opinion
3D printing enabled SpaceX's Raptor, history's highest-performing rocket engine
“Printing enabled Raptor, which I would argue is the mo one of the most amazing and high performance rocket engines ever in the history of humanity.”
Erik Palitsch Apr 26, 2025 ▶ 1:46 The Hidden Power of AI in Metal 3D Printing | Erik Palitsch on TBPN
Apr 26, 2025 positive
Opinion
SpaceX's Raptor engine brought the first real rocket innovation in decades
“We were doing things with Raptor that, you know, we were inventing, we were, you know, innovating in the rocket space for the first time in decades, truly. People think rockets are super complicated, but really the technology hasn't changed much in a long time…”
Erik Palitsch Apr 26, 2025 ▶ 1:16 The Hidden Power of AI in Metal 3D Printing | Erik Palitsch on TBPN
Apr 26, 2025
Opinion
Leading Freeform is more stressful than reporting directly to Elon Musk
“Truthfully, I'm probably more stressed now than I was when I was sitting face to face with Elon three times a week.”
Erik Palitsch Apr 26, 2025 ▶ 14:46 The Hidden Power of AI in Metal 3D Printing | Erik Palitsch on TBPN
Apr 26, 2025 bullish
Prediction Open · timeframe Apr 2031
Feldmann: Durin aims to build thousands of automated drill rigs by 2031
“We are we're teaching SpaceXers how to drill and drillers how to participate in a high functional, high functioning engineering organization. And so I think you gotta do both. If you're trying to build a large organization and manufacture thousands of these ri…”
Ted Feldmann Apr 26, 2025 ▶ 24:00 What It Takes to Build a Mine | Ted Feldmann on TBPN
Apr 26, 2025 positive
Disclosure
Van Lancker: Free Agency Received Hundreds of Applicants from Top Tech Firms
“So we've had hundreds of applicants already. You know, these have been engineers and designers and companies like OpenAI and Databricks, SpaceX, Ramp, you know, like you name it. We have a Gen Z creator who has millions of followers more research focused peopl…”
Willem Van Lancker Apr 26, 2025 ▶ 8:11 Willem Van Lancker on Terrain’s Radical New Founder Program
Jun 5, 2025 positive
Assertion Supported
Dixon: SpaceX uses stablecoins for cross-border treasury management on Starlink sales
“SpaceX has a program where they move, you know, they'll sell a Starlink in, I think it's like some, south of like Brazil or something, and then they'll immediately, you know, use stablecoins for so-called treasury management.”
Chris Dixon Jun 5, 2025 ▶ 3:02 Read Write Own - A16Z Partner Chris Dixon on TBPN
Jun 7, 2025 bullish
Prediction Open · timeframe Jun 2027
Asparouhov: Starlink Revenue Will Pass NASA's Budget Within Two Years
“Starlink's total top line revenue is going to be passing the NASA budget in the next year or two.”
Delian Asparouhov Jun 7, 2025 ▶ 24:53 Weekly Recap - Elon Vs Trump, Ukraine's Drone Attack, Cluely Update & OpenAI CRO
Jun 21, 2025
Insight
Coogan: Aerospace challenge is scaling industrial economics, not one-off technical feats
“The challenge now is not, can we get to the moon? It's the same thing with like, the challenge is not, can we build a flying car or can we build, we have helicopters. Can we build one humanoid robot or one self-driving car in San Francisco? It's like, can we a…”
John Coogan Jun 21, 2025 ▶ 1:55 Weekly Recap: Elon's Starship Explodes, OpenAI's Defense Contract, Nvidia's Robots, We Test Cluely
Aug 30, 2025 neutral
Opinion
Coogan: 2027 Starship Artemis moon mission timeline will be really hard
“In twenty-twenty-seven, a lander variant of Starship is supposed to be ready to carry astronauts on a NASA moon mission through the agency's Artemis exploration program. That's gonna be really hard, because I think they have to refuel in orbit, and then also m…”
John Coogan Aug 30, 2025 ▶ 1:33:37 Weekly Recap: Taylor Swift Gets Engaged, SpaceX Launches Falcon 9, Dr. Drew
Aug 30, 2025 positive
Assertion Supported
SpaceX completes Starship Flight 10 test with Indian Ocean splashdown
“Flight 10 made it back, took off from Starbase, South Texas. The booster landed in the ocean in the, I think, the Gulf of America, technically. And the actual Starship executed a successful flip maneuver, deployed a mock payload of a bunch of Non-functional St…”
John Coogan Aug 30, 2025 ▶ 1:25:22 Weekly Recap: Taylor Swift Gets Engaged, SpaceX Launches Falcon 9, Dr. Drew
Oct 15, 2025 positive
Insight
Speculative Investing Is Necessary To Drive Innovations Like Tesla And SpaceX
“You need some speculation in the system. Like, we always say speculation is a dirty word or a bad word, but, you know, the original investors in SpaceX or in Tesla who probably thought the whole thing was insane were speculating. And you need some of that. You…”
Andrew Ross Sorkin Oct 15, 2025 ▶ 7:59 Andrew Ross Sorkin on Why 1929 is Happening Again
Oct 30, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
SpaceX could eventually provide 20% to 30% of global mobile data
“I think SpaceX is going to do unbelievably well, and I am maximum bull on direct assault for SpaceX, but I think what happens, like, in the kind of most wild success scenario for SpaceX, SpaceX is providing, like, 20, 30% of the world's mobile data in a decade…”
Shaun Maguire Oct 30, 2025 ▶ 23:05 Sequoia Capital Partner Shaun Maguire Live on TBPN
Nov 15, 2025 neutral
Insight
Coogan: SpaceX moved faster than Blue Origin by prioritizing modular components
“One of the reasons the Blue Origin moved a little bit slower than SpaceX is that they leaned a little bit harder on the exquisite system going really big, and Elon had this idea of, like, let's try and make a whole bunch of small things that we bundle together…”
John Coogan Nov 15, 2025 ▶ 6:41 Blue Origin Lands Rocket, Valve Drops Steam Machine, Cantor Group Surges | Diet TBPN
Nov 15, 2025 positive
Assertion Supported
Coogan: Blue Origin is the second company ever to land a rocket booster
“It's only the second company in history to land a rocket booster after SpaceX.”
John Coogan Nov 15, 2025 ▶ 0:27 Blue Origin Lands Rocket, Valve Drops Steam Machine, Cantor Group Surges | Diet TBPN
Dec 12, 2025 bullish
Opinion
Coogan: Founders Fund's SpaceX bet may become greatest VC investment ever
“Well, we should read through some of the history about Founders Fund's investment in SpaceX, because it might be one of the greatest, it might be, it might become the greatest venture capital investment of all time.”
John Coogan Dec 12, 2025 ▶ 13:19 Disney Partners with OpenAI, Breaking Down SpaceX’s IPO Plans, Oracle Slips | Diet TBPN
Dec 12, 2025 bullish
Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2030
Coogan: SpaceX will achieve fully reusable Starship with rapid turnaround
“He's also predicted fully reusable Starship with rapid turnaround. It's a little too soon to tell he's behind some of the early dates, but you know, in general, that project seems like it's real. It's going to happen.”
John Coogan Dec 12, 2025 ▶ 5:18 Disney Partners with OpenAI, Breaking Down SpaceX’s IPO Plans, Oracle Slips | Diet TBPN
Dec 12, 2025 bullish
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Hays: Founders Fund's SpaceX stake will reach around $150B
“Again, it's still, like, gonna be a hundred and fifty-ish billion dollar position.”
Jordi Hays Dec 12, 2025 ▶ 14:46 Disney Partners with OpenAI, Breaking Down SpaceX’s IPO Plans, Oracle Slips | Diet TBPN
Dec 12, 2025 bullish
Assertion Partly supported
Coogan: Starlink has over 10,000 satellites in orbit
“Starlink has over 10,000 up there already, I believe.”
John Coogan Dec 12, 2025 ▶ 1:42 Disney Partners with OpenAI, Breaking Down SpaceX’s IPO Plans, Oracle Slips | Diet TBPN
Dec 12, 2025 neutral
Assertion Contradicted
Hays: Founders Fund owns about 10% of SpaceX
“FFO is about 10% of SpaceX.”
Jordi Hays Dec 12, 2025 ▶ 14:40 Disney Partners with OpenAI, Breaking Down SpaceX’s IPO Plans, Oracle Slips | Diet TBPN
Dec 12, 2025 bullish
Opinion
Coogan: SpaceX leads competitor space companies by two orders of magnitude
“Well, he's the only candidate for everything in space because he has the leading space company by like, it's two orders of magnitude.”
John Coogan Dec 12, 2025 ▶ 8:29 Disney Partners with OpenAI, Breaking Down SpaceX’s IPO Plans, Oracle Slips | Diet TBPN
Jan 8, 2026
Assertion Supported
Coogan: xAI's single $20B round exceeds SpaceX's lifetime funding
“So SpaceX has done 31 funding rounds, a lot of those have been secondary transactions, but 31 funding rounds to raise twelve billion. XAI just goes out and raises 20 in one round.”
John Coogan Jan 8, 2026 ▶ 4:54 xAI Raises $20B, Anthropic’s $350B Valuation, OpenAI Launches ChatGPT Health | Diet TBPN
Jan 23, 2026 bullish
Assertion Supported
Coogan: SpaceX is hiring BofA, Goldman, JPMorgan, and Morgan Stanley for IPO
“SpaceX is set to hire Bank of America, Goldman Sachs, JP Morgan, Morgan Stanley to lead its IPO.”
John Coogan Jan 23, 2026 ▶ 19:28 Capital One Acquires Brex for $5B, Davos’s $500M business, Apple’s Siri rebuild | Diet TBPN
Jan 23, 2026 positive
Assertion Supported
Coogan: Starlink has over 9,000 satellites and 9 million customers
“Starlink has more than 9000 satellites in orbit and roughly nine million customers.”
John Coogan Jan 23, 2026 ▶ 10:30 Capital One Acquires Brex for $5B, Davos’s $500M business, Apple’s Siri rebuild | Diet TBPN
Jan 30, 2026 neutral
Assertion Supported
Hays: SpaceX and xAI in merger talks ahead of planned IPO
“So, they're in discussions ahead of a blockbuster IPO planned for later this year. The combination would bring Musk's rockets, Starlink satellites, and X social media platform, and the Grok AI chatbot under one roof.”
Jordi Hays Jan 30, 2026 ▶ 21:11 Big Tech Earnings, Elon’s SpaceX–xAI Merge, Genie 3 | Diet TBPN
Feb 3, 2026 neutral
Assertion Supported
Coogan: SpaceX confirms plans to merge with xAI before IPO
“SpaceX confirms plans to merge with XAI before the IPO. Elon Musk plans to merge SpaceX with XAI.”
John Coogan Feb 3, 2026 ▶ 28:25 Moltbook goes viral, $100B OpenAI-Nvidia deal stalled, SpaceX merges with xAI | Diet TBPN
Feb 3, 2026 neutral
Assertion Supported
Coogan: SpaceX is planning an IPO raising up to $50B at $1.5T valuation
“SpaceX is planning an IPO that could raise as much as fifty billion and value the company at 1.5 trillion.”
John Coogan Feb 3, 2026 ▶ 28:41 Moltbook goes viral, $100B OpenAI-Nvidia deal stalled, SpaceX merges with xAI | Diet TBPN
Feb 3, 2026 neutral
Assertion Supported
Coogan: SpaceX operates 9,500 satellites serving over 9M Starlink users
“The rapid launch of 9500 Starlink satellites since 2019 has made SpaceX the world's largest satellite operator with only not over nine million users of the broadband internet service”
John Coogan Feb 3, 2026 ▶ 29:03 Moltbook goes viral, $100B OpenAI-Nvidia deal stalled, SpaceX merges with xAI | Diet TBPN
Feb 3, 2026 neutral
Assertion Supported
Coogan: Starlink accounts for 50% to 80% of SpaceX's total revenue
“Starlink is the main revenue driver accounting for about 50 to 80% of the total revenue.”
John Coogan Feb 3, 2026 ▶ 28:58 Moltbook goes viral, $100B OpenAI-Nvidia deal stalled, SpaceX merges with xAI | Diet TBPN
Feb 19, 2026 bullish
Disclosure
Bezos: Blue Origin will move heaven and earth to reach the Moon first
“If asked, we will step up, and we will move heaven and earth to get to the moon first.”
Jeff Bezos Feb 19, 2026 ▶ 21:54 The AI lab market map, Robinhood brings startups to retail, GLPs & hedge funds | Diet TBPN
Feb 19, 2026 positive
Insight
Bezos: The US needs two competing SpaceX-scale launch companies
“SpaceX doesn't have to lose for Blue to succeed. What the U.S. Needs is it needs two SpaceX's. It needs two launch companies competing vigorously against each other to try to give us the most capabilities as a country, commercially, civilly, from a defense per…”
Jeff Bezos Feb 19, 2026 ▶ 20:39 The AI lab market map, Robinhood brings startups to retail, GLPs & hedge funds | Diet TBPN
Mar 6, 2026 bullish
Prediction Held up
Coogan: A SpaceX IPO is coming around September or October 2026
“So, maybe September, maybe October, but, ah, it's coming.”
John Coogan Mar 6, 2026 ▶ 29:35 Daniel Gross’ AGI predictions, SpaceX IPO news, Trump takes control of US chip exports | Diet TBPN
Mar 6, 2026 neutral
Assertion Supported
Hays: A 3% SpaceX float would beat Alibaba's US IPO record
“Even a tiny three percent float would comfortably eclipse the U.S. IPO record set by Alibaba's twenty five billion dollar float in 2014.”
Jordi Hays Mar 6, 2026 ▶ 28:24 Daniel Gross’ AGI predictions, SpaceX IPO news, Trump takes control of US chip exports | Diet TBPN
Mar 14, 2026 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Elon Musk leverages SpaceX equity to recruit talent for xAI
“Elon has the advantage of being able to use SpaceX stock to recruit people.”
Jordi Hays Mar 14, 2026 ▶ 11:27 Tall Poppy Syndrome, Bytedance Gets Blackwell Chips, WSJ Mansion Section | Diet TBPN
Mar 23, 2026 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Coogan: SpaceX has researched Mars solar array deployment for over a decade
“And I've talked to SpaceX folks who have been working on on putting solar panels out on Mars... They've been thinking about this for, At least over a decade that I know of.”
John Coogan Mar 23, 2026 ▶ 21:26 Elon's Moon Mass Driver: Here's How He'll Do It
Mar 23, 2026 neutral
Prediction Open · timeframe Mar 2029
Coogan predicts routine Starship lunar cargo flights are 3-5 years away
“Starship needs to be refueling in orbit, landing on the moon with and without crews, because you're probably going to need some humans up there, some robots and we need to start routine cargo flights to the moon. So this is straight up, like, three to five yea…”
John Coogan Mar 23, 2026 ▶ 20:10 Elon's Moon Mass Driver: Here's How He'll Do It
Mar 23, 2026 neutral
Prediction Open · timeframe Mar 2029
Coogan: Routine SpaceX Starship lunar cargo flights are 3-5 years away
“Starship needs to be refueling in orbit, landing on the moon with and without crews, because you're probably going to need some humans up there, some robots and we need to start routine cargo flights to the moon. So this is straight up like three to five years…”
John Coogan Mar 23, 2026 ▶ 14:10 SpaceX’s Lunar Mass Driver, OpenAI Hires Meta’s Top Ad Exec, Zuck Builds CEO Agent | Diet TBPN
Mar 23, 2026 bearish
Opinion
Hays: Elon Musk's lunar mass driver keynote is an IPO pump
“But still, this seems like a, just kind of a blatant sci-fi pump going into the IPO.”
Jordi Hays Mar 23, 2026 ▶ 7:13 SpaceX’s Lunar Mass Driver, OpenAI Hires Meta’s Top Ad Exec, Zuck Builds CEO Agent | Diet TBPN
Mar 25, 2026
Assertion Contradicted
Hays: SpaceX aims to file IPO as soon as this week
“SpaceX aims to file IPO as soon as this week.”
Jordi Hays Mar 25, 2026 ▶ 28:50 Benchmark’s Ship of Theseus, OpenAI Kills Sora, SpaceX $2T IPO Buzz | Diet TBPN
Mar 30, 2026 positive
Prediction Held up
Kim: Elon Musk will pitch space-based GPU satellites for SpaceX IPO
“I think Elon's pitch with the SpaceX IPO, and we'll see it in the coming months, is the AI compute, it's gonna be so, there's gonna be so much demand over the next five, 10 years, that you're gonna have to use these SpaceX satellites that have GPUs in them. To…”
Tae Kim Mar 30, 2026 ▶ 19:00 FULL INTERVIEW: Why I Think Nvidia Is Perfectly Positioned In The AI Race
Apr 3, 2026 neutral
Opinion
Hays: SpaceX Has Normalized Rocket Launches to the Point of Public Apathy
“SpaceX has normalized it to such a degree.”
Jordi Hays Apr 3, 2026 ▶ 26:20 Open AI Acquires TBPN, Artemis II, The AI-Built $1.8B Company | Diet TBPN
Apr 13, 2026 negative
Assertion Supported
Coogan: NASA Safety Panel Considers Near-Term Starship Crewed Landing Unachievable
“A NASA safety panel separately raised questions about how quickly SpaceX's human lander, based on its Starship vehicle, would be ready. A landing operation of astronauts with the Starship lander Within the next few years appears daunting and to the panel proba…”
John Coogan Apr 13, 2026 ▶ 18:57 Artemis II Makes History, Nutella in Space, The US-China AI Race | Diet TBPN
Apr 16, 2026 bullish
Assertion Supported
Starlink Deployed Over 650 Direct-to-Cell Satellites to Connect 12 Million Users
“Starlink has deployed more than 650 satellites dedicated to providing connections to cell phones as of the end of last year, connecting more than twelve million people, according to the company.”
John Coogan Apr 16, 2026 ▶ 23:01 Allbirds’ AI Pivot, Snap Cuts 16% of Workforce, Amazon’s GlobalStar Deal | Diet TBPN
Apr 16, 2026 neutral
Opinion
Apple Was the Driving Force Behind Amazon's Globalstar Acquisition
“Apple clearly agrees, because they are not only declining to work with SpaceX, I actually think they were the driving force in this global star deal.”
John Coogan Apr 16, 2026 ▶ 21:49 Allbirds’ AI Pivot, Snap Cuts 16% of Workforce, Amazon’s GlobalStar Deal | Diet TBPN
Apr 23, 2026
Assertion Partly supported
SpaceX's rumored $1.75T valuation would surpass Tesla's $1.2T market cap
“It is a wild timeline that SpaceX, if it goes out at 1.75 trillion will be bigger than Tesla, which is sitting around 1.2 trillion these days.”
John Coogan Apr 23, 2026 ▶ 21:51 Thoma Bravo Loses Medallia, OpenAI Drops ChatGPT 5.5, Bob Iger Returns | Diet TBPN
May 15, 2026 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Hays: Fast QQQ Inclusion Was a Priority for SpaceX
“This would, I imagine get them allocated into QQQ really quickly. And I know that was a priority.”
Jordi Hays May 15, 2026 ▶ 31:40 SpaceX IPO Date, ChatGPT x Personal Finance, Sanders & AOC vs. Data Centers | Diet TBPN
May 15, 2026 neutral
Assertion Supported
Hays: SpaceX Targets June 11th NASDAQ IPO
“SpaceX accelerates IPO timeline targets June 11th, Pricing on the NASDAQ.”
Jordi Hays May 15, 2026 ▶ 31:22 SpaceX IPO Date, ChatGPT x Personal Finance, Sanders & AOC vs. Data Centers | Diet TBPN
May 21, 2026 bullish
Assertion Supported
Hays: D1 Capital set to generate roughly $20B from SpaceX investment
“They're set to generate roughly twenty billion in, in returns”
Jordi Hays May 21, 2026 ▶ 23:21 Google I/O: Day 1 Reactions, Goldman to Lead SpaceX IPO | Diet TBPN
May 21, 2026 bullish
Assertion Supported
Coogan: Founders Fund and Valor to make $60B+ on SpaceX IPO
“Founders Fund and Valor are set to make more than sixty billion in gains on the SpaceX IPO. Sequoia, more than twenty billion.”
John Coogan May 21, 2026 ▶ 23:04 Google I/O: Day 1 Reactions, Goldman to Lead SpaceX IPO | Diet TBPN
May 22, 2026 neutral
Assertion Supported
Coogan: SpaceX reported $18.67 billion in annual revenue in its S-1
“SpaceX reported its revenue last year at 18.67 billion, and Dan Primack had a post saying that the business was smaller than he expected.”
John Coogan May 22, 2026 ▶ 2:33 SpaceX S-1, Anthropic Revenue Booms, OpenAI Cracks Erdős Problem | Diet TBPN
May 22, 2026 neutral
Assertion Supported
Coogan: Goldman Sachs won lead left role over Morgan Stanley for SpaceX IPO
“Incredible that Goldman beat out Morgan Stanley for the SpaceX IPO, left lead left. Given that Michael Grimes returned to Morgan Stanley in part for this deal, of course, Morgan Stanley is on the deal but that is it is a big win for Goldman that DJ SpaceX is a…”
John Coogan May 22, 2026 ▶ 5:18 SpaceX S-1, Anthropic Revenue Booms, OpenAI Cracks Erdős Problem | Diet TBPN
Jun 2, 2026 neutral
Assertion Supported
Over 1,000 SpaceX Employees Organize to Negotiate Wealth Management Fees Pre-IPO
“Joe Weisenthal is reporting that on the eve of the IPO, SpaceX employees are organizing more than a thousand current and former SpaceX employees have banded together to negotiate with wealth management firms for better pricing. And access to sophisticated tax-…”
Jordi Hays Jun 2, 2026 ▶ 26:17 Google Raises $80B, Confidential IPO 101, OpenAI Expands Codex | Diet TBPN
Jun 13, 2026 positive
Opinion
Coogan: Point-to-point rocket travel probably easier to approve than hypersonic planes
“Why not hop on a rocket to get across the world in 30 minutes? Sounds pretty cool and probably oddly easier to approve than hypersonic planes since those have been stuck in regulatory approvals for, you know, years and decades and never really worked out.”
John Coogan Jun 13, 2026 ▶ 13:38 🚀 SpaceX IPO Liftoff | Diet TBPN
Jun 13, 2026 positive
Opinion
Coogan: SpaceX's 10% to 30% day-one pop marks a successful IPO
“The IPO is successful, I would say. There's been a bunch of chatter back and forth. Bull cases, bear cases. But overall it's hard not to look at this as a success. The, you know, Bill Gurley doesn't want a crazy pop on day one, doesn't want it to go up a hundr…”
John Coogan Jun 13, 2026 ▶ 0:48 🚀 SpaceX IPO Liftoff | Diet TBPN
Jun 13, 2026 bullish
Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2026
Shotwell: SpaceX will achieve orbit and second-stage recovery with Starship this year
“And this year I believe we'll get to orbit with that vehicle, and we'll recover the first, the second stage.”
Gwynne Shotwell Jun 13, 2026 ▶ 8:39 🚀 SpaceX IPO Liftoff | Diet TBPN
Jun 13, 2026 bullish
Assertion Supported
Shotwell: SpaceX and xAI merger owns Earth's largest gigawatt-class compute cluster
“With the merger, the acquisition of XAI, we now, as a group, own the largest coherent gigawatt class compute on the planet, which will help us truth seek and understand the universe.”
Gwynne Shotwell Jun 13, 2026 ▶ 8:54 🚀 SpaceX IPO Liftoff | Diet TBPN
Jun 13, 2026 neutral
Assertion Supported
Coogan: SpaceX IPO priced at $135 and opened at $150
“SpaceX IPO priced at 135 dollars a share. Opened at one 50.”
John Coogan Jun 13, 2026 ▶ 0:01 🚀 SpaceX IPO Liftoff | Diet TBPN
Jun 13, 2026 positive
Assertion Supported
Coogan: SpaceX leveraged excess launch capacity to create Starlink
“SpaceX built basically more launch capacity than there was demand for, but then Because there was space on every SpaceX rocket, and they were able to build them so, so efficiently, so affordably, they were able to put up a massive constellation of internet con…”
John Coogan Jun 13, 2026 ▶ 12:32 🚀 SpaceX IPO Liftoff | Diet TBPN
Jun 13, 2026 bullish
Assertion Supported
Coogan: SpaceX hits $2.28 trillion market cap at $172 per share
“It's a 2.28 trillion dollar company now. 172 dollars a share.”
John Coogan Jun 13, 2026 ▶ 0:19 🚀 SpaceX IPO Liftoff | Diet TBPN
Jun 13, 2026 neutral
Assertion Supported
Coogan: US paid Russia up to $90M per seat before SpaceX Crew Dragon
“In 2002, a SpaceX capsule carried two astronauts to the space station from American soil. Closing a nine year gap in which the United States paid Russia as much as ninety million dollars a seat to hitch a ride.”
John Coogan Jun 13, 2026 ▶ 22:07 🚀 SpaceX IPO Liftoff | Diet TBPN
Jun 13, 2026 positive
Disclosure
Shotwell: Over half of SpaceX employees bought nearly $1B in IPO stock
“So we're about 22,000 strong. I'm super proud that over half of us actually bought additional stock in this opening, totaling almost a billion dollars.”
Gwynne Shotwell Jun 13, 2026 ▶ 9:09 🚀 SpaceX IPO Liftoff | Diet TBPN
Jun 13, 2026 neutral
Assertion Supported
Coogan: Gwynne Shotwell earned $86M last year mainly in stock options
“Shotwell was paid eighty six million last year, mostly in the form of stock options.”
John Coogan Jun 13, 2026 ▶ 13:59 🚀 SpaceX IPO Liftoff | Diet TBPN
Jun 15, 2026 neutral
Assertion Supported
Baker: SpaceX Offered Employee Secondary Liquidity Every Six Months for 10 Years
“If you're an employee, or even if you're an investor who has an SPV or you're directly on the cap table, you've had a chance to sell every six months for the last 10 years.”
Gavin Baker Jun 15, 2026 ▶ 15:17 Gavin Baker: SpaceX Might Be the Greatest Company of All Time
Jun 15, 2026 positive
Assertion Open · timeframe Jun 2026
Baker: Over 10,000 Employees Bought Shares During the SpaceX IPO
“I think another really underappreciated thing about the SpaceX IPO is that over 10,000 SpaceX employees bought on the IPO.”
Gavin Baker Jun 15, 2026 ▶ 14:51 Gavin Baker: SpaceX Might Be the Greatest Company of All Time
Jun 15, 2026 bullish
Opinion
Baker: AI Token Factories Will Not Need AWS-Style Cloud Suites
“My thought is that being a token factory is more than enough for the next five to 10 years.”
Gavin Baker Jun 15, 2026 ▶ 7:07 Gavin Baker: SpaceX Might Be the Greatest Company of All Time
Jun 15, 2026 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Baker: SpaceX Could Become the British East India Company of Space
“If SpaceX puts a city on, on the moon and then Mars, and enables, you know, becomes the British East City Company, the solar system, I think this will, those, there's a lot of hard engineering that needs to happen to go into all that. This will probably be the…”
Gavin Baker Jun 15, 2026 ▶ 28:59 Gavin Baker: SpaceX Might Be the Greatest Company of All Time
Jun 18, 2026 positive
Disclosure
Paul: Anti Fund accessed SpaceX and xAI rounds through Jared Birchall
“Going into SpaceX and XAI, working with Jared Burchill to get into some of those rounds and then, you know, you're liquid very quickly.”
Jake Paul Jun 18, 2026 ▶ 1:59 Jake Paul Thinks We'll Live Forever
Jul 3, 2026
Assertion Supported
Coogan: SpaceX developed an AI handset prototype with Qualcomm Snapdragon chips
“SpaceX developed an early prototype of an AI Focused handset. The device is said to be slimmer than the iPhone. Runs proprietary operating system. Uses XAI technology built around Qualcomm's Snapdragon chipset.”
John Coogan Jul 3, 2026 ▶ 19:35 Jersey Mikes's IPO, AI Lab Nationalization, SpaceX AIPhone | Diet TBPN
Jul 13, 2026 positive
Assertion Supported
SpaceX Launch Infrastructure Designed to Launch a Starship Every Hour
“The engineering that goes into this, just so, thinking so far ahead, like, I think this is designed to launch a starship every hour.”
John Coogan Jul 13, 2026 ▶ 30:54 Apple Sues OpenAI, Experts Sign Another AI Warning Letter, Paramount Threatens CA Exit
Jul 13, 2026 neutral
Assertion Supported
SpaceX Unit Sues Apple and Prototypes Smartphone-Like AI Device
“A unit of SpaceX is suing Apple for disadvantaging its AI app, and the company is now prototyping its own smartphone-like AI device.”
John Coogan Jul 13, 2026 ▶ 9:37 Apple Sues OpenAI, Experts Sign Another AI Warning Letter, Paramount Threatens CA Exit
Jul 30, 2026 positive
What-if
Coogan: US probably wouldn't have a rocket company without Elon Musk
“If he hadn't worked on that, probably wouldn't have a rocket company in America.”
John Coogan Jul 30, 2026 ▶ 8:27 U.S. Bans New Chinese Humanoids, Zuck’s Op-Ed, eBay's $56M Lawsuit | Diet TBPN
Aug 6, 2026 negative
Assertion Supported
Late Stage Management Executives Plead Guilty in $528M Fraud Scheme
“In February and March, three sales executives connected to Late Stage, pleaded guilty to federal charges arising from a broader, five hundred and twenty-eight million dollar investment scheme. Prosecutors said the defendants marketed supposedly no fee pre IPO …”
John Coogan Aug 6, 2026 ▶ 15:32 More Details on OpenAI-Hugging Face, SpaceX SPV Investors Get Rugged, Demis and DeepMind | Diet TBPN
Aug 11, 2026 bullish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Hays: SpaceX is up 13% in five days, partly from SemiAnalysis report
“SpaceX is up 13% in the past five days, almost certainly in part due to semi-analysis.”
Jordi Hays Aug 11, 2026 ▶ 29:44 Zuck’s AI Vision, Celebs Are Dating Private Equity Guys, AI Agent Hacks Gym | Diet TBPN
Aug 15, 2026 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Hays: A SpaceX thruster-equipped Tesla Roadster has 10,000 potential buyers
“If Tesla comes out with a roadster that has a SpaceX, it's like basically Merlin engine on it. Some type of SpaceX engine, there's probably 10,000 buyers for that car.”
Jordi Hays Aug 15, 2026 ▶ 21:54 Tesla’s Roadster, Car Week Takes, Unwell Beverages Shuts Down | Diet TBPN
Made with StarZero

Turn any episode into a week of clips.

This entire site, over 500 episodes transcribed, diarized, checked and made playable, runs on the StarZero media pipeline. Drop in your own episode and the podcast clipper finds the moments worth sharing, cuts them, captions them, and reframes them for every feed.